Potomac School
W-L: ( 3- 6) PR = 90.9968Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 H Norfolk Academy (13- 6, 93.5) 7-11 401 A St Stephen-St Agnes ( 2- 5, 92.4) 8- 7 405 A Woodberry Forest ( 9- 8, 93.0) 9-15 411 A Collegiate School (12- 6, 94.6) 4- 8 417 H St Christophers (15- 4, 96.2) 5-18 422 H Episcopal ( 8- 3, 96.8) 6-10 423 A Flint Hill ( 4- 5, 86.1) 12- 6 507 H Flint Hill ( 4- 5, 86.1) 16- 2 510 A Episcopal ( 8- 3, 96.8) 5-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 H Norfolk Academy 7-11 -4 -2 - -2.13
401 A St Stephen-St Agnes 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.04
405 A Woodberry Forest 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.38
411 A Collegiate School 4- 8 -4 -4 0.21
417 H St Christophers 5-18 -13 -5 -0.45
422 H Episcopal 6-10 -4 -5 1.00
423 A Flint Hill 12- 6 6 4 0.67
507 H Flint Hill 16- 2 14 6 0.00
510 A Episcopal 5-14 -9 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Norfolk Academy 7-11 -4 -2 - -2.13 405 A Woodberry Forest 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.38 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A St Stephen-St Agnes 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.04 |
Potomac School Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Alexandria City | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Annandale | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Atlee | Potomac School | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Potomac School | |
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Benedictine | Potomac School | tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5) | Potomac School | |
| Bishop Ireton | Potomac School | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Potomac School | |
| Bishop OConnell | Potomac School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Potomac School | |
| Blacksburg | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Brentsville | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Brooke Point | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Potomac School | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Potomac School | |
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) | Catholic HS | |
| Cave Spring | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Centreville | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Chantilly | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Charlottesville | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Christiansburg | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Clover Hill | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Colgan | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Cox | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Culpeper County | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Deep Run | Potomac School | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Potomac School | |
| Dominion | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| EC Glass | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Edison | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Fairfax | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Falls Church | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Fauquier | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| First Colonial | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Flint Hill | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Fluvanna County | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Forest Park | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Fork Union Military | Potomac School | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Potomac School | |
| Franklin County | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Gainesville | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Gar-field | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Glen Allen | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Goochland | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Grafton LC | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Grassfield LC | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Green Run | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Handley | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Hanover | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Hayfield | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Herndon | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Hickory LC | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Hidden Valley | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Highland School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Highland Springs | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Hylton | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| James Monroe | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| James River | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Jamestown LC | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| John Champe | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Justice | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Kellam | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Kempsville | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Kettle Run | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Lafayette LC | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Lake Braddock | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Landstown | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Lightridge | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Loudoun County | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Marshall | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Massaponax | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Matoaca | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Maury LC | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| McLean | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Mechanicsville | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Menchville LC | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Meridian | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Midlothian | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Mills Godwin | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Monacan | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Monticello | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Mount Vernon | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Mountain View | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Potomac School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Potomac School | |
| New Covenant School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Potomac School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Potomac School | |
| Norfolk Collegiate | Potomac School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Potomac School | |
| North Cross School | Potomac School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Potomac School | |
| North Stafford | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Oakton | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Orange County | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Osbourn | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Osbourn Park | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Park View | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Patriot | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Paul VI | |
| Potomac Falls | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Powhatan | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Princess Anne | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Riverbend | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Riverside | |
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Rockbridge County | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Rockingham LC | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Salem | Salem | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Salem | |
| Salem Virginia Beach | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Seton School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| South County | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| South Lakes | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Stafford | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Steward School | Potomac School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Potomac School | |
| Stone Bridge | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Strasburg LC | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Tabb LC | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Tallwood | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Tandem Friends | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Thomas Dale | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Trinity Christian | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Potomac School | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) | Potomac School | |
| Trinity Meadow View | Potomac School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Potomac School | |
| Tuscarora | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Unity Reed | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Veritas School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Virginia Academy | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Potomac School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Potomac School | |
| Wakefield HS | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Wakefield School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Western Albemarle | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Westfield | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| William Byrd | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| William Fleming | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Woodgrove | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Woodson | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| York LC | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Yorktown | Potomac School | Potomac School |
PowerWise = 155
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Norfolk Academ (13- 6, 93.5) 7-11 -6.42 28.58 -0.61 1.55 -10.90
0 A St Stephen-St ( 2- 5, 92.4) 8- 7 -7.47 27.53 0.61 1.55 43.60
0 A Woodberry Fore ( 9- 8, 93.0) 9-15 -6.90 28.11 0.61 1.55 -9.74
0 A Collegiate Sch (12- 6, 94.6) 4- 8 -5.31 29.70 0.61 1.55 -7.28
0 H St Christopher (15- 4, 96.2) 5-18 -3.74 31.26 -0.61 1.55 -6.74
0 H Episcopal ( 8- 3, 96.8) 6-10 -3.11 31.89 -0.61 1.55 -5.77
0 A Flint Hill ( 4- 5, 86.1) 12- 6 -13.85 21.16 0.61 1.55 33.72
0 H Flint Hill ( 4- 5, 86.1) 16- 2 -13.85 21.16 -0.61 1.55 31.83
0 A Episcopal ( 8- 3, 96.8) 5-14 -3.11 31.89 0.61 1.55 -3.88
------
64.86
|
winning pts = 109.1524 losing points = -44.2955
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------