Providence Academy
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 86.2737Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 A Breck School ( 6- 7, 86.4) 10- 9 415 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids ( 8- 6, 87.4) 8- 9 419 H St Michael-Albertvil ( 7- 9, 90.8) 5- 7 424 A TriMAC Academy ( 2-11, 85.6) 7-13 426 H Breck School ( 6- 7, 86.4) 11-10 430 H Blake School ( 5-10, 85.8) 10-14 501 H Robbinsdale Armstron ( 4-10, 86.9) 10-14 506 H Hopkins/St Louis Par ( 2-12, 88.0) 10- 9 514 A St Paul/Two Rivers ( 8- 6, 88.8) 8- 7 517 A Becker ( 4-11, 84.4) 11- 7 520 H Southwest Christian ( 9- 5, 86.5) 13-14 522 H Holy Angels ( 2-12, 84.0) 16- 3 527 H St Cloud Unified ( 1-13, 80.9) 13- 6 529 A St Michael-Albertvil ( 7- 9, 90.8) 1-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 A Breck School 10- 9 1 -1 1.88
415 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids 8- 9 -1 -2 0.82
419 H St Michael-Albertvil 5- 7 -2 -4 1.80
424 A TriMAC Academy 7-13 -6 0 -- -4.97
426 H Breck School 11-10 1 1 0.40
430 H Blake School 10-14 -4 1 -- -5.24
501 H Robbinsdale Armstron 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.14
506 H Hopkins/St Louis Par 10- 9 1 -1 1.94
514 A St Paul/Two Rivers 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.22
517 A Becker 11- 7 4 1 + 2.83
520 H Southwest Christian 13-14 -1 0 -1.48
522 H Holy Angels 16- 3 13 3 1.94
527 H St Cloud Unified 13- 6 7 6 0.00
529 A St Michael-Albertvil 1-11 -10 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A TriMAC Academy 7-13 -6 0 -- -4.97 430 H Blake School 10-14 -4 1 -- -5.24 501 H Robbinsdale Armstron 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 514 A St Paul/Two Rivers 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.22 517 A Becker 11- 7 4 1 + 2.83 |
Providence Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andover | Andover | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Andover | |
| Anoka | Anoka | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Anoka | |
| Becker | Providence Academy | Providence Academy | ||
| Benilde-St Margarets | Benilde-St Margarets | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Benilde-St Margarets | |
| Big Lake/Princeton | Providence Academy | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Providence Academy | |
| Blaine | Blaine | Blaine | ||
| Blake School | Blake School | Blake School | ||
| Bloomington Jefferso | Bloomington Jefferso | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bloomington Jefferso | |
| Bloomington Kennedy/ | Providence Academy | Providence Academy 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Brainerd | Providence Academy | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Providence Academy | |
| Breck School | Providence Academy | Providence Academy | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Buffalo | |
| Centennial | Centennial | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Centennial | |
| Champlin Park | Champlin Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Champlin Park | |
| Chanhassen | Chanhassen | Chanhassen | ||
| Chaska | Chaska | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Chaska | |
| Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chisago Lakes | |
| Cloquet/Esko/Carlton | Providence Academy | Providence Academy | ||
| Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cretin-Derham Hall | |
| Delano/Rockford | Delano/Rockford | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Delano/Rockford | |
| Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Duluth Marshall | Providence Academy | Providence Academy | ||
| Eagan | Eagan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Eagan | |
| East Ridge | East Ridge | East Ridge | ||
| Eastview/Apple Valle | Eastview/Apple Valle | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Eastview/Apple Valle | |
| Eden Prairie | Eden Prairie | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Eden Prairie | |
| Edina | Edina | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Edina | |
| Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman | Elk River/Zimmerman 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Forest Lake | Providence Academy | Providence Academy | ||
| Grand Rapids/Greenwa | Providence Academy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Providence Academy | |
| Hastings | Hastings | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Hastings | |
| Hermantown/Proctor | Hermantown/Proctor | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Hermantown/Proctor | |
| Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Hill-Murray | |
| Holy Angels | Providence Academy | Providence Academy | ||
| Holy Family Catholic | Providence Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Providence Academy | |
| Hopkins/St Louis Par | Providence Academy | Providence Academy | ||
| Hutchinson | Providence Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence Academy | |
| Irondale | Irondale | Irondale | ||
| Lakeville North | Lakeville North | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lakeville North | |
| Lakeville South | Lakeville South | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Lakeville South | |
| Mahtomedi | Mahtomedi | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mahtomedi | |
| Mankato United | Providence Academy | Providence Academy | ||
| Maple Grove | Maple Grove | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Maple Grove | |
| Minneapolis United | Minneapolis United | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Minneapolis United | |
| Minnetonka | Minnetonka | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Minnetonka | |
| Monticello | Monticello | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Monticello | |
| Moorhead | Moorhead | Moorhead 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Mound Westonka | Providence Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence Academy | |
| Mounds View | Mounds View | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mounds View | |
| New Prague | New Prague | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Prague | |
| Northfield | Northfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northfield | |
| Orono | Orono | Orono 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Osseo/Park Center | Providence Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Providence Academy | |
| Owatonna | Owatonna | Owatonna 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Park Cottage Grove | Park Cottage Grove | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Park Cottage Grove | |
| Prior Lake | Prior Lake | Prior Lake | ||
| Robbinsdale Armstron | Robbinsdale Armstron | Robbinsdale Armstron | ||
| Rochester United | Rochester United | Rochester United | ||
| Rocori | Providence Academy | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Providence Academy | |
| Rogers | Rogers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rogers | |
| Rosemount | Rosemount | Rosemount | ||
| Roseville | Roseville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Roseville | |
| Sartell/Sauk Rapids | Sartell/Sauk Rapids | Sartell/Sauk Rapids | ||
| Shakopee | Shakopee | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Shakopee | |
| Simley | Providence Academy | Providence Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Southwest Christian | Southwest Christian | Southwest Christian | ||
| Spring Lake Park/Coo | Spring Lake Park/Coo | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Spring Lake Park/Coo | |
| St Cloud Unified | Providence Academy | Providence Academy | ||
| St Michael-Albertvil | St Michael-Albertvil | St Michael-Albertvil | ||
| St Paul/Two Rivers | Providence Academy | Providence Academy | ||
| St Thomas Academy | St Thomas Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Thomas Academy | |
| Stillwater | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Totino Grace | Providence Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence Academy | |
| TriMAC Academy | TriMAC Academy | TriMAC Academy | ||
| Waconia | Waconia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Waconia | |
| Wayzata | Wayzata | Wayzata 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | ||
| Woodbury | Woodbury | Woodbury |
PowerWise = 21
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Breck School ( 6- 7, 86.4) 10- 9 -13.49 11.58 0.74 1.04 12.87
0 A Sartell/Sauk R ( 8- 6, 87.4) 8- 9 -12.54 12.52 0.74 1.04 -12.33
0 H St Michael-Alb ( 7- 9, 90.8) 5- 7 -9.09 15.98 -0.74 1.04 -10.27
0 A TriMAC Academy ( 2-11, 85.6) 7-13 -14.34 10.73 0.74 1.04 -14.20
0 H Breck School ( 6- 7, 86.4) 11-10 -13.49 11.58 -0.74 1.04 11.32
0 H Blake School ( 5-10, 85.8) 10-14 -14.13 10.94 -0.74 1.04 -15.53
0 H Robbinsdale Ar ( 4-10, 86.9) 10-14 -13.03 12.04 -0.74 1.04 -14.38
0 H Hopkins/St Lou ( 2-12, 88.0) 10- 9 -11.94 13.13 -0.74 1.04 12.94
0 A St Paul/Two Ri ( 8- 6, 88.8) 8- 7 -11.15 13.92 0.74 1.04 15.31
0 A Becker ( 4-11, 84.4) 11- 7 -15.54 9.53 0.74 1.04 10.73
0 H Southwest Chri ( 9- 5, 86.5) 13-14 -13.36 11.70 -0.74 1.04 -14.73
0 H Holy Angels ( 2-12, 84.0) 16- 3 -15.95 9.12 -0.74 1.04 8.75
0 H St Cloud Unifi ( 1-13, 80.9) 13- 6 -18.99 6.08 -0.74 1.04 5.58
0 A St Michael-Alb ( 7- 9, 90.8) 1-11 -9.09 15.98 0.74 1.04 -8.72
------
-12.66
|
winning pts = 77.5077 losing points = -90.1713
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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