Providence School
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 78.4671Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Atlantic Coast ( 4-10, 72.2) 16- 6 214 A Winter Springs ( 2-13, 73.7) 10- 6 218 H Bartram Trail ( 8- 9, 84.4) 0-12 220 H Fleming Island ( 9- 8, 85.6) 4-14 228 A Matanzas ( 6- 9, 79.1) 5- 2 304 A St Joseph Academy (12- 5, 77.5) 15-12 306 H Sandalwood ( 2-10, 68.7) 15- 0 307 A Creekside (11- 6, 90.3) 1-15 310 A Riverside ( 0-13, 65.2) 17- 0 312 A Mandarin ( 3- 9, 73.2) 9- 0 325 A Menendez ( 6- 9, 81.5) 3- 7 328 H Fernandina Beach ( 5- 8, 76.5) 10- 5 329 H Lincoln Tallahassee ( 4-11, 76.6) 7- 5 401 H Beachside ( 6- 7, 79.2) 8-11 403 A Paxon Institute ( 8- 7, 76.1) 10- 9 404 A Santa Fe ( 5- 5, 76.4) 4- 5 409 H St Joseph Academy (12- 5, 77.5) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 H Atlantic Coast 16- 6 10 7 0.00
214 A Winter Springs 10- 6 4 4 -0.18
218 H Bartram Trail 0-12 -12 -5 0.00
220 H Fleming Island 4-14 -10 -7 0.00
228 A Matanzas 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.26
304 A St Joseph Academy 15-12 3 0 + 2.66
306 H Sandalwood 15- 0 15 10 0.00
307 A Creekside 1-15 -14 -12 0.00
310 A Riverside 17- 0 17 13 0.00
312 A Mandarin 9- 0 9 5 0.33
325 A Menendez 3- 7 -4 -4 -0.37
328 H Fernandina Beach 10- 5 5 3 + 2.45
329 H Lincoln Tallahassee 7- 5 2 2 -0.49
401 H Beachside 8-11 -3 0 - -2.86
403 A Paxon Institute 10- 9 1 2 -0.81
404 A Santa Fe 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.45
409 H St Joseph Academy 10-11 -1 2 - -2.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Beachside 8-11 -3 0 - -2.86 404 A Santa Fe 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.45 409 H St Joseph Academy 10-11 -1 2 - -2.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Matanzas 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.26 304 A St Joseph Academy 15-12 3 0 + 2.66 328 H Fernandina Beach 10- 5 5 3 + 2.45 |
Providence School Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admiral Farragut Aca | Admiral Farragut Aca | Admiral Farragut Aca | ||
| All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | ||
| Alonso | Alonso | Alonso | ||
| American Heritage De | American Heritage De | American Heritage De | ||
| American Heritage Pl | American Heritage Pl | American Heritage Pl | ||
| Angeline Academy | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Apopka | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Archbishop McCarthy | Archbishop McCarthy | Archbishop McCarthy | ||
| Atlantic Coast | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beac | Atlantic-Delray Beac | Atlantic-Delray Beac | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Barron Collier | Barron Collier | Barron Collier | ||
| Bartow | Bartow | Bartow | ||
| Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | ||
| Beachside | Beachside | Beachside | ||
| Belen Jesuit | Belen Jesuit | Belen Jesuit | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | ||
| Bishop McLaughlin | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bishop Moore | |
| Bishop Verot | Bishop Verot | Bishop Verot | ||
| Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | ||
| Boca Ciega | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Boca Raton | Boca Raton | Boca Raton | ||
| Bolles | Bolles | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Bolles | |
| Boone | Boone | Boone | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | ||
| Buchholz | Buchholz | Buchholz 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Calvary Christian Ac | Calvary Christian Ac | Calvary Christian Ac | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | ||
| Canterbury School | Canterbury School | Canterbury School | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | ||
| Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | ||
| Celebration | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Chiles | Chiles | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chiles | |
| Clearwater Central C | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Colonial | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Columbus Catholic | Columbus Catholic | Columbus Catholic | ||
| Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | ||
| Cooper City | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Coral Glades | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Coral Reef | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Coral Shores | Coral Shores | Coral Shores | ||
| Coral Springs | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Countryside | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Creekside | Creekside | Creekside | ||
| Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | ||
| Cypress Creek | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Cypress Lake | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Dr Phillips | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Durant | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Dwyer | Dwyer | Dwyer | ||
| East Lake | East Lake | East Lake | ||
| East Ridge | Providence School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Providence School | |
| East River | Providence School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Providence School | |
| Eastside | Providence School | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) | Providence School | |
| Edgewater | Edgewater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Edgewater | |
| Edgewood | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Episcopal Jacksonvi | Episcopal Jacksonvi | Episcopal Jacksonvi 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Estero | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Evans | Evans | Evans | ||
| Father Lopez | Providence School | Providence School 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fernandina Beach | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| First Academy | First Academy | First Academy | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | Providence School | Providence School 3- 5 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Fleming Island | Fleming Island | Fleming Island | ||
| Fletcher | Fletcher | Fletcher 8- 1 vs 5- 4 | ||
| Florida Christian | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Forest | Providence School | Providence School 2- 3 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Fort Myers | Fort Myers | Fort Myers | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Foundation Academy | Foundation Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Foundation Academy | |
| Freedom Orlando | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Golden Gate | Golden Gate | Golden Gate | ||
| Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gulf Breeze | |
| Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Gulliver Prep | Gulliver Prep | ||
| Hagerty | Hagerty | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hagerty | |
| Holy Trinity Episcop | Holy Trinity Episcop | Holy Trinity Episcop | ||
| Horizon | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| IMG Academy-White | IMG Academy-White | IMG Academy-White | ||
| Immaculata LaSalle | Immaculata LaSalle | Immaculata LaSalle | ||
| Immokalee | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Indian Rocks Christi | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Innovation | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | ||
| Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | ||
| John Carroll Catholi | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | Jupiter | ||
| Jupiter Christian | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Key West | Key West | Key West | ||
| Keys Gate | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Kings Academy | Kings Academy | Kings Academy | ||
| Lake Brantley | Lake Brantley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Brantley | |
| Lake Buena Vista | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | ||
| Lake Howell | Providence School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence School | |
| Lake Mary | Lake Mary | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Mary | |
| Lake Minneola | Lake Minneola | Lake Minneola | ||
| Lake Nona | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Lake Wales | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Lakeland Christian | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Lakeland HS | Lakeland HS | Lakeland HS | ||
| Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | ||
| Land O Lakes | Land O Lakes | Land O Lakes | ||
| Lely | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Leon | Leon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Leon | |
| Lincoln Tallahassee | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Lyman | Providence School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Providence School | |
| Maclay | Maclay | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Maclay | |
| Manatee | Manatee | Manatee | ||
| Mandarin | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Marco Island Academy | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Martin County | Martin County | Martin County | ||
| Matanzas | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Melbourne | Melbourne | Melbourne | ||
| Melbourne Central Ca | Melbourne Central Ca | Melbourne Central Ca | ||
| Menendez | Menendez | Menendez | ||
| Merritt Island | Merritt Island | Merritt Island | ||
| Miami Country Day | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | ||
| Milton | Providence School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence School | |
| Mitchell | Mitchell | Mitchell | ||
| Montverde Academy | Montverde Academy | Montverde Academy | ||
| Naples | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Navarre | Navarre | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navarre | |
| Nease | Nease | Nease 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Newberry | Providence School | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) | Providence School | |
| Newsome | Newsome | Newsome | ||
| Niceville | Niceville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Niceville | |
| North Bay Haven | Providence School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence School | |
| North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | ||
| Northeast St Petersb | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Northside Christian | Northside Christian | Northside Christian | ||
| NSU University Schoo | NSU University Schoo | NSU University Schoo | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | Oak Hall 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ocoee | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Okeechobee | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Olympia | Olympia | Olympia | ||
| Olympic Heights | Olympic Heights | Olympic Heights | ||
| Osceola | Osceola | Osceola | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | Out-of-Door Academy | Out-of-Door Academy | ||
| Oviedo | Oviedo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oviedo | |
| Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Palm Beach Central | Palm Beach Central | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Palm Harbor Universi | Palm Harbor Universi | Palm Harbor Universi | ||
| Palmer Trinity | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Park Vista | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Pasco | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Paxon Institute | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Pensacola | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Pensacola Catholic | |
| Pine Crest | Pine Crest | Pine Crest | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant | ||
| Pompano Beach | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | ||
| Rickards | Rickards | Rickards | ||
| Riverdale | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Riverside | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rockledge | Rockledge | Rockledge | ||
| Sandalwood | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Santa Fe | Santa Fe | Santa Fe | ||
| Sarasota HS | Sarasota HS | Sarasota HS | ||
| Satellite | Satellite | Satellite | ||
| Sebastian River | Providence School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Providence School | |
| Seminole | Seminole | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Seminole | |
| Seminole Ridge | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Sickles | Sickles | Sickles | ||
| South Fork | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| South Lake | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| South Plantation | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| South Walton | South Walton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Walton | |
| Spanish River | Spanish River | Spanish River | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | St Andrews | ||
| St Augustine | St Augustine | St Augustine 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| St Brendan | St Brendan | St Brendan | ||
| St Cloud | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| St Edwards School | St Edwards School | St Edwards School | ||
| St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Providence School | insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 3) | Providence School | |
| St Petersburg Cathol | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| St Petersburg HS | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| St Stephens Episcopa | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | Providence School | Providence School 7- 0 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Steinbrenner | Steinbrenner | Steinbrenner | ||
| Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | ||
| Suncoast | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Sunlake | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Tampa Prep | Tampa Prep | Tampa Prep | ||
| Taravella | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Timber Creek | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Tohopekaliga | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Trinity Catholic | Trinity Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Trinity Prep | Trinity Prep | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Trinity Prep | |
| University Orlando | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Venice | Venice | Venice | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | Vero Beach | ||
| Viera | Viera | Viera | ||
| Village School Naple | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Washington | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Wellington | Wellington | Wellington | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| West Boca Raton | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| West Broward | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| West Florida | West Florida | West Florida | ||
| West Orange | West Orange | West Orange | ||
| West Shore | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Western Davie | Western Davie | Western Davie | ||
| Westminster Academy | Westminster Academy | Westminster Academy | ||
| Westminster Christia | Westminster Christia | Westminster Christia | ||
| Wharton | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Windermere HS | Windermere HS | Windermere HS | ||
| Windermere Prep | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Winter Haven | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Winter Park | Winter Park | Winter Park | ||
| Winter Springs | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch |
PowerWise = 95
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Atlantic Coast ( 4-10, 72.2) 16- 6 -27.75 10.65 -0.60 0.89 8.96
0 A Winter Springs ( 2-13, 73.7) 10- 6 -26.21 12.18 0.60 0.89 11.40
0 H Bartram Trail ( 8- 9, 84.4) 0-12 -15.50 22.90 -0.60 0.89 -14.36
0 H Fleming Island ( 9- 8, 85.6) 4-14 -14.30 24.10 -0.60 0.89 -13.29
0 A Matanzas ( 6- 9, 79.1) 5- 2 -20.77 17.63 0.60 0.89 16.26
0 A St Joseph Acad (12- 5, 77.5) 15-12 -22.37 16.03 0.60 0.89 14.83
0 H Sandalwood ( 2-10, 68.7) 15- 0 -31.15 7.24 -0.60 0.89 5.92
0 A Creekside (11- 6, 90.3) 1-15 -9.62 28.78 0.60 0.89 -8.04
0 A Riverside ( 0-13, 65.2) 17- 0 -34.72 3.68 0.60 0.89 3.82
0 A Mandarin ( 3- 9, 73.2) 9- 0 -26.70 11.70 0.60 0.89 10.97
0 A Menendez ( 6- 9, 81.5) 3- 7 -18.41 19.99 0.60 0.89 -15.88
0 H Fernandina Bea ( 5- 8, 76.5) 10- 5 -23.38 15.02 -0.60 0.89 12.86
0 H Lincoln Tallah ( 4-11, 76.6) 7- 5 -23.32 15.07 -0.60 0.89 12.91
0 H Beachside ( 6- 7, 79.2) 8-11 -20.69 17.70 -0.60 0.89 -18.99
0 A Paxon Institut ( 8- 7, 76.1) 10- 9 -23.85 14.55 0.60 0.89 13.51
0 A Santa Fe ( 5- 5, 76.4) 4- 5 -23.48 14.91 0.60 0.89 -20.41
0 H St Joseph Acad (12- 5, 77.5) 10-11 -22.37 16.03 -0.60 0.89 -20.49
------
-0.02
|
winning pts = 111.4271 losing points = -111.4520
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------