Quince Orchard
W-L: ( 8- 6) PR = 82.0592Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Sherwood (15- 2, 89.6) 11-18 324 H Walt Whitman (14- 3, 86.9) 11-19 326 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 6, 82.8) 10-15 402 A Winston Churchill (10- 3, 83.6) 7-13 404 H Walter Johnson ( 6- 7, 82.7) 7- 6 409 A Clarksburg ( 7- 7, 79.0) 15-12 411 H Magruder ( 3-10, 75.0) 13- 3 422 H Wootton ( 4-10, 77.4) 16- 2 424 A Damascus (11- 3, 86.2) 11-19 426 A Blake ( 8- 6, 82.3) 13- 9 428 H Poolesville ( 5- 8, 77.8) 17- 5 501 H Gaithersburg ( 5- 8, 77.5) 21- 8 507 H Walter Johnson ( 6- 7, 82.7) 16-15 509 A Walt Whitman (14- 3, 86.9) 6-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Sherwood 11-18 -7 -8 0.00
324 H Walt Whitman 11-19 -8 -4 -0.60
326 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.83
402 A Winston Churchill 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.02
404 H Walter Johnson 7- 6 1 0 1.24
409 A Clarksburg 15-12 3 3 0.36
411 H Magruder 13- 3 10 8 0.00
422 H Wootton 16- 2 14 5 0.00
424 A Damascus 11-19 -8 -5 -0.44
426 A Blake 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 4.70
428 H Poolesville 17- 5 12 5 0.25
501 H Gaithersburg 21- 8 13 5 0.04
507 H Walter Johnson 16-15 1 0 1.24
509 A Walt Whitman 6-18 -12 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.83 402 A Winston Churchill 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Blake 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 4.70 |
Quince Orchard Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Friends | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Garrett County LC | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Georgetown Day | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Jemicy School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Salisbury School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Academy for College | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Atholton | Quince Orchard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Blair | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 4- 4 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Blake | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Carver A&T | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Clarksburg | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Dundalk | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| DuVal | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Eastern Tech | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Einstein | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Elkton | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Friendly | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Gaithersburg | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Glen Burnie | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glenelg HS | |
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Great Mills | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Guilford Park | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Gwynn Park | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Hammond | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Harford Tech | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Havre De Grace | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| High Point | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Kennedy | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Kent County | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Lake Clifton | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Lansdowne | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Laurel | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Long Reach | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Magruder | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Mergenthaler | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| MJ McDonough | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| New Town | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North Caroline | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North East Cecil | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North Hagerstown | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Quince Orchard | |
| Northwestern PG | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Northwood | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Oakdale | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Oakland Mills | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Old Mill | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Overlea | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Owings Mills | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Oxon Hill | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Paint Branch | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Parkdale | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Patapsco | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Patterson HS | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Patterson Mill | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Patuxent | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Perry Hall | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Perryville | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Pikesville | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Poolesville | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Randallstown | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Reservoir | |
| Richard Montgomery | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Quince Orchard | |
| Rising Sun | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 3) | Rockville | |
| Seneca Valley | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Quince Orchard | |
| Severn Run | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| St Charles | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Surrattsville | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Thomas Stone | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Towson | Towson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Towson | |
| Tuscarora | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Watkins Mill | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Western STES | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Westlake | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wicomico | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Wilde Lake | Quince Orchard | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Wootton | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| DC International PCS | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Jackson Reed | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard |
PowerWise = 133
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Sherwood (15- 2, 89.6) 11-18 -10.31 25.28 0.45 0.87 -8.55
0 H Walt Whitman (14- 3, 86.9) 11-19 -13.00 22.60 -0.45 0.87 -11.65
0 A Bethesda-Chevy ( 9- 6, 82.8) 10-15 -17.12 18.48 0.45 0.87 -14.45
0 A Winston Church (10- 3, 83.6) 7-13 -16.30 19.29 0.45 0.87 -13.74
0 H Walter Johnson ( 6- 7, 82.7) 7- 6 -17.16 18.43 -0.45 0.87 15.59
0 A Clarksburg ( 7- 7, 79.0) 15-12 -20.92 14.67 0.45 0.87 13.10
0 H Magruder ( 3-10, 75.0) 13- 3 -24.93 10.66 -0.45 0.87 8.85
0 H Wootton ( 4-10, 77.4) 16- 2 -22.46 13.14 -0.45 0.87 11.00
0 A Damascus (11- 3, 86.2) 11-19 -13.72 21.87 0.45 0.87 -11.51
0 A Blake ( 8- 6, 82.3) 13- 9 -17.59 18.01 0.45 0.87 15.99
0 H Poolesville ( 5- 8, 77.8) 17- 5 -22.14 13.45 -0.45 0.87 11.27
0 H Gaithersburg ( 5- 8, 77.5) 21- 8 -22.36 13.23 -0.45 0.87 11.09
0 H Walter Johnson ( 6- 7, 82.7) 16-15 -17.16 18.43 -0.45 0.87 15.59
0 A Walt Whitman (14- 3, 86.9) 6-18 -13.00 22.60 0.45 0.87 -10.88
------
31.71
|
winning pts = 102.4963 losing points = -70.7903
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------