Potomac Falls
W-L: ( 2-13) PR = 79.8371Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Freedom South Ridin (12- 7, 88.3) 1- 9 325 H Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 82.2) 9-15 328 A Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 5- 7 402 A Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 17- 7 404 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 1-18 409 H Park View ( 0-14, 64.9) 8- 1 423 H Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 9-11 429 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 1-14 430 H Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 6-12 502 A Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 2-19 506 H Riverside (13- 3, 93.2) 1-21 508 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 3-16 513 A Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 5-15 515 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 8-11 519 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 3-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 H Freedom South Ridin 1- 9 -8 -8 0.00
325 H Heritage Leesburg 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.27
328 A Loudoun Valley 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.97
402 A Tuscarora 17- 7 10 3 + 2.37
404 H Loudoun County 1-18 -17 -10 0.00
409 H Park View 8- 1 7 16 0.00
423 H Dominion 9-11 -2 -2 0.46
429 A Woodgrove 1-14 -13 -6 0.00
430 H Broad Run 6-12 -6 -8 0.00
502 A Independence 2-19 -17 -15 0.00
506 H Riverside 1-21 -20 -13 0.00
508 A Briar Woods 3-16 -13 -12 0.00
513 A Stone Bridge 5-15 -10 -11 0.00
515 H Lightridge 8-11 -3 -4 1.46
519 A Briar Woods 3-18 -15 -12 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Heritage Leesburg 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Tuscarora 17- 7 10 3 + 2.37 |
Potomac Falls Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Atlee | |
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Bayside | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Brentsville | |
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Clover Hill | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cosby | |
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cox | |
| Culpeper County | Potomac Falls | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Potomac Falls | |
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | EC Glass | |
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fairfax | |
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Fauquier | |
| First Colonial | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Forest Park | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gainesville | |
| Gar-field | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Handley | Handley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Handley | |
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Hidden Valley | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Hylton | Hylton | Hylton | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| James Monroe | James Monroe | James Monroe | ||
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| John Champe | John Champe | insuffient: ( 2- 9)( 3- 8) | John Champe | |
| Justice | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kellam | |
| Kempsville | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Kettle Run | Potomac Falls | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Potomac Falls | |
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Braddock | |
| Landstown | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Langley | Langley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Langley | |
| Lewis | Potomac Falls | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Potomac Falls | |
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Liberty Bealeton | |
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Madison | Madison | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Madison | |
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Massaponax | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Matoaca | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Menchville LC | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Meridian | |
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Orange County | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Osbourn | Potomac Falls | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Potomac Falls | |
| Osbourn Park | Potomac Falls | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Potomac Falls | |
| Park View | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patrick Henry Roano | |
| Patriot | Patriot | insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) | Patriot | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Powhatan | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Princess Anne | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Riverbend | |
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| South County | South County | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South County | |
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Christophers | |
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Stafford | Stafford | ||
| Steward School | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Tandem Friends | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Thomas Dale | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Potomac Falls | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Potomac Falls | |
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | ||
| Tuscarora | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Unity Reed | Potomac Falls | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Potomac Falls | |
| Veritas School | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Virginia Academy | Potomac Falls | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Potomac Falls | |
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | ||
| Wakefield School | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | West Potomac | |
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Westfield | |
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 56
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Freedom South (12- 7, 88.3) 1- 9 -11.59 23.41 -0.61 0.93 -11.34
0 H Heritage Lees ( 7-10, 82.2) 9-15 -17.73 17.28 -0.61 0.93 -17.04
0 A Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 5- 7 -19.64 15.36 0.61 0.93 -17.69
0 A Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 17- 7 -23.31 11.70 0.61 0.93 11.44
0 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 1-18 -9.41 25.59 -0.61 0.93 -9.32
0 H Park View ( 0-14, 64.9) 8- 1 -35.00 1.00 -0.61 0.93 0.36
0 H Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 9-11 -16.99 18.01 -0.61 0.93 -16.36
0 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 1-14 -14.49 20.51 0.61 0.93 -12.91
0 H Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 6-12 -11.83 23.17 -0.61 0.93 -11.56
0 A Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 2-19 -6.07 28.94 0.61 0.93 -5.07
0 H Riverside (13- 3, 93.2) 1-21 -6.71 28.29 -0.61 0.93 -6.80
0 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 3-16 -8.67 26.33 0.61 0.93 -7.49
0 A Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 5-15 -10.16 24.84 0.61 0.93 -8.88
0 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 8-11 -14.99 20.01 -0.61 0.93 -14.50
0 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 3-18 -8.67 26.33 0.61 0.93 -7.49
------
-134.68
|
winning pts = 11.8010 losing points = -146.4765
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------