Patterson Mill
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 81.4514Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.8) 7-20 325 A Aberdeen ( 7- 8, 78.1) 18-12 328 A Eleanor Roosevelt (13- 3, 77.7) 8- 2 331 A Bel Air ( 8- 6, 85.0) 9-16 403 H Rising Sun ( 9- 4, 81.4) 16-10 408 A Harford Tech ( 4- 9, 78.9) 10- 9 411 H Fallston (18- 3, 90.8) 4-20 415 H Joppatowne ( 1-13, 71.1) 17- 4 419 H Dulaney ( 9- 6, 87.5) 4-18 419 A Winters Mill ( 7- 7, 82.3) 7-11 424 A Havre De Grace ( 9- 6, 81.1) 15-14 428 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.1) 9-16 430 H Century (10- 6, 89.0) 11-17 502 H Havre De Grace ( 9- 6, 81.1) 11-14 507 H Harford Tech ( 4- 9, 78.9) 9- 4 509 A Fallston (18- 3, 90.8) 1-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H CM Wright 7-20 -13 -7 0.00
325 A Aberdeen 18-12 6 3 + 2.05
328 A Eleanor Roosevelt 8- 2 6 3 1.69
331 A Bel Air 9-16 -7 -4 -1.03
403 H Rising Sun 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.48
408 A Harford Tech 10- 9 1 2 -1.13
411 H Fallston 4-20 -16 -9 0.00
415 H Joppatowne 17- 4 13 11 0.00
419 H Dulaney 4-18 -14 -6 0.00
419 A Winters Mill 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.69
424 A Havre De Grace 15-14 1 0 1.13
428 H North Harford 9-16 -7 -2 - -2.78
430 H Century 11-17 -6 -7 0.00
502 H Havre De Grace 11-14 -3 1 - -3.76
507 H Harford Tech 9- 4 5 3 1.98
509 A Fallston 1-17 -16 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Winters Mill 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.69 428 H North Harford 9-16 -7 -2 - -2.78 502 H Havre De Grace 11-14 -3 1 - -3.76 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Rising Sun 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.48 325 A Aberdeen 18-12 6 3 + 2.05 |
Patterson Mill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Friends | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Garrett County LC | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Georgetown Day | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Jemicy School | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Salisbury School | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Academy for College | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Atholton | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Baltimore Polytechni | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Blair | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Carver A&T | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Centennial | |
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Clarksburg | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Dr Henry Wise | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Dundalk | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| DuVal | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Eastern Tech | |
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill 4- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Einstein | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Elkton | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill 5- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Patterson Mill | |
| Franklin | Franklin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Franklin | |
| Frederick | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Friendly | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Gaithersburg | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Glen Burnie | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Great Mills | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Guilford Park | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Gwynn Park | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Hammond | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Harford Tech | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Havre De Grace | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) | Patterson Mill | |
| Hereford | Hereford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Hereford | |
| High Point | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Howard | Howard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Howard | |
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Huntingtown | |
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Kennedy | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Kent County | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kent Island | |
| Kenwood | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patterson Mill | |
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Lake Clifton | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Lansdowne | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Laurel | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Liberty | |
| Linganore | Linganore | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Linganore | |
| Loch Raven | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Long Reach | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Magruder | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Mergenthaler | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Middletown | |
| Milford Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| MJ McDonough | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| New Town | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North County | |
| North Dorchester | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| North East Cecil | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Patterson Mill | |
| North Hagerstown | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Northwestern PG | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Northwood | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oakdale | |
| Oakland Mills | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Old Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Overlea | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Owings Mills | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Oxon Hill | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patterson Mill | |
| Paint Branch | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Parkdale | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patapsco | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Patterson HS | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patterson Mill | |
| Patuxent | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Perry Hall | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Patterson Mill | |
| Perryville | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill 2- 4 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Pikesville | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Poolesville | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Rising Sun | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Severn Run | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Severna Park | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Smithsburg | |
| South Carroll | South Carroll | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | South Carroll | |
| South Hagerstown | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| South River | South River | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South River | |
| Southern AA | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Sparrows Point | |
| Springbrook | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| St Charles | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Patterson Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Surrattsville | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Thomas Stone | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tuscarora | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Walkersville | Walkersville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Walkersville | |
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Western STES | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Westlake | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Wicomico | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Wilde Lake | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Wootton | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| DC International PCS | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Jackson Reed | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill |
PowerWise = 126
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.8) 7-20 -11.14 24.45 -0.45 0.76 -8.79
0 A Aberdeen ( 7- 8, 78.1) 18-12 -21.85 13.74 0.45 0.76 10.76
0 A Eleanor Roosev (13- 3, 77.7) 8- 2 -22.20 13.39 0.45 0.76 10.49
0 A Bel Air ( 8- 6, 85.0) 9-16 -14.92 20.67 0.45 0.76 -10.98
0 H Rising Sun ( 9- 4, 81.4) 16-10 -18.52 17.07 -0.45 0.76 12.61
0 A Harford Tech ( 4- 9, 78.9) 10- 9 -21.02 14.57 0.45 0.76 11.39
0 H Fallston (18- 3, 90.8) 4-20 -9.06 26.53 -0.45 0.76 -7.21
0 H Joppatowne ( 1-13, 71.1) 17- 4 -28.80 6.79 -0.45 0.76 4.81
0 H Dulaney ( 9- 6, 87.5) 4-18 -12.40 23.19 -0.45 0.76 -9.75
0 A Winters Mill ( 7- 7, 82.3) 7-11 -17.59 18.01 0.45 0.76 -13.00
0 A Havre De Grace ( 9- 6, 81.1) 15-14 -18.76 16.83 0.45 0.76 13.10
0 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.1) 9-16 -15.79 19.81 -0.45 0.76 -12.31
0 H Century (10- 6, 89.0) 11-17 -10.86 24.74 -0.45 0.76 -8.57
0 H Havre De Grace ( 9- 6, 81.1) 11-14 -18.76 16.83 -0.45 0.76 -14.57
0 H Harford Tech ( 4- 9, 78.9) 9- 4 -21.02 14.57 -0.45 0.76 10.72
0 A Fallston (18- 3, 90.8) 1-17 -9.06 26.53 0.45 0.76 -6.54
------
-17.83
|
winning pts = 73.8873 losing points = -91.7139
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------