---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:10 PDT

safe3step boys Ponaganset 1
  
Ponaganset            
W-L: (11- 8) PR = 80.9812

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 H North Smithfield ( 8- 8, 83.1) 3- 9 403 A East Providence ( 6- 9, 77.7) 12- 6 404 H North Providence ( 4-13, 77.1) 11- 5 411 A Cranston East ( 0-13, 70.3) 14- 0 414 A Tiverton (11- 5, 81.1) 9-10 417 H Burrillville ( 3-14, 78.9) 11- 6 422 A Scituate (17- 1, 85.5) 2- 9 425 H Classical ( 2-10, 74.4) 16- 0 429 A Cranston East ( 0-13, 70.3) 16- 1 506 A North Providence ( 4-13, 77.1) 13- 4 508 H Tiverton (11- 5, 81.1) 6- 4 509 H East Providence ( 6- 9, 77.7) 4- 6 510 H Lincoln (11- 5, 84.3) 1-13 513 A Rogers (13- 3, 84.7) 0-14 517 A Burrillville ( 3-14, 78.9) 11- 2 518 H Scituate (17- 1, 85.5) 2-19 520 A Classical ( 2-10, 74.4) 14- 0 530 H East Providence ( 6- 9, 77.7) 13- 3 604 A Scituate (17- 1, 85.5) 2- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H North Smithfield        3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.26
   403 A East Providence        12- 6       6     3    +      2.14
   404 H North Providence       11- 5       6     4           0.66
   411 A Cranston East          14- 0      14    10           0.00
   414 A Tiverton                9-10      -1    -1          -0.50
   417 H Burrillville           11- 6       5     3    +      2.48
   422 A Scituate                2- 9      -7    -5          -0.06
   425 H Classical              16- 0      16     7           0.00
   429 A Cranston East          16- 1      15    10           0.00
   506 A North Providence       13- 4       9     4           1.49
   508 H Tiverton                6- 4       2     0           1.67
   509 H East Providence         4- 6      -2     4    --    -5.69
   510 H Lincoln                 1-13     -12    -3    -     -2.09
   513 A Rogers                  0-14     -14    -4          -0.83
   517 A Burrillville           11- 2       9     2    +      3.32
   518 H Scituate                2-19     -17    -4          -0.89
   520 A Classical              14- 0      14     6           0.00
   530 H East Providence        13- 3      10     4           1.31
   604 A Scituate                2- 9      -7    -5          -0.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H East Providence         4- 6      -2     4    --    -5.69
   401 H North Smithfield        3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.26
   510 H Lincoln                 1-13     -12    -3    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A East Providence        12- 6       6     3    +      2.14
   417 H Burrillville           11- 6       5     3    +      2.48
   517 A Burrillville           11- 2       9     2    +      3.32

Ponaganset Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Barrington Barrington   Barrington
Bishop Hendricken Bishop Hendricken   Bishop Hendricken
Burrillville Ponaganset Ponaganset  
Chariho Chariho insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chariho
Classical Ponaganset Ponaganset  
Coventry Coventry insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Coventry
Cranston East Ponaganset Ponaganset  
Cranston West Ponaganset   Ponaganset
Cumberland Cumberland   Cumberland
East Greenwich East Greenwich   East Greenwich
East Providence Ponaganset Ponaganset  
La Salle Academy La Salle Academy   La Salle Academy
Lincoln Lincoln Lincoln  
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School   Moses Brown School
Mount Hope Mount Hope Mount Hope   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Narragansett Narragansett Narragansett   3- 2 vs 1- 4
North Kingstown North Kingstown   North Kingstown
North Providence Ponaganset Ponaganset  
North Smithfield North Smithfield North Smithfield  
Pilgrim Pilgrim   Pilgrim
Portsmouth Portsmouth   Portsmouth
Prout/Exeter-West Gr Prout/Exeter-West Gr   Prout/Exeter-West Gr
Providence CDS-St Ra Ponaganset tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Ponaganset
Rogers Rogers Rogers  
Scituate Scituate Scituate  
Smithfield Smithfield   Smithfield
South Kingstown South Kingstown   South Kingstown
Tiverton Tiverton tied - ( 5- 4) ( 5- 2) Tiverton
Toll Gate Ponaganset Ponaganset   4- 3 vs 2- 3
Westerly Westerly   Westerly

PowerWise = 8


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.69

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H North Smithfie  ( 8- 8, 83.1)     3- 9      -16.76      12.87      -0.42         0.83           -14.18
   0 A East Providenc  ( 6- 9, 77.7)    12- 6      -22.19       7.44       0.42         0.83             6.48
   0 H North Providen  ( 4-13, 77.1)    11- 5      -22.84       6.78      -0.42         0.83             5.26
   0 A Cranston East   ( 0-13, 70.3)    14- 0      -29.63       1.00       0.42         0.83             1.17
   0 A Tiverton        (11- 5, 81.1)     9-10      -18.83      10.79       0.42         0.83           -15.21
   0 H Burrillville    ( 3-14, 78.9)    11- 6      -21.02       8.61      -0.42         0.83             6.76
   0 A Scituate        (17- 1, 85.5)     2- 9      -14.39      15.23       0.42         0.83           -11.54
   0 H Classical       ( 2-10, 74.4)    16- 0      -25.55       4.08      -0.42         0.83             3.02
   0 A Cranston East   ( 0-13, 70.3)    16- 1      -29.63       1.00       0.42         0.83             1.17
   0 A North Providen  ( 4-13, 77.1)    13- 4      -22.84       6.78       0.42         0.83             5.95
   0 H Tiverton        (11- 5, 81.1)     6- 4      -18.83      10.79      -0.42         0.83             8.57
   0 H East Providenc  ( 6- 9, 77.7)     4- 6      -22.19       7.44      -0.42         0.83           -18.67
   0 H Lincoln         (11- 5, 84.3)     1-13      -15.59      14.04      -0.42         0.83           -13.21
   0 A Rogers          (13- 3, 84.7)     0-14      -15.16      14.46       0.42         0.83           -12.18
   0 A Burrillville    ( 3-14, 78.9)    11- 2      -21.02       8.61       0.42         0.83             7.45
   0 H Scituate        (17- 1, 85.5)     2-19      -14.39      15.23      -0.42         0.83           -12.23
   0 A Classical       ( 2-10, 74.4)    14- 0      -25.55       4.08       0.42         0.83             3.71
   0 H East Providenc  ( 6- 9, 77.7)    13- 3      -22.19       7.44      -0.42         0.83             5.79
   0 A Scituate        (17- 1, 85.5)     2- 9      -14.39      15.23       0.42         0.83           -11.54
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -53.41

winning pts = 55.3393 losing points = -108.7523

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------