Ponderosa
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 79.3257Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H St Marys HS ( 3-11, 70.5) 17- 5 311 A Palmer ( 3-10, 71.4) 14- 6 313 H Littleton ( 1-14, 66.4) 20- 2 314 A Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 3-14 326 A Thompson Valley ( 3-12, 78.3) 6- 5 405 H Windsor ( 8- 8, 82.2) 4- 5 411 H Cheyenne Mountain ( 8- 7, 87.7) 5-12 414 H Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 4-10 415 H Lutheran ( 7- 9, 84.4) 5-10 418 A Fountain Valley ( 0- 9, 71.9) 1- 0 421 H Smoky Hill ( 6- 9, 75.1) 6- 7 423 A Rangeview ( 6- 9, 74.9) 11- 3 428 A Douglas County ( 4-11, 81.1) 5- 3 430 A Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 4-12 501 A ThunderRidge ( 3-10, 80.9) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 H St Marys HS 17- 5 12 9 0.00
311 A Palmer 14- 6 8 8 0.00
313 H Littleton 20- 2 18 13 0.00
314 A Castle View 3-14 -11 -11 0.00
326 A Thompson Valley 6- 5 1 1 0.32
405 H Windsor 4- 5 -1 -3 1.55
411 H Cheyenne Mountain 5-12 -7 -8 0.00
414 H Eaglecrest 4-10 -6 -4 -1.07
415 H Lutheran 5-10 -5 -5 -0.28
421 H Smoky Hill 6- 7 -1 5 -- -5.59
423 A Rangeview 11- 3 8 4 0.95
428 A Douglas County 5- 3 2 -2 ++ 4.17
430 A Air Academy 4-12 -8 -12 0.00
501 A ThunderRidge 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Smoky Hill 6- 7 -1 5 -- -5.59 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A Douglas County 5- 3 2 -2 ++ 4.17 |
Ponderosa Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arapahoe | |
| Arvada West | Ponderosa | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Ponderosa | |
| Aspen | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | ||
| Boulder | Boulder | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Boulder | |
| Castle View | Castle View | Castle View | ||
| Chaparral | Chaparral | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Chaparral | |
| Chatfield | Chatfield | Chatfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | ||
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Columbine | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Columbine | |
| Conifer | Conifer | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Conifer | |
| Crested Butte | Crested Butte | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Crested Butte | |
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East | ||
| Denver North | Ponderosa | tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 2) | Ponderosa | |
| Denver South | Denver South | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Denver South | |
| Douglas County | Ponderosa | Ponderosa | ||
| Durango | Durango | Durango | ||
| Eagle Valley | Ponderosa | Ponderosa | ||
| Eaglecrest | Eaglecrest | Eaglecrest | ||
| Erie | Erie | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Erie | |
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview | ||
| Fountain Valley | Ponderosa | Ponderosa | ||
| Fruita Monument | Fruita Monument | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fruita Monument | |
| Glenwood Springs | Glenwood Springs | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glenwood Springs | |
| Golden | Golden | Golden 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Grand Junction | Grand Junction | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grand Junction | |
| Grandview | Grandview | Grandview 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Green Mountain | |
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Holy Family | Holy Family | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Holy Family | |
| Jefferson Academy | Ponderosa | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Ponderosa | |
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kent Denver | |
| Lakewood | Lakewood | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lakewood | |
| Legend | Legend | Legend 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Littleton | Ponderosa | Ponderosa | ||
| Lutheran | Lutheran | Lutheran | ||
| Middle Park | Middle Park | tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) | Middle Park | |
| Monarch | Monarch | Monarch | ||
| Montrose | Ponderosa | Ponderosa | ||
| Mountain Range | Mountain Range | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mountain Range | |
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mullen | Mullen | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Mullen | |
| Northfield | Northfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Northfield | |
| Palmer | Ponderosa | Ponderosa | ||
| Pine Creek | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Poudre District | |
| Prairie View | Prairie View | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Prairie View | |
| Pueblo West | Pueblo West | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Pueblo West | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | ||
| Rangeview | Ponderosa | Ponderosa | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Resurrection Christi | Resurrection Christi 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Rock Canyon | |
| Smoky Hill | Smoky Hill | Smoky Hill | ||
| St Marys HS | Ponderosa | Ponderosa | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Steamboat Springs | |
| Summit | Ponderosa | Ponderosa | ||
| Telluride | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Ponderosa | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Ponderosa | |
| Thompson Valley | Ponderosa | Ponderosa | ||
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Vanguard School | Ponderosa | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) | Ponderosa | |
| Windsor | Windsor | Windsor |
PowerWise = 15
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H St Marys HS ( 3-11, 70.5) 17- 5 -29.39 4.11 -0.37 1.00 3.75
0 A Palmer ( 3-10, 71.4) 14- 6 -28.46 5.04 0.37 1.00 5.43
0 H Littleton ( 1-14, 66.4) 20- 2 -33.50 1.00 -0.37 1.00 0.63
0 A Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 3-14 -10.24 23.26 0.37 1.00 -9.90
0 A Thompson Valle ( 3-12, 78.3) 6- 5 -21.62 11.88 0.37 1.00 12.28
0 H Windsor ( 8- 8, 82.2) 4- 5 -17.66 15.84 -0.37 1.00 -18.08
0 H Cheyenne Mount ( 8- 7, 87.7) 5-12 -12.19 21.32 -0.37 1.00 -12.59
0 H Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 4-10 -16.28 17.22 -0.37 1.00 -16.69
0 H Lutheran ( 7- 9, 84.4) 5-10 -15.49 18.01 -0.37 1.00 -15.90
0 A Fountain Valle ( 0- 9, 71.9) 1- 0 -27.97 5.53 0.37 1.00 5.91
0 H Smoky Hill ( 6- 9, 75.1) 6- 7 -24.80 8.70 -0.37 1.00 -25.24
0 A Rangeview ( 6- 9, 74.9) 11- 3 -24.99 8.51 0.37 1.00 8.90
0 A Douglas County ( 4-11, 81.1) 5- 3 -18.78 14.73 0.37 1.00 15.14
0 A Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 4-12 -9.36 24.14 0.37 1.00 -9.02
0 A ThunderRidge ( 3-10, 80.9) 3- 5 -18.99 14.51 0.37 1.00 -18.68
------
-74.04
|
winning pts = 52.0506 losing points = -126.0874
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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