---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:12 PDT

safe3step boys Randolph Union 1
  
Randolph Union        
W-L: ( 6- 5) PR = 89.7090

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 418 A Otter Valley Union ( 0- 9, 84.3) 1- 0 424 A St Johnsbury Academy (11- 5, 93.9) 4-11 428 H Bellows Free Academy ( 2-11, 87.4) 12- 7 507 A Otter Valley Union ( 0- 9, 84.3) 14- 0 515 H Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 1- 0 519 H Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 8- 9 521 H Green Mountain Valle (12- 1, 93.4) 4-15 527 H Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 12-11 529 A Green Mountain Valle (12- 1, 93.4) 6-14 606 H Bellows Free Academy ( 2-11, 87.4) 15- 8 611 A Green Mountain Valle (12- 1, 93.4) 6-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A St Johnsbury Academy    4-11      -7    -5          -0.42
   428 H Bellows Free Academy   12- 7       5     3    +      2.29
   507 A Otter Valley Union     14- 0      14     5           0.04
   519 H Spaulding               8- 9      -1     2    -     -2.64
   521 H Green Mountain Valle    4-15     -11    -3          -1.76
   527 H Stowe                  12-11       1    -1    +      2.05
   529 A Green Mountain Valle    6-14      -8    -4          -0.93
   606 H Bellows Free Academy   15- 8       7     3    +      2.29
   611 A Green Mountain Valle    6-17     -11    -4          -0.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Spaulding               8- 9      -1     2    -     -2.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Bellows Free Academy   12- 7       5     3    +      2.29
   527 H Stowe                  12-11       1    -1    +      2.05
   606 H Bellows Free Academy   15- 8       7     3    +      2.29

Randolph Union Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Randolph Union Randolph Union  
Bellows Free Academy Bellows Free Academy   Bellows Free Academy
Brattleboro Union Brattleboro Union insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Brattleboro Union
Burlington Burlington Burlington   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad   Burr and Burton Acad
Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Colchester Randolph Union insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Randolph Union
Essex Junction Essex Junction   Essex Junction
Green Mountain Valle Green Mountain Valle Green Mountain Valle  
Hartford Union Hartford Union Hartford Union   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Harwood Union Harwood Union Harwood Union   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lamoille Union Lamoille Union   Lamoille Union
Lyndon Institute Randolph Union Randolph Union  
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Milton Milton insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Milton
Montpelier Montpelier insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) Montpelier
Mount Abraham Mount Abraham tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) Mount Abraham
Mt Anthony Union Mt Anthony Union   Mt Anthony Union
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union   Mt Mansfield Union
Otter Valley Union Randolph Union Randolph Union  
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Rice Memorial
Rutland Rutland insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Rutland
South Burlington South Burlington   South Burlington
Spaulding Spaulding Spaulding  
St Johnsbury Academy St Johnsbury Academy St Johnsbury Academy  
Stowe Randolph Union Randolph Union  
Stratton Mountain Sc Randolph Union tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Randolph Union
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union   Woodstock Union

PowerWise = 6


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Otter Valley U  ( 0- 9, 84.3)     1- 0      -15.57       1.48       0.42         1.29             2.43
   0 A St Johnsbury A  (11- 5, 93.9)     4-11       -6.03      11.01       0.42         1.29            -7.22
   0 H Bellows Free A  ( 2-11, 87.4)    12- 7      -12.48       4.56      -0.42         1.29             5.33
   0 A Otter Valley U  ( 0- 9, 84.3)    14- 0      -15.57       1.48       0.42         1.29             2.43
   0 H Lyndon Institu  ( 0-15, 82.9)     1- 0      -17.04       1.00      -0.42         1.29             0.75
   0 H Spaulding       ( 4- 9, 88.5)     8- 9      -11.42       5.63      -0.42         1.29           -15.21
   0 H Green Mountain  (12- 1, 93.4)     4-15       -6.54      10.51      -0.42         1.29            -8.94
   0 H Stowe           ( 5- 9, 91.2)    12-11       -8.72       8.32      -0.42         1.29            10.16
   0 A Green Mountain  (12- 1, 93.4)     6-14       -6.54      10.51       0.42         1.29            -7.87
   0 H Bellows Free A  ( 2-11, 87.4)    15- 8      -12.48       4.56      -0.42         1.29             5.33
   0 A Green Mountain  (12- 1, 93.4)     6-17       -6.54      10.51       0.42         1.29            -7.87
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -20.66

winning pts = 26.4414 losing points = -47.1004

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------