Providence
W-L: ( 7-11) PR = 86.6950Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Charlotte Catholic (15- 5, 96.0) 2-20 225 A Hough (18- 4, 95.7) 3-15 301 A Charlotte CDS (17- 6, 94.1) 3-18 303 A South Mecklenburg ( 1-14, 80.4) 14- 1 304 H Parkwood ( 8-10, 81.5) 18- 1 312 H Sun Valley ( 8-11, 81.2) 15- 2 313 A Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 3-12 317 A Butler ( 3-12, 77.4) 17- 0 322 N Athens Drive (13- 8, 91.1) 8-10 324 A Cuthbertson (10-10, 87.4) 4- 9 326 H Myers Park ( 7-12, 88.4) 9-11 328 H Marvin Ridge (12- 9, 89.3) 13-14 408 A Community School-Dav (16- 9, 90.4) 9-14 409 H Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 8-11 430 H Porter Ridge ( 0-15, 72.6) 21- 0 502 A Ballantyne Ridge ( 8- 7, 83.7) 12- 7 513 A West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 11- 8 516 A Northwest Guilford (20- 5, 94.7) 5-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
224 H Charlotte Catholic 2-20 -18 -9 0.00
225 A Hough 3-15 -12 -9 0.00
301 A Charlotte CDS 3-18 -15 -8 0.00
303 A South Mecklenburg 14- 1 13 6 0.00
304 H Parkwood 18- 1 17 6 0.00
312 H Sun Valley 15- 2 13 6 0.00
313 A Ardrey Kell 3-12 -9 -8 0.00
317 A Butler 17- 0 17 9 0.00
322 N Athens Drive 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.44
324 A Cuthbertson 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.03
326 H Myers Park 9-11 -2 -1 -0.54
328 H Marvin Ridge 13-14 -1 -2 1.33
408 A Community School-Dav 9-14 -5 -4 -1.00
409 H Greensboro Day 8-11 -3 -2 -1.09
430 H Porter Ridge 21- 0 21 14 0.00
502 A Ballantyne Ridge 12- 7 5 3 + 2.29
513 A West Forsyth 11- 8 3 2 0.62
516 A Northwest Guilford 5-19 -14 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Cuthbertson 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 N Athens Drive 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.44 502 A Ballantyne Ridge 12- 7 5 3 + 2.29 |
Providence Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Providence | Providence | ||
| Asheville HS | Providence | Providence | ||
| Asheville School | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Ashley | Ashley | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Ashley | |
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | Providence | Providence | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Providence | Providence | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Providence | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Providence | |
| Bradford Prep | Providence | Providence 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Broughton | |
| Butler | Providence | Providence | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) | Cannon School | |
| Cape Fear Academy | Providence | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Providence | |
| Cape Fear HS | Providence | Providence | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Carrboro | Providence | Providence | ||
| Cary Academy | Cary Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Cary Christian | Providence | Providence | ||
| Cary HS | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Cedar Ridge | Providence | Providence | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Christ School | |
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King 4- 3 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Clayton | Clayton | Clayton | ||
| Cleveland | Providence | Providence | ||
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | ||
| Corinth Holders | Providence | Providence | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | Providence | Providence | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davie | Davie | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Davie | |
| DH Conley | Providence | Providence | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Durham Academy | |
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence | |
| Eastern Alamance | Providence | Providence | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Providence | Providence | ||
| Enloe | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Fike | Providence | Providence | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Fuquay-Varina | Providence | Providence | ||
| Garner | Providence | Providence | ||
| Glenn | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence | |
| Grays Creek | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Green Hope | Green Hope | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Green Hope | |
| Green Level | Green Level | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Green Level | |
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | ||
| Grimsley | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Providence | |
| Havelock | Providence | Providence | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Hickory | Hickory | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Hickory | |
| High Point Central | Providence | Providence | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Hough | Hough | Hough | ||
| Hunt | Providence | Providence | ||
| Independence | Providence | Providence | ||
| Jack Britt | Providence | Providence | ||
| Jacksonville | Providence | Providence | ||
| JF Webb | Providence | Providence | ||
| JH Rose | Providence | Providence | ||
| John Paul II Catholi | Providence | Providence | ||
| Jordan | Jordan | Jordan | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter 3- 4 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS 7- 0 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Laney | Laney | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Laney | |
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Leesville Road | |
| Lincoln Charter | Providence | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Providence | |
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | Millbrook | ||
| Mooresville | Providence | tied - ( 2- 6) ( 2- 6) | Providence | |
| Mount Tabor | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence | |
| Mountain Island Char | Providence | Providence 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | Providence | Providence | ||
| New Hanover | Providence | Providence | ||
| North Brunswick | Providence | Providence | ||
| North Davidson | Providence | Providence | ||
| North Lincoln | North Lincoln | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | North Lincoln | |
| North Raleigh Christ | Providence | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Providence | |
| Northern Durham | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Northern Guilford | |
| Northside | Providence | Providence | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Page | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) | Page | |
| Panther Creek | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Parkwood | Providence | Providence | ||
| Patton Morganton | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Pine Forest | Providence | Providence | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Providence | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Providence | |
| Pinecrest | Providence | Providence | ||
| Porter Ridge | Providence | Providence | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Providence Day | |
| Queens Grant | Providence | Providence | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ravenscroft School | |
| Reagan | Reagan | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 3) | Reagan | |
| Riverside Durham | Providence | Providence | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 1) | RJ Reynolds | |
| Rolesville | Providence | Providence | ||
| Roxboro Community | Providence | Providence | ||
| Sanderson | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Seaforth | Seaforth | Seaforth | ||
| South Brunswick | Providence | Providence | ||
| South Garner | Providence | Providence | ||
| South Iredell | Providence | Providence 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Providence | Providence | ||
| South View | Providence | Providence | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Providence | Providence | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Southern Alamance | Providence | Providence | ||
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| St Davids School | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| St Stephens | Providence | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Providence | |
| Sun Valley | Providence | Providence | ||
| Swansboro | Providence | Providence | ||
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | TC Roberson | |
| Terry Sanford | Providence | Providence | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Union Pines | Providence | Providence | ||
| Vance Charter | Providence | Providence | ||
| Voyager Academy | Providence | Providence | ||
| Wake Forest | Providence | Providence | ||
| Wake Prep | Providence | Providence | ||
| Wakefield | Providence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Walter M Williams | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Watauga | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence | |
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington 6- 3 vs 3- 6 | ||
| West Brunswick | Providence | Providence | ||
| West Carteret | Providence | Providence | ||
| West Forsyth | Providence | Providence | ||
| West Stokes | Providence | Providence | ||
| Western Alamance | Providence | Providence | ||
| Western Guilford | Providence | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence | |
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 90
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Charlotte Cath (15- 5, 96.0) 2-20 -3.89 29.92 -0.27 1.00 -4.15
0 A Hough (18- 4, 95.7) 3-15 -4.21 29.60 0.27 1.00 -3.92
0 A Charlotte CDS (17- 6, 94.1) 3-18 -5.80 28.01 0.27 1.00 -5.51
0 A South Mecklenb ( 1-14, 80.4) 14- 1 -19.49 14.31 0.27 1.00 14.53
0 H Parkwood ( 8-10, 81.5) 18- 1 -18.43 15.37 -0.27 1.00 15.05
0 H Sun Valley ( 8-11, 81.2) 15- 2 -18.72 15.09 -0.27 1.00 14.76
0 A Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 3-12 -5.86 27.95 0.27 1.00 -5.57
0 A Butler ( 3-12, 77.4) 17- 0 -22.54 11.27 0.27 1.00 11.50
0 N Athens Drive (13- 8, 91.1) 8-10 -8.76 25.05 -0.00 1.00 -8.73
0 A Cuthbertson (10-10, 87.4) 4- 9 -12.51 21.30 0.27 1.00 -12.19
0 H Myers Park ( 7-12, 88.4) 9-11 -11.47 22.33 -0.27 1.00 -11.70
0 H Marvin Ridge (12- 9, 89.3) 13-14 -10.60 23.21 -0.27 1.00 -10.83
0 A Community Scho (16- 9, 90.4) 9-14 -9.47 24.34 0.27 1.00 -9.17
0 H Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 8-11 -11.03 22.78 -0.27 1.00 -11.26
0 H Porter Ridge ( 0-15, 72.6) 21- 0 -27.30 6.51 -0.27 1.00 6.22
0 A Ballantyne Rid ( 8- 7, 83.7) 12- 7 -16.19 17.62 0.27 1.00 17.82
0 A West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 11- 8 -15.86 17.95 0.27 1.00 18.16
0 A Northwest Guil (20- 5, 94.7) 5-19 -5.18 28.63 0.27 1.00 -4.89
------
10.12
|
winning pts = 98.0365 losing points = -87.9139
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------