List of boy Div 44 Providence Day List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Legion Collegiate Acad 14- 1      13    15          n/a  
   301 H Marvin Ridge           17- 5      12     4    +      2.85
   305 H Weddington             16- 5      11     8           0.00
   308 H Hill Academy II        15-13       2     8          n/a  
   311 A Cape Fear Academy      18- 8      10     9           0.00
   319 H Myers Park              8- 9      -1     3    --    -5.00
   322 H Durham Academy         14- 7       7     6           0.43
   326 A Charlotte Catholic      9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.43
   328 A Hough                  12-11       1    -1    +      2.06
   402 A Charlotte Latin        16- 6      10     9           0.00
   404 A Charlotte Christian    14- 4      10     8           0.00
   405 H Lake Norman Charter    14- 5       9     5           1.93
   409 A Lake Norman HS         10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.13
   411 H Cannon School           7-16      -9    -2    --    -4.90
   416 A Charlotte CDS          15- 8       7     5           1.55
   418 H Charlotte Latin        12- 6       6    10          -1.00
   420 A Ravenscroft School     13- 2      11    13           0.00
   423 H Charlotte Christian    13- 3      10     9           0.00
   426 A Christ School          10- 3       7     2    ++     4.79
   430 A Cannon School           7-16      -9    -2    --    -4.04
   503 H Charlotte CDS          16- 6      10     6           0.69
   509 H Charlotte Latin        17- 8       9    10           0.00
   514 A Christ School          14- 6       8     2    ++     4.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Hill Academy II        15-13       2     8    --         
   319 H Myers Park              8- 9      -1     3    --    -5.00
   411 H Cannon School           7-16      -9    -2    --    -4.90
   430 A Cannon School           7-16      -9    -2    --    -4.04
   326 A Charlotte Catholic      9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.43
   409 A Lake Norman HS         10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Christ School          10- 3       7     2    ++     4.79
   514 A Christ School          14- 6       8     2    ++     4.79
   301 H Marvin Ridge           17- 5      12     4    +      2.85
   328 A Hough                  12-11       1    -1    +      2.06



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 85.55 Power Rank.................     7
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 57.70 SOS (PR) Rank..............     4
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5979 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    57
 RPI Rating............... .6777 RPI Rank...................     7
 Champ. Probability ......  11.0 Championship Rank .........     4
 Selection sum ...........    70 Selection Rank ............    17
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  150. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     5
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  130. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     6
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  13.1 Ave Defensive Goals .......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.0