Park Cottage Grove
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 89.7813
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
415 H Woodbury ( 6- 9, 93.8) 9- 7
419 A Simley ( 1-12, 84.2) 18- 6
421 H Forest Lake ( 1-13, 85.0) 19-10
424 A East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 7-20
429 H Cretin-Derham Hall (10- 5, 94.6) 9-15
501 A Irondale ( 7- 7, 93.7) 5-17
506 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 93.0) 7-12
508 A Stillwater (18- 1, 99.1) 3-17
513 H White Bear Lake (10- 5, 96.1) 1-21
515 A TriMAC Academy ( 2-11, 85.6) 11-10
519 A Bloomington Kennedy/ ( 4-10, 83.8) 9- 1
521 A Roseville ( 2-10, 88.7) 11- 3
522 H Hastings ( 7- 7, 89.1) 11-12
527 H Simley ( 1-12, 84.2) 16-11
529 A East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 5-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
415 H Woodbury 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 5.24
419 A Simley 18- 6 12 5 0.14
421 H Forest Lake 19-10 9 6 0.00
424 A East Ridge 7-20 -13 -8 0.00
429 H Cretin-Derham Hall 9-15 -6 -4 -0.88
501 A Irondale 5-17 -12 -5 -0.34
506 H Mounds View 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.55
508 A Stillwater 3-17 -14 -10 0.00
513 H White Bear Lake 1-21 -20 -6 0.00
515 A TriMAC Academy 11-10 1 3 - -2.48
519 A Bloomington Kennedy/ 9- 1 8 5 0.00
521 A Roseville 11- 3 8 0 ++ 4.63
522 H Hastings 11-12 -1 1 - -2.41
527 H Simley 16-11 5 6 0.00
529 A East Ridge 5-16 -11 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
506 H Mounds View 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.55
515 A TriMAC Academy 11-10 1 3 - -2.48
522 H Hastings 11-12 -1 1 - -2.41
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
415 H Woodbury 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 5.24
521 A Roseville 11- 3 8 0 ++ 4.63
|
Park Cottage Grove Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Andover |
Andover |
|
 
| Andover |
Anoka |
Anoka |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Anoka |
Becker |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Benilde-St Margarets |
Benilde-St Margarets |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) |
Benilde-St Margarets |
Big Lake/Princeton |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Blaine |
Blaine |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Blaine |
Blake School |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Bloomington Jefferso |
Bloomington Jefferso |
|
 
| Bloomington Jefferso |
Bloomington Kennedy/ |
Park Cottage Grove |
Park Cottage Grove |
 
| |
Brainerd |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Breck School |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Buffalo |
Buffalo |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Buffalo |
Centennial |
Centennial |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Centennial |
Champlin Park |
Champlin Park |
|
 
| Champlin Park |
Chanhassen |
Chanhassen |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Chanhassen |
Chaska |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Chisago Lakes |
Chisago Lakes |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Chisago Lakes |
Cloquet/Esko/Carlton |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
 
| |
Delano/Rockford |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Duluth East/Denfield |
Duluth East/Denfield |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Duluth East/Denfield |
Duluth Marshall |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Eagan |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Park Cottage Grove |
East Ridge |
East Ridge |
East Ridge |
 
| |
Eastview/Apple Valle |
Eastview/Apple Valle |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Eastview/Apple Valle |
Eden Prairie |
Eden Prairie |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Eden Prairie |
Edina |
Edina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Edina |
Elk River/Zimmerman |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Farmington |
Farmington |
|
 
| Farmington |
Forest Lake |
Park Cottage Grove |
Park Cottage Grove |
 
| |
Grand Rapids/Greenwa |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Hastings |
Hastings |
Hastings |
 
| |
Hermantown/Proctor |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Hill-Murray |
Hill-Murray |
|
Hill-Murray   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
Holy Angels |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
Park Cottage Grove   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Holy Family Catholic |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Hopkins/St Louis Par |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Hutchinson |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Irondale |
Irondale |
Irondale |
 
| |
Lakeville North |
Lakeville North |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lakeville North |
Lakeville South |
Lakeville South |
|
 
| Lakeville South |
Mahtomedi |
Mahtomedi |
|
Mahtomedi   3- 3 vs 1- 5 |
|
Mankato United |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Maple Grove |
Maple Grove |
|
 
| Maple Grove |
Minneapolis United |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Minnetonka |
Minnetonka |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Minnetonka |
Monticello |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Moorhead |
Moorhead |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Moorhead |
Mound Westonka |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Mounds View |
Mounds View |
Mounds View |
 
| |
New Prague |
New Prague |
|
 
| New Prague |
Northfield |
Northfield |
|
 
| Northfield |
Orono |
Orono |
|
 
| Orono |
Osseo/Park Center |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Owatonna |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Prior Lake |
Prior Lake |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Prior Lake |
Providence Academy |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Robbinsdale Armstron |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Rochester United |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Park Cottage Grove |
Rocori |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Rogers |
Rogers |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rogers |
Rosemount |
Rosemount |
|
 
| Rosemount |
Roseville |
Park Cottage Grove |
Park Cottage Grove |
 
| |
Sartell/Sauk Rapids |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Shakopee |
Shakopee |
|
 
| Shakopee |
Simley |
Park Cottage Grove |
Park Cottage Grove |
 
| |
Southwest Christian |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Spring Lake Park/Coo |
Spring Lake Park/Coo |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Spring Lake Park/Coo |
St Cloud Unified |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Park Cottage Grove |
St Michael-Albertvil |
St Michael-Albertvil |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
St Michael-Albertvil |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) |
Park Cottage Grove |
St Thomas Academy |
St Thomas Academy |
|
St Thomas Academy   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
Stillwater |
Stillwater |
Stillwater |
 
| |
Totino Grace |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Park Cottage Grove |
TriMAC Academy |
Park Cottage Grove |
Park Cottage Grove |
 
| |
Waconia |
Park Cottage Grove |
|
 
| Park Cottage Grove |
Wayzata |
Wayzata |
|
 
| Wayzata |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
 
| |
Woodbury |
Park Cottage Grove |
Park Cottage Grove |
 
|
PowerWise = 38

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Woodbury ( 6- 9, 93.8) 9- 7 -6.14 18.93 -0.74 0.98 17.74
0 A Simley ( 1-12, 84.2) 18- 6 -15.72 9.34 0.74 0.98 9.83
0 H Forest Lake ( 1-13, 85.0) 19-10 -14.93 10.14 -0.74 0.98 9.16
0 A East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 7-20 -3.26 21.80 0.74 0.98 -2.46
0 H Cretin-Derham (10- 5, 94.6) 9-15 -5.26 19.81 -0.74 0.98 -5.85
0 A Irondale ( 7- 7, 93.7) 5-17 -6.20 18.87 0.74 0.98 -5.32
0 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 93.0) 7-12 -6.93 18.14 -0.74 0.98 -7.48
0 A Stillwater (18- 1, 99.1) 3-17 -0.78 24.29 0.74 0.98 -0.03
0 H White Bear Lak (10- 5, 96.1) 1-21 -3.79 21.28 -0.74 0.98 -4.42
0 A TriMAC Academy ( 2-11, 85.6) 11-10 -14.34 10.73 0.74 0.98 11.18
0 A Bloomington Ke ( 4-10, 83.8) 9- 1 -16.11 8.96 0.74 0.98 9.46
0 A Roseville ( 2-10, 88.7) 11- 3 -11.23 13.84 0.74 0.98 14.21
0 H Hastings ( 7- 7, 89.1) 11-12 -10.79 14.28 -0.74 0.98 -11.24
0 H Simley ( 1-12, 84.2) 16-11 -15.72 9.34 -0.74 0.98 8.39
0 A East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 5-16 -3.26 21.80 0.74 0.98 -2.46
------
40.71
|
winning pts = 79.9681 losing points = -39.2615
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------