Patriot
W-L: ( 8- 8) PR = 86.2390Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Riverside (13- 3, 93.2) 0-16 320 H Colgan (13- 5, 83.1) 13-10 324 H Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 4-10 326 H Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 4-14 401 H Fauquier ( 6- 9, 82.2) 7- 3 403 A Westfield ( 6-12, 86.0) 7- 8 408 A Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 14- 3 410 H Osbourn ( 1-15, 66.3) 16- 0 422 A Freedom South Ridin (12- 7, 88.3) 4- 6 425 A Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 10- 7 428 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 2-12 501 H Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 72.1) 17- 1 507 A Osbourn Park ( 6- 8, 71.9) 17- 1 508 H Gainesville (15- 5, 88.5) 9-12 509 A Mountain View (10-10, 81.6) 8- 3 516 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 1- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H Riverside 0-16 -16 -6 0.00
320 H Colgan 13-10 3 4 -0.70
324 H Briar Woods 4-10 -6 -4 -0.62
326 H Independence 4-14 -10 -7 0.00
401 H Fauquier 7- 3 4 5 -0.64
403 A Westfield 7- 8 -1 0 -0.59
408 A Woodbridge 14- 3 11 8 0.00
410 H Osbourn 16- 0 16 21 0.00
422 A Freedom South Ridin 4- 6 -2 -3 0.68
425 A Lightridge 10- 7 3 1 + 2.28
428 A Battlefield 2-12 -10 -7 0.00
501 H Unity Reed 17- 1 16 15 0.00
507 A Osbourn Park 17- 1 16 14 0.00
508 H Gainesville 9-12 -3 -2 -1.32
509 A Mountain View 8- 3 5 4 0.96
516 A Battlefield 1- 8 -7 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Lightridge 10- 7 3 1 + 2.28 |
Patriot Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Alexandria City | Patriot | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patriot | |
| Annandale | Patriot | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patriot | |
| Atlee | Atlee | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Atlee | |
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Blacksburg | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Patriot | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Patriot | |
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Brooke Point | Patriot | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Patriot | |
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Centreville | Patriot | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Patriot | |
| Chantilly | Chantilly | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Chantilly | |
| Charlottesville | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Clover Hill | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Colgan | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Patriot | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Patriot | |
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Patriot | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| Culpeper County | Patriot | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Patriot | |
| Deep Run | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Dominion | Patriot | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Patriot | |
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | Patriot | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Patriot | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Fairfax | Patriot | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Patriot | |
| Falls Church | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Fauquier | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| First Colonial | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Flint Hill | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Fluvanna County | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Forest Park | Patriot | Patriot 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Patriot | Patriot 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Glen Allen | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Goochland | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Grafton LC | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Grassfield LC | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Green Run | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Handley | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Patriot | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Patriot | |
| Herndon | Herndon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Herndon | |
| Hickory LC | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Hidden Valley | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Highland School | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Highland Springs | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Hylton | Patriot | Patriot 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| James Monroe | Patriot | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Patriot | |
| James River | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | Patriot | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Patriot | |
| Justice | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kellam | |
| Kempsville | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Kettle Run | Patriot | Patriot 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lafayette LC | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Lake Braddock | Patriot | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Patriot | |
| Landstown | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Langley | Langley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Langley | |
| Lewis | Patriot | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patriot | |
| Liberty Bealeton | Patriot | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Patriot | |
| Lightridge | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Loudoun County | |
| Loudoun Valley | Patriot | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Patriot | |
| Madison | Madison | Madison 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Manchester | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Marshall | Patriot | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| Massaponax | Patriot | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| Matoaca | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Maury LC | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mechanicsville | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Menchville LC | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Meridian | |
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Monacan | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Monticello | |
| Mount Vernon | Patriot | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patriot | |
| Mountain View | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| New Covenant School | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Patriot | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| Northern VA Home Sch | Patriot | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Patriot | |
| Oakton | Oakton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oakton | |
| Ocean Lakes | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Orange County | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Osbourn | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Osbourn Park | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Park View | Patriot | Patriot 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patrick Henry Roano | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Patriot | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) | Patriot | |
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Patriot | Patriot 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Powhatan | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Princess Anne | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Riverbend | Patriot | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Patriot | |
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Rockbridge County | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Seton School | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| South County | Patriot | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Patriot | |
| South Lakes | Patriot | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Christophers | |
| St John Paul the Gre | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Patriot | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| Steward School | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Stone Bridge | |
| Strasburg LC | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Tabb LC | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Tallwood | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Tandem Friends | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Thomas Dale | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Patriot | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patriot | |
| Trinity Christian | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Tuscarora | Patriot | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| Unity Reed | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Veritas School | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Virginia Academy | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Wakefield HS | Patriot | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| Wakefield School | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | West Potomac | |
| West Springfield | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| William Fleming | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Woodgrove | Patriot | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Patriot | |
| Woodson | Woodson | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Woodson | |
| York LC | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 121
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Riverside (13- 3, 93.2) 0-16 -6.71 28.29 -0.61 0.87 -6.38
0 H Colgan (13- 5, 83.1) 13-10 -16.75 18.25 -0.61 0.87 15.37
0 H Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 4-10 -8.67 26.33 -0.61 0.87 -8.09
0 H Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 4-14 -6.07 28.94 -0.61 0.87 -5.82
0 H Fauquier ( 6- 9, 82.2) 7- 3 -17.69 17.31 -0.61 0.87 14.56
0 A Westfield ( 6-12, 86.0) 7- 8 -13.86 21.14 0.61 0.87 -11.55
0 A Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 14- 3 -22.31 12.69 0.61 0.87 11.59
0 H Osbourn ( 1-15, 66.3) 16- 0 -33.59 1.41 -0.61 0.87 0.70
0 A Freedom South (12- 7, 88.3) 4- 6 -11.59 23.41 0.61 0.87 -9.57
0 A Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 10- 7 -14.99 20.01 0.61 0.87 17.97
0 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 2-12 -7.63 27.37 0.61 0.87 -6.12
0 H Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 72.1) 17- 1 -27.81 7.20 -0.61 0.87 5.74
0 A Osbourn Park ( 6- 8, 71.9) 17- 1 -28.03 6.97 0.61 0.87 6.61
0 H Gainesville (15- 5, 88.5) 9-12 -11.37 23.63 -0.61 0.87 -10.44
0 A Mountain View (10-10, 81.6) 8- 3 -18.31 16.70 0.61 0.87 15.08
0 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 1- 8 -7.63 27.37 0.61 0.87 -6.12
------
23.54
|
winning pts = 87.6237 losing points = -64.0865
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------