Providence Day
W-L: ( 7-12) PR = 92.9228Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Myers Park ( 7-12, 88.4) 13- 4 305 H Lake Norman HS (18- 2, 98.9) 5-10 307 A Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 11-12 314 H Rabun Gap-Nocoochee ( 4- 4, 94.5) 8- 7 315 A Ashley (10-13, 90.9) 7- 5 317 A Cape Fear Academy ( 9- 6, 85.2) 15- 3 328 H Charlotte Catholic (15- 5, 96.0) 10-14 403 H Charlotte CDS (17- 6, 94.1) 11-14 405 H Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 8- 5 408 A Cannon School ( 6-11, 91.9) 7- 8 410 A Charlotte Christian ( 9- 8, 91.6) 5- 6 412 H Hough (18- 4, 95.7) 8-13 415 H Charlotte Latin (10- 7, 92.9) 13-14 417 H Christ School (11- 4, 95.5) 2- 6 422 A Charlotte CDS (17- 6, 94.1) 8- 9 425 H Cannon School ( 6-11, 91.9) 7- 8 429 H Charlotte Christian ( 9- 8, 91.6) 10- 6 502 A Charlotte Latin (10- 7, 92.9) 13-11 509 A Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 4-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 A Myers Park 13- 4 9 4 0.77
305 H Lake Norman HS 5-10 -5 -6 0.00
307 A Durham Academy 11-12 -1 -2 1.20
314 H Rabun Gap-Nocoochee 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.31
315 A Ashley 7- 5 2 2 0.21
317 A Cape Fear Academy 15- 3 12 7 0.00
328 H Charlotte Catholic 10-14 -4 -3 -1.19
403 H Charlotte CDS 11-14 -3 -1 - -2.09
405 H Middle Creek 8- 5 3 -4 +++ 7.48
408 A Cannon School 7- 8 -1 1 -1.76
410 A Charlotte Christian 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.07
412 H Hough 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.50
415 H Charlotte Latin 13-14 -1 0 -1.32
417 H Christ School 2- 6 -4 -2 -1.70
422 A Charlotte CDS 8- 9 -1 -1 0.45
425 H Cannon School 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.30
429 H Charlotte Christian 10- 6 4 2 + 2.38
502 A Charlotte Latin 13-11 2 0 + 2.23
509 A Durham Academy 4-13 -9 -2 - -2.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Charlotte CDS 11-14 -3 -1 - -2.09 410 A Charlotte Christian 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.07 412 H Hough 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.50 425 H Cannon School 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.30 509 A Durham Academy 4-13 -9 -2 - -2.80 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Middle Creek 8- 5 3 -4 +++ 7.48 314 H Rabun Gap-Nocoochee 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.31 429 H Charlotte Christian 10- 6 4 2 + 2.38 502 A Charlotte Latin 13-11 2 0 + 2.23 |
Providence Day Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Apex | |
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Apex Friendship | |
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 2) | Ardrey Kell | |
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Asheville HS | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Asheville School | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence Day | |
| Ashley | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Athens Drive | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Atkins | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence Day | |
| Bishop McGuinness | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Bradford Prep | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Broughton | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Butler | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence Day | |
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Carrboro | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Cary Academy | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Cary Christian | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Cary HS | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Cedar Ridge | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Chapel Hill | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) | Providence Day | |
| Charlotte Latin | Providence Day | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 4) | Providence Day | |
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 4) | Providence Day | |
| Clayton | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Cleveland | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Community School-Dav | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 2) | Providence Day | |
| Corinth Holders | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Croatan | |
| Cuthbertson | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Davie | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| DH Conley | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Chapel Hill | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| East Forsyth | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Eastern Alamance | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Enloe | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Fike | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| First Flight | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Providence Day | Providence Day 3- 3 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Garner | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Glenn | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Grays Creek | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Green Hope | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Green Level | Green Level | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Green Level | |
| Greensboro Day | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) | Providence Day | |
| Grimsley | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Havelock | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Heritage | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Hickory | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| High Point Central | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Hoggard | Providence Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Hough | Hough | Hough | ||
| Hunt | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Independence | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Jack Britt | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Jacksonville | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| JF Webb | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| JH Rose | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| John Paul II Catholi | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Jordan | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 3) | Lake Norman Charter | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Laney | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Laney | |
| Leesville Road | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 1- 5) | Providence Day | |
| Middle Creek | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Millbrook | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Mooresville | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Providence Day | |
| Mount Tabor | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Myers Park | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| New Bern | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| New Hanover | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Brunswick | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| North Davidson | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| North Lincoln | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Providence Day | |
| Northern Durham | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Northern Guilford | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Northside | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Page | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Providence Day | |
| Panther Creek | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Parkwood | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Patton Morganton | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Pine Forest | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Pinecrest | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Porter Ridge | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Providence | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Providence Day | |
| Queens Grant | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Ragsdale | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Providence Day | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Reagan | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Riverside Durham | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| RJ Reynolds | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Rolesville | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Roxboro Community | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Sanderson | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Seaforth | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| South Brunswick | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| South Garner | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| South Iredell | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Providence Day | |
| South Mecklenburg | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Providence Day | |
| South View | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Southern Alamance | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Southlake Christian | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| St Davids School | Providence Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Providence Day | |
| St Stephens | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Sun Valley | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Swansboro | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| TC Roberson | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Terry Sanford | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Topsail | Providence Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Union Pines | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Vance Charter | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Voyager Academy | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Wake Forest | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Wake Prep | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Wakefield | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Walter M Williams | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Watauga | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 4) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| West Carteret | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| West Forsyth | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| West Stokes | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Western Alamance | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Western Guilford | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Willow Spring | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 130
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Myers Park ( 7-12, 88.4) 13- 4 -11.47 22.33 0.27 0.94 21.34
0 H Lake Norman HS (18- 2, 98.9) 5-10 -0.99 32.82 -0.27 0.94 -1.19
0 A Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 11-12 -5.05 28.76 0.27 0.94 -4.51
0 H Rabun Gap-Noco ( 4- 4, 94.5) 8- 7 -5.39 28.41 -0.27 0.94 26.56
0 A Ashley (10-13, 90.9) 7- 5 -9.04 24.77 0.27 0.94 23.64
0 A Cape Fear Acad ( 9- 6, 85.2) 15- 3 -14.74 19.07 0.27 0.94 18.26
0 H Charlotte Cath (15- 5, 96.0) 10-14 -3.89 29.92 -0.27 0.94 -3.93
0 H Charlotte CDS (17- 6, 94.1) 11-14 -5.80 28.01 -0.27 0.94 -5.73
0 H Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 8- 5 -2.23 31.58 -0.27 0.94 29.55
0 A Cannon School ( 6-11, 91.9) 7- 8 -8.01 25.80 0.27 0.94 -7.30
0 A Charlotte Chri ( 9- 8, 91.6) 5- 6 -8.32 25.49 0.27 0.94 -7.60
0 H Hough (18- 4, 95.7) 8-13 -4.21 29.60 -0.27 0.94 -4.23
0 H Charlotte Lati (10- 7, 92.9) 13-14 -7.02 26.79 -0.27 0.94 -6.89
0 H Christ School (11- 4, 95.5) 2- 6 -4.41 29.40 -0.27 0.94 -4.41
0 A Charlotte CDS (17- 6, 94.1) 8- 9 -5.80 28.01 0.27 0.94 -5.22
0 H Cannon School ( 6-11, 91.9) 7- 8 -8.01 25.80 -0.27 0.94 -7.82
0 H Charlotte Chri ( 9- 8, 91.6) 10- 6 -8.32 25.49 -0.27 0.94 23.80
0 A Charlotte Lati (10- 7, 92.9) 13-11 -7.02 26.79 0.27 0.94 25.54
0 A Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 4-13 -5.05 28.76 0.27 0.94 -4.51
------
105.36
|
winning pts = 168.6806 losing points = -63.3183
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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