Penn
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 88.8936Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 H Carroll ( 7-11, 79.8) 19- 4 308 H North Central (11- 7, 89.5) 2-20 313 A Culver Academy (10- 2, 98.1) 3-20 320 A Northridge (11- 7, 85.4) 12- 1 326 H Marian ( 7-10, 83.0) 16- 9 419 H Homestead (13- 4, 89.9) 12-11 424 A St Joseph South Bend ( 6- 6, 87.3) 17-15 426 A Center Grove (11- 6, 93.7) 6-20 426 N Brownsburg ( 8- 8, 89.2) 10-11 428 A Chesterton ( 8- 6, 82.3) 23- 2 430 H Crown Point ( 6- 8, 90.5) 8- 4 503 A Zionsville (12- 7, 93.7) 9-17 508 H South Bend Adams (10- 7, 83.1) 13-10 510 H Lafayette Harrison ( 2-10, 75.8) 24- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 H Carroll 19- 4 15 10 0.00
308 H North Central 2-20 -18 0 -- -5.24
313 A Culver Academy 3-20 -17 -10 0.00
320 A Northridge 12- 1 11 3 + 2.35
326 H Marian 16- 9 7 7 0.00
419 H Homestead 12-11 1 0 1.16
424 A St Joseph South Bend 17-15 2 1 1.29
426 A Center Grove 6-20 -14 -6 0.00
426 N Brownsburg 10-11 -1 0 -0.66
428 A Chesterton 23- 2 21 6 0.00
430 H Crown Point 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.81
503 A Zionsville 9-17 -8 -6 0.00
508 H South Bend Adams 13-10 3 7 - -2.00
510 H Lafayette Harrison 24- 1 23 14 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H North Central 2-20 -18 0 -- -5.24 508 H South Bend Adams 13-10 3 7 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 H Crown Point 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.81 320 A Northridge 12- 1 11 3 + 2.35 |
Penn Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argos | Penn | Penn 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Avon | Penn | Penn 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Bishop Chatard | Penn | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Penn | |
| Bishop Dwenger | Penn | Penn 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Bloomington North | Penn | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Penn | |
| Bloomington South | Penn | Penn | ||
| Brebeuf Jesuit | Penn | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Penn | |
| Brownsburg | Brownsburg | Brownsburg | ||
| Carmel | Carmel | Carmel 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Carroll | Penn | Penn | ||
| Castle | Penn | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn | |
| Cathedral | Cathedral | Cathedral 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Center Grove | Center Grove | Center Grove | ||
| Chesterton | Penn | Penn | ||
| Columbus North | Penn | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn | |
| Concordia | Penn | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn | |
| Crown Point | Penn | Penn | ||
| Culver Academy | Culver Academy | Culver Academy | ||
| East Side LC | Penn | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Penn | |
| Edgewood | Penn | Penn | ||
| Elkhart Memorial | Penn | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn | |
| Evansville Central | Penn | Penn | ||
| Evansville Memorial | Evansville Memorial | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Evansville Memorial | |
| Evansville North | Penn | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Penn | |
| Evansville Reitz | Penn | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Penn | |
| Fishers | Penn | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Penn | |
| Franklin | Penn | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn | |
| Gibson Southern | Penn | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn | |
| Guerin Catholic | Guerin Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Guerin Catholic | |
| Hamilton Southeaster | Hamilton Southeaster | Hamilton Southeaster 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Heritage Christian | Penn | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Penn | |
| Homestead | Penn | Penn | ||
| Lafayette Harrison | Penn | Penn | ||
| LaPorte | Penn | Penn | ||
| Lawrence North | Penn | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn | |
| Leo | Penn | Penn 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Marian | Penn | Penn | ||
| Mater Dei | Penn | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn | |
| Munster | Penn | Penn 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| New Prairie | Penn | Penn 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Noblesville | Noblesville | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Noblesville | |
| North Central | North Central | North Central | ||
| Northridge | Penn | Penn | ||
| Park Tudor | Penn | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Penn | |
| Perry Meridian | Penn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn | |
| Roncalli Catholic | Penn | Penn | ||
| Snider | Penn | Penn 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| South Bend Adams | Penn | Penn | ||
| Southport | Penn | Penn | ||
| St Joseph South Bend | Penn | Penn | ||
| Valparaiso | Penn | Penn 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Victory Christian | Penn | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn | |
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield 4- 3 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Whiteland | Penn | Penn | ||
| Zionsville | Zionsville | Zionsville |
PowerWise = 43
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.07
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Carroll ( 7-11, 79.8) 19- 4 -20.09 13.81 -0.84 0.93 12.11
0 H North Central (11- 7, 89.5) 2-20 -10.40 23.50 -0.84 0.93 -10.50
0 A Culver Academy (10- 2, 98.1) 3-20 -1.79 32.11 0.84 0.93 -0.89
0 A Northridge (11- 7, 85.4) 12- 1 -14.50 19.41 0.84 0.93 18.91
0 H Marian ( 7-10, 83.0) 16- 9 -16.89 17.01 -0.84 0.93 15.10
0 H Homestead (13- 4, 89.9) 12-11 -10.00 23.90 -0.84 0.93 21.53
0 A St Joseph Sout ( 6- 6, 87.3) 17-15 -12.56 21.34 0.84 0.93 20.71
0 A Center Grove (11- 6, 93.7) 6-20 -6.16 27.74 0.84 0.93 -4.97
0 N Brownsburg ( 8- 8, 89.2) 10-11 -10.67 23.24 -0.00 0.93 -9.96
0 A Chesterton ( 8- 6, 82.3) 23- 2 -17.55 16.35 0.84 0.93 16.05
0 H Crown Point ( 6- 8, 90.5) 8- 4 -9.35 24.55 -0.84 0.93 22.13
0 A Zionsville (12- 7, 93.7) 9-17 -6.24 27.66 0.84 0.93 -5.04
0 H South Bend Ada (10- 7, 83.1) 13-10 -16.82 17.09 -0.84 0.93 15.16
0 H Lafayette Harr ( 2-10, 75.8) 24- 1 -24.08 9.82 -0.84 0.93 8.38
------
118.73
|
winning pts = 150.0827 losing points = -31.3484
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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