---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys Portage Northern 1
  
Portage Northern      
W-L: ( 4- 9) PR = 82.3979

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 A Harper Creek ( 5-13, 81.5) 6- 7 415 A Pennfield ( 1-15, 72.1) 15- 2 417 H Lakeview ( 8-12, 83.8) 10- 4 419 A Coopersville ( 7-10, 82.3) 3- 6 419 H Kenowa Hills (14- 7, 86.6) 5- 8 419 H Caledonia (15- 5, 91.7) 0-16 422 A Vicksburg ( 8- 6, 84.9) 7-16 429 H Mattawan (18- 2, 92.9) 2-17 501 H Kalamazoo United ( 3-11, 78.2) 17- 5 503 A Portage Central ( 5-10, 81.0) 9- 5 507 H Zeeland (11- 7, 88.5) 4-15 509 A Lowell ( 6-11, 85.0) 6-12 516 A Vicksburg ( 8- 6, 84.9) 7-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Harper Creek            6- 7      -1     0          -1.43
   415 A Pennfield              15- 2      13    10           0.00
   417 H Lakeview               10- 4       6    -1    ++     5.87
   419 A Coopersville            3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.59
   419 H Kenowa Hills            5- 8      -3    -4           0.73
   419 H Caledonia               0-16     -16    -9           0.00
   422 A Vicksburg               7-16      -9    -3    -     -2.05
   429 H Mattawan                2-17     -15   -10           0.00
   501 H Kalamazoo United       17- 5      12     5           0.32
   503 A Portage Central         9- 5       4     1    +      3.14
   507 H Zeeland                 4-15     -11    -6           0.00
   509 A Lowell                  6-12      -6    -3          -1.93
   516 A Vicksburg               7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Coopersville            3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.59
   422 A Vicksburg               7-16      -9    -3    -     -2.05
   516 A Vicksburg               7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Lakeview               10- 4       6    -1    ++     5.87
   503 A Portage Central         9- 5       4     1    +      3.14

Portage Northern Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Anchor Bay Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab   Ann Arbor Father Gab
Ann Arbor Greenhills Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Ann Arbor Huron Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Bay City Central Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Bay City John Glenn Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Bay City Western Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belleville Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Birmingham United Birmingham United   Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Byron Center Byron Center Byron Center   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Cadillac Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Caledonia Caledonia Caledonia  
Canton Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Cass Tech Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Chelsea Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Chippewa Valley Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville Coopersville  
Cranbrook Cranbrook   Cranbrook
Dakota Dakota   Dakota
Davison Portage Northern   Portage Northern
De La Salle De La Salle   De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood Portage Northern insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Portage Northern
East Lansing East Lansing tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) East Lansing
Farmington Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Fenton Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Flint Powers Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Forest Hills Norther
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Grandville Grandville Grandville   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Grosse Ile Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Grosse Pointe North Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Harper Creek Harper Creek Harper Creek  
Hartland Hartland   Hartland
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Haslett-Williamston
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian Holland Christian   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Holt Holt tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Holt
Howell Howell   Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville Hudsonville   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Jackson Portage Northern Portage Northern   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Jenison Jenison Jenison   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kalamazoo United Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills  
L'Anse Creuse Portage Northern   Portage Northern
L'Anse Creuse North Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic   Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Lincoln Ypsilanti Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Linden Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Livonia United Livonia United   Livonia United
Lowell Lowell Lowell  
Mattawan Mattawan Mattawan  
Midland Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Midland Dow Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Mona Shores Mona Shores Mona Shores   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Northview Portage Northern tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Portage Northern
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Novi Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Okemos Okemos insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Okemos
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary   Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Oxford Oxford   Oxford
Pennfield Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Petoskey Petoskey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Petoskey
Pinckney Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Port Huron United Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Portage Central Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Reeths Puffer Portage Northern insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Portage Northern
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford Rockford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Romeo Romeo   Romeo
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS   Royal Oak HS
Royal Oak Shrine Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Salem Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Saline Saline   Saline
Sault Area Portage Northern   Portage Northern
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified   South Lyon Unified
Spring Lake Spring Lake insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Spring Lake
St Clair Portage Northern   Portage Northern
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Portage Northern insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Portage Northern
St Mary Catholic Cen Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Swartz Creek Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Tecumseh Tecumseh   Tecumseh
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City West
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Portage Northern   Portage Northern
University Detroit J Portage Northern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Portage Northern
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg Vicksburg  
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern   Walled Lake Northern
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Waterford United   Waterford United
West Bloomfield Portage Northern   Portage Northern
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland Zeeland Zeeland  

PowerWise = 53


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Harper Creek    ( 5-13, 81.5)     6- 7      -18.43      13.89       0.50         1.24           -22.15
   0 A Pennfield       ( 1-15, 72.1)    15- 2      -27.77       4.54       0.50         1.24             6.23
   0 H Lakeview        ( 8-12, 83.8)    10- 4      -16.13      16.18      -0.50         1.24            19.37
   0 A Coopersville    ( 7-10, 82.3)     3- 6      -17.59      14.72       0.50         1.24           -21.12
   0 H Kenowa Hills    (14- 7, 86.6)     5- 8      -13.28      19.03      -0.50         1.24           -17.02
   0 H Caledonia       (15- 5, 91.7)     0-16       -8.24      24.07      -0.50         1.24           -10.79
   0 A Vicksburg       ( 8- 6, 84.9)     7-16      -15.04      17.27       0.50         1.24           -17.97
   0 H Mattawan        (18- 2, 92.9)     2-17       -6.98      25.33      -0.50         1.24            -9.24
   0 H Kalamazoo Unit  ( 3-11, 78.2)    17- 5      -21.69      10.62      -0.50         1.24            12.51
   0 A Portage Centra  ( 5-10, 81.0)     9- 5      -18.86      13.46       0.50         1.24            17.24
   0 H Zeeland         (11- 7, 88.5)     4-15      -11.41      20.90      -0.50         1.24           -14.71
   0 A Lowell          ( 6-11, 85.0)     6-12      -14.93      17.38       0.50         1.24           -17.83
   0 A Vicksburg       ( 8- 6, 84.9)     7-13      -15.04      17.27       0.50         1.24           -17.97
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -93.45

winning pts = 55.3456 losing points = -148.7928

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------