---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:50 PDT

safe3step boys Pomperaug 1
  
Pomperaug             
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 79.6652

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Avon HS ( 4-12, 80.2) 2- 7 408 H Bethel (13- 7, 85.4) 3-19 410 H Joel Barlow (15- 5, 89.2) 3-20 412 H St Paul Catholic (11- 7, 77.5) 15- 7 415 A Bunnell-Stratford ( 3-13, 72.4) 14- 4 417 A Fitch Groton ( 3-10, 74.6) 15- 8 419 H Brookfield (12- 8, 84.9) 10-12 422 A Immaculate Danbury ( 6-10, 76.4) 12- 7 424 H Masuk ( 8-10, 81.5) 7- 9 429 A New Fairfield (20- 2, 90.5) 2-20 501 A Amity Regional (10- 7, 84.1) 5-14 506 A Weston ( 9-10, 83.9) 4-11 509 H New Milford ( 9- 9, 83.8) 3-16 510 A Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 3-12 515 A Notre Dame-Fairfield ( 1-15, 67.9) 14- 7 517 H Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 5-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Avon HS                 2- 7      -5    -1    --    -4.01
   408 H Bethel                  3-19     -16    -5           0.00
   410 H Joel Barlow             3-20     -17    -9           0.00
   412 H St Paul Catholic       15- 7       8     3    +      2.38
   415 A Bunnell-Stratford      14- 4      10     7           0.00
   417 A Fitch  Groton          15- 8       7     5           0.36
   419 H Brookfield             10-12      -2    -5    +      2.78
   422 A Immaculate  Danbury    12- 7       5     3    +      2.20
   424 H Masuk                   7- 9      -2    -1          -0.59
   429 A New Fairfield           2-20     -18   -11           0.00
   501 A Amity Regional          5-14      -9    -5          -0.06
   506 A Weston                  4-11      -7    -5          -0.26
   509 H New Milford             3-16     -13    -4          -1.31
   510 A Hall                    3-12      -9    -4          -1.48
   515 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   14- 7       7    11           0.00
   517 H Newtown                 5-12      -7    -5          -0.02

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Avon HS                 2- 7      -5    -1    --    -4.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H St Paul Catholic       15- 7       8     3    +      2.38
   419 H Brookfield             10-12      -2    -5    +      2.78
   422 A Immaculate  Danbury    12- 7       5     3    +      2.20

Pomperaug Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Avon HS Avon HS Avon HS  
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Bacon Academy
Berlin Pomperaug insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Pomperaug
Bethel Bethel Bethel  
Branford Pomperaug tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Brien McMahon Pomperaug tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pomperaug
Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bristol Co-Op
Brookfield Brookfield Brookfield  
Bunnell-Stratford Pomperaug Pomperaug  
Canton Canton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Canton
Capital-Classical Pr Pomperaug insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Conard Conard Conard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cromwell Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Danbury Pomperaug tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pomperaug
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   5- 2 vs 0- 7
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic   3- 2 vs 1- 4
East Lyme East Lyme tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Lyme
Ellington Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Enfield Pomperaug   Pomperaug
EO Smith Pomperaug tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Farmington
Fitch Groton Pomperaug Pomperaug  
Foran Foran insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Guilford Guilford Guilford   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall Hall  
Hamden Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Holy Cross Pomperaug insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Pomperaug
Immaculate Danbury Pomperaug Pomperaug  
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Jonathan Law Pomperaug tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Lakeview United Pomperaug insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Ledyard-Griswold Pomperaug insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Lewis Mills Pomperaug insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Pomperaug
Lyman Hall Pomperaug tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Maloney-Platt Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Masuk Masuk Masuk  
Middletown Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Montville Pomperaug insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Morgan School Pomperaug tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pomperaug
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
New Milford New Milford New Milford  
Newington Newington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newington
Newtown Newtown Newtown  
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Norwalk Pomperaug insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pomperaug
Norwich Free Academy Pomperaug tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pomperaug
Norwich Tech Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Notre Dame-Fairfield Pomperaug Pomperaug  
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Old Lyme Pomperaug insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Old Saybrook
Prince-Cheney Tech Pomperaug   Pomperaug
RHAM RHAM insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Rocky Hill Pomperaug tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Sheehan Sheehan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sheehan
Shelton Pomperaug tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pomperaug
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Somers Somers insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Somers
South Windsor South Windsor tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Windsor
Southington Southington Southington   4- 0 vs 0- 4
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Bernard-Wheeler
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Paul Catholic Pomperaug Pomperaug  
Stamford Stamford insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Stamford
Staples Staples insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Staples
Stonington Pomperaug tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pomperaug
Suffield Suffield   Suffield
Tolland Pomperaug tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Trumbull Trumbull Trumbull   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Valley Regional Pomperaug tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pomperaug
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Pomperaug insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Waterford Waterford tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Waterford
Watertown Pomperaug insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pomperaug
West Haven Pomperaug tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pomperaug
Westhill Pomperaug Pomperaug   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Weston Weston Weston  
Wethersfield Wethersfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wethersfield
Wilbur Cross Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Wolcott Pomperaug insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pomperaug
Woodstock Academy Pomperaug tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pomperaug
Xavier Xavier insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Xavier

PowerWise = 44


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Avon HS         ( 4-12, 80.2)     2- 7      -19.72      20.54       0.47         1.06           -20.46
   0 H Bethel          (13- 7, 85.4)     3-19      -14.49      25.76      -0.47         1.06           -15.91
   0 H Joel Barlow     (15- 5, 89.2)     3-20      -10.66      29.60      -0.47         1.06           -11.83
   0 H St Paul Cathol  (11- 7, 77.5)    15- 7      -22.38      17.87      -0.47         1.06            18.50
   0 A Bunnell-Stratf  ( 3-13, 72.4)    14- 4      -27.50      12.76       0.47         1.06            14.06
   0 A Fitch  Groton   ( 3-10, 74.6)    15- 8      -25.34      14.91       0.47         1.06            16.35
   0 H Brookfield      (12- 8, 84.9)    10-12      -14.98      25.27      -0.47         1.06           -16.43
   0 A Immaculate  Da  ( 6-10, 76.4)    12- 7      -23.51      16.75       0.47         1.06            18.31
   0 H Masuk           ( 8-10, 81.5)     7- 9      -18.35      21.90      -0.47         1.06           -20.01
   0 A New Fairfield   (20- 2, 90.5)     2-20       -9.38      30.87       0.47         1.06            -9.47
   0 A Amity Regional  (10- 7, 84.1)     5-14      -15.77      24.49       0.47         1.06           -16.26
   0 A Weston          ( 9-10, 83.9)     4-11      -15.97      24.29       0.47         1.06           -16.47
   0 H New Milford     ( 9- 9, 83.8)     3-16      -16.07      24.19      -0.47         1.06           -17.59
   0 A Hall            ( 7- 9, 82.7)     3-12      -17.19      23.07       0.47         1.06           -17.77
   0 A Notre Dame-Fai  ( 1-15, 67.9)    14- 7      -31.96       8.29       0.47         1.06             9.32
   0 H Newtown         (13- 7, 85.1)     5-12      -14.78      25.47      -0.47         1.06           -16.22
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -101.88

winning pts = 76.5413 losing points = -178.4243

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------