Pine Creek
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 84.1896Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Grandview ( 6-10, 89.0) 6-16 311 H Rock Canyon ( 6- 9, 89.3) 10-17 313 H Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 8-15 315 H Monarch ( 3-11, 86.6) 5-16 324 A Legend (11- 4, 94.6) 7-22 325 H Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 11-10 331 A Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 6-21 402 H Arvada West ( 2-13, 78.0) 17- 8 409 A Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 9- 7 411 A Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 14- 8 416 H Boulder ( 7- 6, 86.0) 10-13 418 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 6-15 425 H Douglas County ( 4-11, 81.1) 19- 2 430 A Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 7-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Grandview 6-16 -10 -5 0.00
311 H Rock Canyon 10-17 -7 -5 -0.22
313 H Air Academy 8-15 -7 -6 0.00
315 H Monarch 5-16 -11 -2 - -2.95
324 A Legend 7-22 -15 -11 0.00
325 H Chaparral 11-10 1 5 - -3.74
331 A Ralston Valley 6-21 -15 -8 0.00
402 H Arvada West 17- 8 9 7 0.00
409 A Eaglecrest 9- 7 2 0 1.80
411 A Heritage 14- 8 6 -1 +++ 6.21
416 H Boulder 10-13 -3 -1 -1.53
418 A Northfield 6-15 -9 -5 -0.29
425 H Douglas County 19- 2 17 3 1.57
430 A Lewis Palmer 7-13 -6 -4 -0.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 H Monarch 5-16 -11 -2 - -2.95 325 H Chaparral 11-10 1 5 - -3.74 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Heritage 14- 8 6 -1 +++ 6.21 |
Pine Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Arvada West | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Aspen | Aspen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Aspen | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | ||
| Boulder | Boulder | Boulder | ||
| Castle View | Castle View | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Castle View | |
| Chaparral | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | Chatfield 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Cheyenne Mountain | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Columbine | Columbine | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Columbine | |
| Conifer | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Crested Butte | Pine Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dakota Ridge | |
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Denver North | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Denver South | Denver South | Denver South 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Douglas County | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Durango | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Eagle Valley | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Eaglecrest | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Erie | Erie | Erie 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Evergreen | |
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Fountain Valley | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Fruita Monument | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Glenwood Springs | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Golden | Golden | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Golden | |
| Grand Junction | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Grandview | Grandview | Grandview | ||
| Green Mountain | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Pine Creek | |
| Heritage | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Holy Family | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Jefferson Academy | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Kent Denver | |
| Lakewood | Lakewood | Lakewood 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | ||
| Littleton | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Lutheran | Lutheran | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lutheran | |
| Middle Park | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Monarch | Monarch | Monarch | ||
| Montrose | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Mountain Range | Mountain Range | tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) | Mountain Range | |
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Mullen | Pine Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Pine Creek | |
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Palmer | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Ponderosa | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Pine Creek | |
| Poudre District | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Poudre District | |
| Prairie View | Pine Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Pueblo West | Pine Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | ||
| Rangeview | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Pine Creek | |
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Resurrection Christi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Resurrection Christi | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| Smoky Hill | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Pine Creek | |
| St Marys HS | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Steamboat Springs | |
| Summit | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Telluride | Telluride | Telluride | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Thompson Valley | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| ThunderRidge | Pine Creek | Pine Creek 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Vail Mountain | |
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Vanguard School | Pine Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Windsor | Pine Creek | Pine Creek |
PowerWise = 33
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Grandview ( 6-10, 89.0) 6-16 -10.85 22.65 0.37 1.07 -11.26
0 H Rock Canyon ( 6- 9, 89.3) 10-17 -10.56 22.94 -0.37 1.07 -11.74
0 H Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 8-15 -9.36 24.14 -0.37 1.07 -10.45
0 H Monarch ( 3-11, 86.6) 5-16 -13.29 20.21 -0.37 1.07 -14.67
0 A Legend (11- 4, 94.6) 7-22 -5.26 28.24 0.37 1.07 -5.26
0 H Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 11-10 -20.09 13.42 -0.37 1.07 14.02
0 A Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 6-21 -7.91 25.59 0.37 1.07 -8.10
0 H Arvada West ( 2-13, 78.0) 17- 8 -21.89 11.61 -0.37 1.07 12.08
0 A Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 9- 7 -16.28 17.22 0.37 1.07 18.90
0 A Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 14- 8 -14.87 18.64 0.37 1.07 20.42
0 H Boulder ( 7- 6, 86.0) 10-13 -13.87 19.63 -0.37 1.07 -15.30
0 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 6-15 -11.37 22.13 0.37 1.07 -11.82
0 H Douglas County ( 4-11, 81.1) 19- 2 -18.78 14.73 -0.37 1.07 15.43
0 A Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 7-13 -11.92 21.59 0.37 1.07 -12.41
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-20.17
|
winning pts = 80.8375 losing points = -101.0034
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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