---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:54 PDT

safe3step boys Providence Catholic 1
  
Providence Catholic   
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 83.3101

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 A Marmion Academy ( 3-13, 78.2) 14- 6 403 H Minooka ( 3-16, 81.3) 12- 3 408 H St Francis (12- 6, 87.0) 7-12 410 A Fenwick ( 8-11, 84.6) 6-10 412 H Lemont ( 9- 8, 86.6) 2-16 415 H DePaul Prep (14- 6, 90.6) 3-17 506 A Brother Rice ( 7-11, 81.5) 13- 6 508 H Montini Catholic (10- 5, 86.9) 6-11 510 A Homewood Flossmoor ( 1-17, 77.8) 14- 5 512 A Lockport Township (12- 7, 87.3) 8-22 514 H Hoffman Estates ( 9-11, 82.4) 10- 8 516 H Lincoln-Way (13- 6, 90.2) 1-14 517 A Nazareth Academy ( 6-13, 80.2) 15- 7 522 A Lemont ( 9- 8, 86.6) 6-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Marmion Academy        14- 6       8     4           0.52
   403 H Minooka                12- 3       9     3    +      2.36
   408 H St Francis              7-12      -5    -3          -1.94
   410 A Fenwick                 6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.09
   412 H Lemont                  2-16     -14    -3    -     -2.28
   415 H DePaul Prep             3-17     -14    -7           0.00
   506 A Brother Rice           13- 6       7     1    +      3.78
   508 H Montini Catholic        6-11      -5    -3          -1.99
   510 A Homewood Flossmoor     14- 5       9     5           0.14
   512 A Lockport Township       8-22     -14    -5          -0.40
   514 H Hoffman Estates        10- 8       2     2           0.42
   516 H Lincoln-Way             1-14     -13    -6           0.00
   517 A Nazareth Academy       15- 7       8     2    +      2.52
   522 A Lemont                  6-15      -9    -4          -1.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Fenwick                 6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.09
   412 H Lemont                  2-16     -14    -3    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Minooka                12- 3       9     3    +      2.36
   506 A Brother Rice           13- 6       7     1    +      3.78
   517 A Nazareth Academy       15- 7       8     2    +      2.52

Providence Catholic Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andrew-Sandburg-Stag Andrew-Sandburg-Stag Andrew-Sandburg-Stag   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Antioch Antioch   Antioch
Barrington Barrington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Barrington
Batavia Providence Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Providence Catholic
Benet Academy Benet Academy insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Benet Academy
Boylan Catholic Providence Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Providence Catholic
Brother Rice Providence Catholic Providence Catholic  
Buffalo Grove Providence Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Providence Catholic
Burlington Central Burlington Central   Burlington Central
Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Carmel Catholic
Cary Grove Cary Grove   Cary Grove
Conant Conant insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Conant
Crystal Lake Central Crystal Lake Central   Crystal Lake Central
Crystal Lake South Crystal Lake South insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Crystal Lake South
Deerfield Deerfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Deerfield
DePaul Prep DePaul Prep DePaul Prep  
Downers Grove Downers Grove Downers Grove   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Dundee-Crown Providence Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence Catholic
Dunlap Providence Catholic tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Providence Catholic
Elk Grove Providence Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence Catholic
Evanston Township Evanston Township Evanston Township   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fenwick Fenwick Fenwick  
Fremd Fremd tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fremd
Geneva Geneva tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Geneva
Glenbard North Glenbard North   Glenbard North
Glenbard West Glenbard West insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glenbard West
Glenbrook North Glenbrook North   Glenbrook North
Glenbrook South Glenbrook South insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glenbrook South
Grant Community Grant Community   Grant Community
Grayslake Co-op Grayslake Co-op   Grayslake Co-op
Hampshire Hampshire   Hampshire
Hersey Hersey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hersey
Highland Park Highland Park tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Highland Park
Hinsdale Central Hinsdale Central insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Hinsdale Central
Hoffman Estates Providence Catholic Providence Catholic  
Homewood Flossmoor Providence Catholic Providence Catholic  
Huntley Huntley   Huntley
Immaculate Conceptio Providence Catholic Providence Catholic   5- 4 vs 1- 8
Jacobs Providence Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence Catholic
Kaneland Kaneland insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Kaneland
Kenwood Providence Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Providence Catholic
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Forest Academy
Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS   Lake Forest HS
Lake Park Providence Catholic Providence Catholic   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Lake Zurich Lake Zurich   Lake Zurich
Lakes Community Lakes Community   Lakes Community
Lane Tech Lane Tech tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lane Tech
Latin School Providence Catholic tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Providence Catholic
Lemont Lemont Lemont  
Libertyville Libertyville   Libertyville
Lincoln Park Providence Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence Catholic
Lincoln-Way Lincoln-Way Lincoln-Way  
Lockport Township Lockport Township Lockport Township  
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Loyola Academy
Lyons Township Lyons Township Lyons Township   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Maine South Maine South   Maine South
Marian Central Catho Marian Central Catho   Marian Central Catho
Marist Marist tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Marist
Marmion Academy Providence Catholic Providence Catholic  
McHenry McHenry   McHenry
Minooka Providence Catholic Providence Catholic  
Montini Catholic Montini Catholic Montini Catholic  
Mount Carmel Mount Carmel Mount Carmel   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Mundelein Providence Catholic   Providence Catholic
Naperville Central Naperville Central tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Naperville Central
Naperville North Naperville North   Naperville North
Nazareth Academy Providence Catholic Providence Catholic  
Neuqua Valley Neuqua Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Neuqua Valley
New Trier New Trier insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Trier
Normal Community Providence Catholic tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Providence Catholic
Northside College Pr Providence Catholic   Providence Catholic
Notre Dame Providence Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Providence Catholic
Oak Forest Oak Forest Oak Forest   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Oak Park-River Fores Oak Park-River Fores insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Oak Park-River Fores
Palatine Providence Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence Catholic
Plainfield North Providence Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Providence Catholic
Prairie Ridge Prairie Ridge   Prairie Ridge
Prospect Prospect tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Prospect
Riverside Brookfield Riverside Brookfield tied - ( 6- 3) ( 6- 3) Riverside Brookfield
Rolling Meadows Rolling Meadows tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rolling Meadows
Schaumburg Schaumburg insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Schaumburg
South Elgin South Elgin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Elgin
St Charles East St Charles East insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Charles East
St Charles North St Charles North tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Charles North
St Francis St Francis St Francis  
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep   3- 0 vs 1- 2
St Laurence Providence Catholic Providence Catholic   3- 4 vs 0- 7
St Patrick Providence Catholic Providence Catholic   3- 0 vs 0- 3
St Rita St Rita St Rita   4- 2 vs 2- 4
St Viator St Viator tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Viator
Stevenson Stevenson   Stevenson
Taft HS Providence Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Providence Catholic
Timothy Christian Providence Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence Catholic
Vernon Hills Vernon Hills   Vernon Hills
Warren Township Warren Township   Warren Township
Washington Washington Washington   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Waubonsie-Metea Co-O Waubonsie-Metea Co-O tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Waubonsie-Metea Co-O
Wauconda Providence Catholic   Providence Catholic
Wheaton Academy Wheaton Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wheaton Academy
Wheaton North Wheaton North insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Wheaton North
Wheaton South Wheaton South insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Wheaton South
Wheeling Providence Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence Catholic
Whitney Young Providence Catholic   Providence Catholic
York York York   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PowerWise = 31


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.71

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Marmion Academ  ( 3-13, 78.2)    14- 6      -21.69       7.87       0.62         1.27            10.74
   0 H Minooka         ( 3-16, 81.3)    12- 3      -18.62      10.94      -0.62         1.27            13.06
   0 H St Francis      (12- 6, 87.0)     7-12      -12.91      16.65      -0.62         1.27           -17.12
   0 A Fenwick         ( 8-11, 84.6)     6-10      -15.30      14.26       0.62         1.27           -18.57
   0 H Lemont          ( 9- 8, 86.6)     2-16      -13.25      16.31      -0.62         1.27           -17.55
   0 H DePaul Prep     (14- 6, 90.6)     3-17       -9.29      20.27      -0.62         1.27           -12.53
   0 A Brother Rice    ( 7-11, 81.5)    13- 6      -18.43      11.13       0.62         1.27            14.87
   0 H Montini Cathol  (10- 5, 86.9)     6-11      -12.96      16.60      -0.62         1.27           -17.18
   0 A Homewood Floss  ( 1-17, 77.8)    14- 5      -22.06       7.50       0.62         1.27            10.27
   0 A Lockport Towns  (12- 7, 87.3)     8-22      -12.61      16.95       0.62         1.27           -15.17
   0 H Hoffman Estate  ( 9-11, 82.4)    10- 8      -17.55      12.01      -0.62         1.27            14.41
   0 H Lincoln-Way     (13- 6, 90.2)     1-14       -9.69      19.87      -0.62         1.27           -13.05
   0 A Nazareth Acade  ( 6-13, 80.2)    15- 7      -19.69       9.87       0.62         1.27            13.27
   0 A Lemont          ( 9- 8, 86.6)     6-15      -13.25      16.31       0.62         1.27           -15.98
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -50.53

winning pts = 76.6283 losing points = -127.1569

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------