safe3step boys Penn Manor 1

  
Penn Manor            
W-L: (16- 8)  PR =    89.1264
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 317 A Dallastown                           (13- 6, 87.1)    13-11   
 320 A Hempfield                            ( 7-10, 88.1)    11- 5   
 324 A South-Western                        (15- 5, 85.6)    12- 8   
 326 H Ephrata                              (12- 7, 86.9)    12- 6   
 327 A Muhlenberg                           ( 2-12, 76.7)    14- 3   
 401 A Conestoga Valley                     ( 8- 8, 87.2)    11- 9   
 402 H Palmyra                              (13- 7, 85.6)    12- 5   
 404 A Manheim Township                     (19- 4, 92.1)     1-15   
 408 H Hempfield                            ( 7-10, 88.1)     9- 5   
 410 H Lampeter-Strasburg                   (18- 5, 88.5)     9- 6   
 415 A Cedar Crest                          ( 4-12, 83.3)     9- 6   
 417 H Governor Mifflin                     ( 8-10, 81.5)    15- 5   
 422 A Ephrata                              (12- 7, 86.9)     8-11   
 428 H Manheim Township                     (19- 4, 92.1)     3-12   
 502 H Conestoga Valley                     ( 8- 8, 87.2)    14- 2   
 505 A Central York                         (19- 4, 89.5)     8-14   
 507 H Cedar Crest                          ( 4-12, 83.3)    19- 5   
 510 N Lampeter-Strasburg                   (18- 5, 88.5)     9- 8   
 514 N Manheim Township                     (19- 4, 92.1)     5-13   
 516 H Conestoga Valley                     ( 8- 8, 87.2)    14- 7   
 520 A Cumberland Valley                    (16- 4, 88.0)     9- 7   
 522 A Central York                         (19- 4, 89.5)     8- 9   
 527 A Wilson West Lawn                     (18- 4, 92.0)     7-17   
 603 N Mount Lebanon                        (15- 1, 93.3)     7-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Dallastown             13-11       2     2           0.15
   320 A Hempfield              11- 5       6     1    ++     4.18
   324 A South-Western          12- 8       4     3           0.72
   326 H Ephrata                12- 6       6     2    +      2.61
   327 A Muhlenberg             14- 3      11    12           0.00
   401 A Conestoga Valley       11- 9       2     2           0.24
   402 H Palmyra                12- 5       7     4           1.30
   404 A Manheim Township        1-15     -14    -3          -1.79
   408 H Hempfield               9- 5       4     1    +      2.77
   410 H Lampeter-Strasburg      9- 6       3     1    +      2.21
   415 A Cedar Crest             9- 6       3     6    -     -2.00
   417 H Governor Mifflin       15- 5      10     8           0.00
   422 A Ephrata                 8-11      -3     2    --    -4.99
   428 H Manheim Township        3-12      -9    -3    -     -2.20
   502 H Conestoga Valley       14- 2      12     2    +      2.83
   505 A Central York            8-14      -6    -1    --    -4.46
   507 H Cedar Crest            19- 5      14     6           0.00
   510 N Lampeter-Strasburg      9- 8       1     1           0.41
   514 N Manheim Township        5-13      -8    -3          -1.99
   516 H Conestoga Valley       14- 7       7     2    +      2.83
   520 A Cumberland Valley       9- 7       2     1           1.03
   522 A Central York            8- 9      -1    -1          -0.46
   527 A Wilson West Lawn        7-17     -10    -3          -1.89
   603 N Mount Lebanon           7-14      -7    -4          -0.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Ephrata                 8-11      -3     2    --    -4.99
   505 A Central York            8-14      -6    -1    --    -4.46
   415 A Cedar Crest             9- 6       3     6    -     -2.00
   428 H Manheim Township        3-12      -9    -3    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Hempfield              11- 5       6     1    ++     4.18
   326 H Ephrata                12- 6       6     2    +      2.61
   408 H Hempfield               9- 5       4     1    +      2.77
   410 H Lampeter-Strasburg      9- 6       3     1    +      2.21
   502 H Conestoga Valley       14- 2      12     2    +      2.83
   516 H Conestoga Valley       14- 7       7     2    +      2.83

Penn Manor Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Abington	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Academy New Church	Academy New Church		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Academy New Church
AIM Academy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Allentown Central Ca	Allentown Central Ca		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Allentown Central Ca
Archbishop Carroll	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Archbishop Ryan	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Archbishop Wood	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Avon Grove	Avon Grove		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1)	Avon Grove
Avon Grove Charter	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bayard Rustin	Bayard Rustin		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bishop Shanahan	Bishop Shanahan		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bonner-Prendergast	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Boyertown	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Cardinal OHara	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Central Bucks East	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Central Bucks South	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Central Bucks West	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Central Philadelphia	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Cheltenham	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Church Farm School	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Coatesville	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Conestoga	Conestoga			Conestoga
Conwell Egan	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Council Rock North	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Council Rock South	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Delaware Valley Frie	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Devon Prep	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Downingtown East	Downingtown East			Downingtown East
Downingtown West	Downingtown West		insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0)	Downingtown West
Easton Area	Easton Area			Easton Area
Emmaus	Penn Manor		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1)	Penn Manor
Episcopal Academy	Episcopal Academy			Episcopal Academy
Father Judge	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Frankford	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Freedom Bethlehem	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Garnet Valley	Garnet Valley		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1)	Garnet Valley
George School	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
George Washington	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Germantown Academy	Germantown Academy		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Germantown Academy
Great Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Harriton	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Hatboro-Horsham	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Haverford HS	Haverford HS			Haverford HS
Haverford School	Haverford School			Haverford School
Hill School	Hill School			Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Interboro	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Jack Barrack Academy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Kennett	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
La Salle College	La Salle College			La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Liberty Bethlehem	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lower Merion	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Malvern Prep	Malvern Prep			Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown	Marple Newtown			Marple Newtown
Masterman	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Mastery Charter Nort	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Methacton	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Moravian Academy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Nazareth Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Neshaminy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
New Hope-Solebury	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
North Penn	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Northampton Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Northeast	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Northwestern Lehigh	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Olney Charter	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Owen J Roberts	Owen J Roberts		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Owen J Roberts
Oxford Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Parkland	Parkland		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Parkland
Penn Charter	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Penncrest	Penncrest			Penncrest
Pennridge	Pennridge			Pennridge
Pennsbury	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Perkiomen School	Perkiomen School			Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley	Perkiomen Valley		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Perkiomen Valley
Phoenixville	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Pleasant Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Plymouth-Whitemarsh	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Pope John Paul II	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Pottsgrove	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Quakertown	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Radnor	Radnor			Radnor
Ridley	Ridley		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Ridley
Roman Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Saucon Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Shipley School	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Solanco	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Souderton	Souderton			Souderton
South Philadelphia	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Southern Lehigh	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Spring-Ford	Spring-Ford		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Springfield-Delco	Springfield-Delco			Springfield-Delco
Springside Chestnut	Springside Chestnut			Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep	St Josephs Prep			St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Sun Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Truman	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Unionville	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Upper Darby	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Upper Dublin	Upper Dublin			Upper Dublin
Upper Merion	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Upper Moreland	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
West Chester East	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
West Chester Henders	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
West Philadelphia	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Westtown	Westtown			Westtown
William Tennent	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Wissahickon	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Baldwin	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bethel Park	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Butler Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Canon-McMillan	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Cathedral Prep	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Central Catholic	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Chartiers Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Conneaut	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Erie-McDowell	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Fairview	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Fox Chapel	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Franklin Regional	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Freeport Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Gateway	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Greensburg Central C	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Hampton	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Hempfield Greensburg	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Hickory	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Indiana Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Knoch	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Latrobe	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Mars Area	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Meadville-Crawford C	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Moon Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Mount Lebanon	Mount Lebanon	Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny	North Allegheny		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2)	North Allegheny
North Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
North Hills	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Norwin	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Penn-Trafford	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Peters Township	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2)	Penn Manor
Pine Richland	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Plum	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Quaker Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Seneca Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Seton LaSalle	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Sewickley Academy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Shady Side Academy	Shady Side Academy		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1)	Shady Side Academy
Shaler Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
South Fayette	South Fayette			South Fayette
Taylor Allderdice	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Trinity Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Upper St Clair	Upper St Clair		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Upper St Clair
West Allegheny	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Winchester Thurston	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Abington Heights	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bellefonte	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Berks Catholic	Penn Manor		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1)	Penn Manor
Bishop McDevitt	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Carlisle	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Cedar Cliff	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Cedar Crest	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Central Dauphin	Penn Manor		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 2)	Penn Manor
Central Dauphin East	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Central York	Central York	Central York
Chambersburg	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Cocalico	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn Manor
Conestoga Valley	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Conrad Weiser	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 3- 0 vs 1- 3
Crestwood	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Cumberland Valley	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Dallas	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Dallastown	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Daniel Boone	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 4- 1 vs 1- 4
Danville Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Delaware Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Delone Catholic	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Dover Area	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Eastern York	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 4- 2 vs 1- 4
Elizabethtown	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 4- 1 vs 1- 3
Ephrata	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 3)	Penn Manor
Exeter Township	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 5- 0 vs 2- 4
Garden Spot	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 3- 1 vs 0- 3
Gettysburg	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Governor Mifflin	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Hempfield	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Hershey	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Kennard-Dale	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 3- 1 vs 0- 4
Lake-Lehman	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lakeland	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lampeter-Strasburg	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Lancaster CDS	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lewisburg	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lower Dauphin	Penn Manor		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Penn Manor
Manheim Township	Manheim Township	Manheim Township
Mechanicsburg	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2)	Penn Manor
Mifflin County	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Mifflinburg	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Muhlenberg	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
New Oxford	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 3- 1 vs 1- 3
North Pocono	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Northern York	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Palmyra	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Red Land	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Red Lion	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 2- 1 vs 0- 4
Schuylkill Valley	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 2- 0 vs 0- 3
Scranton Prep	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Selinsgrove	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
South-Western	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Spring Grove	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 2- 1 vs 0- 3
State College	State College		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 3)	State College
Susquehannock	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 3- 1 vs 0- 4
Trinity HS	Trinity HS		tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0)	Trinity HS
Tunkhannock	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Twin Valley	Twin Valley		tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 1)	Twin Valley
Warwick	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 3- 1 vs 1- 2
West York	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 3- 1 vs 0- 4
Wilkes-Barre Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Wilson West Lawn	Wilson West Lawn	Wilson West Lawn
Wyoming Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Wyoming Seminary	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Wyomissing	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 4- 1 vs 2- 3
York Catholic	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 2- 1 vs 0- 3
York Suburban	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 3- 1 vs 0- 4

PowerWise = 181

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Dallastown      (13- 6, 87.1)    13-11      -12.82      21.51       0.20         0.65            14.22
   0 A Hempfield       ( 7-10, 88.1)    11- 5      -11.80      22.54       0.20         0.65            14.89
   0 A South-Western   (15- 5, 85.6)    12- 8      -14.26      20.08       0.20         0.65            13.28
   0 H Ephrata         (12- 7, 86.9)    12- 6      -12.96      21.37      -0.20         0.65            13.86
   0 A Muhlenberg      ( 2-12, 76.7)    14- 3      -23.21      11.12       0.20         0.65             7.42
   0 A Conestoga Vall  ( 8- 8, 87.2)    11- 9      -12.74      21.59       0.20         0.65            14.28
   0 H Palmyra         (13- 7, 85.6)    12- 5      -14.27      20.07      -0.20         0.65            13.01
   0 A Manheim Townsh  (19- 4, 92.1)     1-15       -7.77      26.57       0.20         0.65            -4.95
   0 H Hempfield       ( 7-10, 88.1)     9- 5      -11.80      22.54      -0.20         0.65            14.63
   0 H Lampeter-Stras  (18- 5, 88.5)     9- 6      -11.36      22.98      -0.20         0.65            14.91
   0 A Cedar Crest     ( 4-12, 83.3)     9- 6      -16.60      17.73       0.20         0.65            11.75
   0 H Governor Miffl  ( 8-10, 81.5)    15- 5      -18.42      15.92      -0.20         0.65            10.29
   0 A Ephrata         (12- 7, 86.9)     8-11      -12.96      21.37       0.20         0.65            -8.36
   0 H Manheim Townsh  (19- 4, 92.1)     3-12       -7.77      26.57      -0.20         0.65            -5.22
   0 H Conestoga Vall  ( 8- 8, 87.2)    14- 2      -12.74      21.59      -0.20         0.65            14.01
   0 A Central York    (19- 4, 89.5)     8-14      -10.44      23.90       0.20         0.65            -6.70
   0 H Cedar Crest     ( 4-12, 83.3)    19- 5      -16.60      17.73      -0.20         0.65            11.48
   0 N Lampeter-Stras  (18- 5, 88.5)     9- 8      -11.36      22.98      -0.00         0.65            15.05
   0 N Manheim Townsh  (19- 4, 92.1)     5-13       -7.77      26.57      -0.00         0.65            -5.09
   0 H Conestoga Vall  ( 8- 8, 87.2)    14- 7      -12.74      21.59      -0.20         0.65            14.01
   0 A Cumberland Val  (16- 4, 88.0)     9- 7      -11.94      22.39       0.20         0.65            14.80
   0 A Central York    (19- 4, 89.5)     8- 9      -10.44      23.90       0.20         0.65            -6.70
   0 A Wilson West La  (18- 4, 92.0)     7-17       -7.87      26.47       0.20         0.65            -5.02
   0 N Mount Lebanon   (15- 1, 93.3)     7-14       -6.56      27.78      -0.00         0.65            -4.29
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       165.56

winning pts = 211.8891 losing points = -46.3325

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------