---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Pinecrest 1
  
Pinecrest             
W-L: (13- 8) PR = 86.4879

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 7- 5 226 A Sanderson ( 8-13, 85.2) 9- 8 228 A Hillsborough Orange (21- 5, 88.0) 1-12 303 A Cape Fear HS ( 6- 8, 78.7) 15- 2 306 H Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 6-17 310 H Jack Britt ( 5-16, 75.1) 12- 1 311 A Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 7-12 320 H Broughton (17- 5, 92.7) 6- 8 324 A Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 18- 5 326 H Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 6- 8 402 H Pine Forest ( 0-12, 69.9) 12- 0 407 H Cape Fear HS ( 6- 8, 78.7) 11- 1 409 H Union Pines (16- 9, 83.6) 14- 4 410 A Jack Britt ( 5-16, 75.1) 15- 0 424 H Terry Sanford (11- 8, 80.2) 17- 5 428 A Union Pines (16- 9, 83.6) 10- 5 501 H Grays Creek ( 5-13, 77.3) 16- 4 505 A Leesville Road (10-11, 88.8) 4- 9 507 A Pine Forest ( 0-12, 69.9) 1- 0 508 H Ashley (10-13, 90.9) 9-13 516 H Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 5-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H New Bern                7- 5       2     1           0.54
   226 A Sanderson               9- 8       1     1          -0.04
   228 A Hillsborough Orange     1-12     -11    -2    -     -3.21
   303 A Cape Fear HS           15- 2      13     7           0.00
   306 H Holly Springs           6-17     -11    -7           0.00
   310 H Jack Britt             12- 1      11    12           0.00
   311 A Jordan                  7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.91
   320 H Broughton               6- 8      -2    -6    +      3.00
   324 A Grays Creek            18- 5      13     9           0.00
   326 H Chapel Hill             6- 8      -2    -3           0.76
   402 H Pine Forest            12- 0      12    17           0.00
   407 H Cape Fear HS           11- 1      10     8           0.00
   409 H Union Pines            14- 4      10     3           1.84
   410 A Jack Britt             15- 0      15    11           0.00
   424 H Terry Sanford          17- 5      12     7           0.00
   428 A Union Pines            10- 5       5     3    +      2.38
   501 H Grays Creek            16- 4      12     9           0.00
   505 A Leesville Road          4- 9      -5    -3    -     -2.38
   508 H Ashley                  9-13      -4    -4           0.10
   516 H Apex                    5-11      -6    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Hillsborough Orange     1-12     -11    -2    -     -3.21
   311 A Jordan                  7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.91
   505 A Leesville Road          4- 9      -5    -3    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Broughton               6- 8      -2    -6    +      3.00
   428 A Union Pines            10- 5       5     3    +      2.38

Pinecrest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex Apex  
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   3- 2 vs 0- 4
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Asheville HS Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Asheville School Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Ashley Ashley Ashley  
Athens Drive Athens Drive insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Athens Drive
Atkins Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Ballantyne Ridge Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Bishop McGuinness Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Bradford Prep Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Broughton Broughton Broughton  
Butler Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Cape Fear HS Pinecrest Pinecrest  
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   4- 0 vs 1- 2
Carrboro Pinecrest tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Pinecrest
Cary Academy Cary Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cary Academy
Cary Christian Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Cary HS Pinecrest insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 3) Pinecrest
Cedar Ridge Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Clayton
Cleveland Pinecrest insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Pinecrest
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Pinecrest Pinecrest   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Cornerstone Charter Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Croatan Croatan Croatan   5- 0 vs 2- 4
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Durham Academy Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   3- 0 vs 0- 3
East Forsyth Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Eastern Alamance Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Eastern Guilford Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Enloe Pinecrest insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Pinecrest
Fike Pinecrest   Pinecrest
First Flight First Flight tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Pinecrest tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Pinecrest
Garner Pinecrest Pinecrest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Glenn Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Grays Creek Pinecrest Pinecrest  
Green Hope Green Hope insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Green Hope
Green Level Green Level Green Level   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Havelock Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Heritage Heritage Heritage   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange  
Hoggard Hoggard Hoggard   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Holly Springs Holly Springs Holly Springs  
Hough Hough insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hough
Hunt Pinecrest Pinecrest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Independence Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Jack Britt Pinecrest Pinecrest  
Jacksonville Pinecrest Pinecrest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
JF Webb Pinecrest   Pinecrest
JH Rose Pinecrest tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Pinecrest
John Paul II Catholi Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Jordan Jordan Jordan  
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road Leesville Road  
Lincoln Charter Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek Middle Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Millbrook Millbrook Millbrook   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Mooresville Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Mount Tabor Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Mountain Island Char Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern Pinecrest Pinecrest  
New Hanover Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pinecrest
North Brunswick Pinecrest insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Pinecrest
North Davidson Pinecrest   Pinecrest
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ Pinecrest insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Pinecrest
Northern Durham Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pinecrest
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Northside Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pinecrest
Page Page tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Page
Panther Creek Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 4) Pinecrest
Parkwood Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Patton Morganton Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Pine Forest Pinecrest Pinecrest  
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Porter Ridge Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Providence Day
Queens Grant Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham Pinecrest tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Pinecrest
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Pinecrest insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Pinecrest
Roxboro Community Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Sanderson Pinecrest Pinecrest  
Seaforth Seaforth Seaforth   3- 0 vs 1- 2
South Brunswick Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pinecrest
South Garner Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pinecrest
South Iredell Pinecrest   Pinecrest
South Mecklenburg Pinecrest   Pinecrest
South View Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Southeast Alamance Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Southeast Guilford Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Southern Alamance Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Pinecrest   Pinecrest
St Davids School Pinecrest   Pinecrest
St Stephens Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Sun Valley Pinecrest tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pinecrest
Swansboro Pinecrest Pinecrest   4- 0 vs 2- 2
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Pinecrest Pinecrest  
Topsail Topsail Topsail   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Union Pines Pinecrest Pinecrest  
Vance Charter Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Voyager Academy Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Wake Forest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Wake Prep Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pinecrest
Wakefield Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pinecrest
Walter M Williams Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pinecrest
Watauga Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pinecrest
West Carteret Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pinecrest
West Forsyth Pinecrest   Pinecrest
West Stokes Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Western Alamance Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Western Guilford Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Willow Spring Willow Spring tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Willow Spring

PowerWise = 88


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H New Bern        (12-10, 85.3)     7- 5      -14.60      19.21      -0.27         0.85            16.17
   0 A Sanderson       ( 8-13, 85.2)     9- 8      -14.73      19.08       0.27         0.85            16.53
   0 A Hillsborough O  (21- 5, 88.0)     1-12      -11.89      21.92       0.27         0.85            -9.92
   0 A Cape Fear HS    ( 6- 8, 78.7)    15- 2      -21.16      12.65       0.27         0.85            11.03
   0 H Holly Springs   (12- 9, 93.6)     6-17       -6.28      27.53      -0.27         0.85            -5.59
   0 H Jack Britt      ( 5-16, 75.1)    12- 1      -24.76       9.05      -0.27         0.85             7.50
   0 A Jordan          (12- 9, 87.3)     7-12      -12.59      21.22       0.27         0.85           -10.52
   0 H Broughton       (17- 5, 92.7)     6- 8       -7.23      26.58      -0.27         0.85            -6.41
   0 A Grays Creek     ( 5-13, 77.3)    18- 5      -22.60      11.21       0.27         0.85             9.81
   0 H Chapel Hill     (12- 8, 89.5)     6- 8      -10.38      23.43      -0.27         0.85            -9.10
   0 H Pine Forest     ( 0-12, 69.9)    12- 0      -29.98       3.83      -0.27         0.85             3.04
   0 H Cape Fear HS    ( 6- 8, 78.7)    11- 1      -21.16      12.65      -0.27         0.85            10.57
   0 H Union Pines     (16- 9, 83.6)    14- 4      -16.30      17.51      -0.27         0.85            14.72
   0 A Jack Britt      ( 5-16, 75.1)    15- 0      -24.76       9.05       0.27         0.85             7.96
   0 H Terry Sanford   (11- 8, 80.2)    17- 5      -19.72      14.08      -0.27         0.85            11.80
   0 A Union Pines     (16- 9, 83.6)    10- 5      -16.30      17.51       0.27         0.85            15.18
   0 H Grays Creek     ( 5-13, 77.3)    16- 4      -22.60      11.21      -0.27         0.85             9.34
   0 A Leesville Road  (10-11, 88.8)     4- 9      -11.06      22.75       0.27         0.85            -9.22
   0 A Pine Forest     ( 0-12, 69.9)     1- 0      -29.98       3.83       0.27         0.85             3.50
   0 H Ashley          (10-13, 90.9)     9-13       -9.04      24.77      -0.27         0.85            -7.95
   0 H Apex            (18- 5, 95.5)     5-11       -4.36      29.45      -0.27         0.85            -3.96
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        74.49

winning pts = 137.1513 losing points = -62.6597

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------