Pilgrim
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 90.4247Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 328 H Portsmouth (14- 4, 93.5) 7-10 331 H Cranston West ( 0-16, 80.8) 14- 1 402 H Smithfield ( 5-12, 87.0) 9- 1 404 H Middletown (12- 4, 91.7) 4- 7 409 A South Kingstown (10- 8, 92.7) 9- 4 411 A Cranston West ( 0-16, 80.8) 14- 2 414 A Prout/Exeter-West Gr ( 9- 9, 89.3) 6- 5 417 H Chariho ( 3-13, 83.4) 16- 4 421 A La Salle Academy (12- 0, 99.9) 1-18 423 A North Kingstown ( 6- 9, 92.3) 10- 9 430 A Moses Brown School ( 9- 2, 97.8) 7-13 502 A Bishop Hendricken ( 6-10, 92.8) 4-11 508 A Westerly ( 8- 5, 90.0) 9-10 512 H South Kingstown (10- 8, 92.7) 7-12 514 H Cumberland ( 3-11, 90.3) 7-14 515 A Barrington ( 7- 5, 94.1) 7- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
328 H Portsmouth 7-10 -3 -3 -0.33
331 H Cranston West 14- 1 13 10 0.00
402 H Smithfield 9- 1 8 4 1.17
404 H Middletown 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.10
409 A South Kingstown 9- 4 5 -3 +++ 7.72
411 A Cranston West 14- 2 12 9 0.00
414 A Prout/Exeter-West Gr 6- 5 1 1 0.32
417 H Chariho 16- 4 12 7 0.00
421 A La Salle Academy 1-18 -17 -10 0.00
423 A North Kingstown 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.25
430 A Moses Brown School 7-13 -6 -8 0.00
502 A Bishop Hendricken 4-11 -7 -3 - -2.18
508 A Westerly 9-10 -1 0 -1.00
512 H South Kingstown 7-12 -5 -2 - -3.11
514 H Cumberland 7-14 -7 1 -- -5.57
515 A Barrington 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 514 H Cumberland 7-14 -7 1 -- -5.57 404 H Middletown 4- 7 -3 -1 - -2.10 502 A Bishop Hendricken 4-11 -7 -3 - -2.18 512 H South Kingstown 7-12 -5 -2 - -3.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A South Kingstown 9- 4 5 -3 +++ 7.72 423 A North Kingstown 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.25 515 A Barrington 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.13 |
Pilgrim Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington | Barrington | Barrington | ||
| Bishop Hendricken | Bishop Hendricken | Bishop Hendricken | ||
| Burrillville | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Chariho | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Classical | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Coventry | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Cranston East | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Cranston West | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Cumberland | Cumberland | Cumberland | ||
| East Greenwich | East Greenwich | East Greenwich 9- 1 vs 5- 6 | ||
| East Providence | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| La Salle Academy | La Salle Academy | La Salle Academy | ||
| Lincoln | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Moses Brown School | Moses Brown School | Moses Brown School | ||
| Mount Hope | Pilgrim | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Pilgrim | |
| Narragansett | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| North Kingstown | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| North Providence | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| North Smithfield | Pilgrim | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Pilgrim | |
| Ponaganset | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Portsmouth | Portsmouth | Portsmouth | ||
| Prout/Exeter-West Gr | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Providence CDS-St Ra | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Rogers | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Scituate | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Smithfield | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| South Kingstown | South Kingstown | South Kingstown 7- 4 vs 4- 7 | ||
| Tiverton | Pilgrim | Pilgrim | ||
| Toll Gate | Pilgrim | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pilgrim | |
| Westerly | Westerly | Westerly |
PowerWise = 21
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.69
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Portsmouth (14- 4, 93.5) 7-10 -6.39 23.24 -0.42 0.98 -6.68
0 H Cranston West ( 0-16, 80.8) 14- 1 -19.12 10.51 -0.42 0.98 9.89
0 H Smithfield ( 5-12, 87.0) 9- 1 -12.89 16.74 -0.42 0.98 16.00
0 H Middletown (12- 4, 91.7) 4- 7 -8.16 21.47 -0.42 0.98 -8.41
0 A South Kingstow (10- 8, 92.7) 9- 4 -7.17 22.46 0.42 0.98 22.43
0 A Cranston West ( 0-16, 80.8) 14- 2 -19.12 10.51 0.42 0.98 10.71
0 A Prout/Exeter-W ( 9- 9, 89.3) 6- 5 -10.57 19.05 0.42 0.98 19.09
0 H Chariho ( 3-13, 83.4) 16- 4 -16.46 13.17 -0.42 0.98 12.50
0 A La Salle Acade (12- 0, 99.9) 1-18 -0.00 29.63 0.42 0.98 -0.41
0 A North Kingstow ( 6- 9, 92.3) 10- 9 -7.64 21.98 0.42 0.98 21.96
0 A Moses Brown Sc ( 9- 2, 97.8) 7-13 -2.08 27.54 0.42 0.98 -1.63
0 A Bishop Hendric ( 6-10, 92.8) 4-11 -7.07 22.56 0.42 0.98 -6.52
0 A Westerly ( 8- 5, 90.0) 9-10 -9.89 19.74 0.42 0.98 -9.29
0 H South Kingstow (10- 8, 92.7) 7-12 -7.17 22.46 -0.42 0.98 -7.44
0 H Cumberland ( 3-11, 90.3) 7-14 -9.62 20.00 -0.42 0.98 -9.84
0 A Barrington ( 7- 5, 94.1) 7- 9 -5.76 23.87 0.42 0.98 -5.24
------
57.13
|
winning pts = 112.5889 losing points = -55.4614
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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