safe3step boys Paul VI 1

  
Paul VI               
W-L: ( 7- 3)  PR =    98.2687
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 313 A Christchurch                         ( 8- 5, 96.8)     8- 7   
 314 H Collegiate School                    (12- 6, 94.6)     9- 4   
 318 H Blue Ridge School                    (13- 3, 97.0)     9- 7   
 322 A Episcopal                            ( 8- 3, 96.8)     7- 9   
 328 A St Annes-Belfield                    (14- 1, 99.9)    11-16   
 329 A Bishop Ireton                        ( 6- 4, 89.6)    12- 5   
 415 H Bishop OConnell                      ( 4- 5, 86.0)    13- 3   
 513 A Episcopal                            ( 8- 3, 96.8)    15- 7   
 517 A Blue Ridge School                    (13- 3, 97.0)    11- 9   
 518 A St Annes-Belfield                    (14- 1, 99.9)     5- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Christchurch            8- 7       1     1           0.15
   314 H Collegiate School       9- 4       5     4           0.72
   318 H Blue Ridge School       9- 7       2     2           0.16
   322 A Episcopal               7- 9      -2     1    -     -2.87
   328 A St Annes-Belfield      11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.76
   329 A Bishop Ireton          12- 5       7     8           0.00
   415 H Bishop OConnell        13- 3      10    13           0.00
   513 A Episcopal              15- 7       8     1    ++     4.13
   517 A Blue Ridge School      11- 9       2     1           1.38
   518 A St Annes-Belfield       5- 8      -3    -2          -0.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Episcopal               7- 9      -2     1    -     -2.87
   328 A St Annes-Belfield      11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Episcopal              15- 7       8     1    ++     4.13

Paul VI Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Albemarle	Paul VI			Paul VI
Alexandria City	Paul VI			Paul VI
Annandale	Paul VI			Paul VI
Atlee	Paul VI		Paul VI 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Battlefield	Paul VI			Paul VI
Bayside	Paul VI			Paul VI
Benedictine	Paul VI		Paul VI 4- 1 vs 1- 3
Bishop Ireton	Paul VI	Paul VI
Bishop OConnell	Paul VI	Paul VI
Blacksburg	Paul VI			Paul VI
Blue Ridge School	Paul VI	Paul VI
Brentsville	Paul VI			Paul VI
Briar Woods	Paul VI			Paul VI
Broad Run	Paul VI			Paul VI
Brooke Point	Paul VI			Paul VI
Cape Henry Collegiat	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Paul VI
Catholic HS	Paul VI		Paul VI 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Cave Spring	Paul VI			Paul VI
Centreville	Paul VI			Paul VI
Chantilly	Paul VI			Paul VI
Charlottesville	Paul VI			Paul VI
Christchurch	Paul VI	Paul VI
Christiansburg	Paul VI			Paul VI
Clover Hill	Paul VI			Paul VI
Colgan	Paul VI			Paul VI
Collegiate School	Paul VI	Paul VI
Colonial Forge	Paul VI			Paul VI
Cosby	Paul VI			Paul VI
Covenant School	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Paul VI
Cox	Paul VI			Paul VI
Culpeper County	Paul VI			Paul VI
Deep Run	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Paul VI
Dominion	Paul VI			Paul VI
Douglas Freeman	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Paul VI
Eastern View	Paul VI			Paul VI
EC Glass	Paul VI			Paul VI
Edison	Paul VI			Paul VI
Episcopal	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)	Paul VI
Eukarya Christian	Paul VI			Paul VI
Fairfax	Paul VI			Paul VI
Falls Church	Paul VI			Paul VI
Fauquier	Paul VI			Paul VI
First Colonial	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Paul VI
Fishburne Military A	Paul VI			Paul VI
Flint Hill	Paul VI		Paul VI 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fluvanna County	Paul VI			Paul VI
Forest Park	Paul VI			Paul VI
Fork Union Military	Paul VI		Paul VI 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Franklin County	Paul VI			Paul VI
Fredericksburg Acade	Paul VI			Paul VI
Fredericksburg Chris	Paul VI			Paul VI
Freedom South Ridin	Paul VI			Paul VI
Freedom Woodbridge	Paul VI			Paul VI
Gainesville	Paul VI			Paul VI
Gar-field	Paul VI			Paul VI
Glen Allen	Paul VI			Paul VI
Goochland	Paul VI			Paul VI
Grafton LC	Paul VI			Paul VI
Grassfield LC	Paul VI			Paul VI
Green Run	Paul VI			Paul VI
Handley	Paul VI			Paul VI
Hanover	Paul VI			Paul VI
Hayfield	Paul VI			Paul VI
Heritage Leesburg	Paul VI			Paul VI
Herndon	Paul VI			Paul VI
Hickory LC	Paul VI			Paul VI
Hidden Valley	Paul VI			Paul VI
Highland School	Paul VI			Paul VI
Highland Springs	Paul VI			Paul VI
Hylton	Paul VI			Paul VI
Independence	Paul VI			Paul VI
James Monroe	Paul VI			Paul VI
James River	Paul VI			Paul VI
Jamestown LC	Paul VI			Paul VI
Jefferson Forest	Paul VI			Paul VI
John Champe	Paul VI			Paul VI
Justice	Paul VI			Paul VI
Kellam	Paul VI			Paul VI
Kempsville	Paul VI			Paul VI
Kettle Run	Paul VI			Paul VI
Lafayette LC	Paul VI			Paul VI
Lake Braddock	Paul VI			Paul VI
Landstown	Paul VI			Paul VI
Langley	Paul VI			Paul VI
Lewis	Paul VI			Paul VI
Liberty Bealeton	Paul VI			Paul VI
Lightridge	Paul VI			Paul VI
Lloyd C Bird	Paul VI			Paul VI
Lord Botetourt	Paul VI			Paul VI
Loudoun County	Paul VI			Paul VI
Loudoun Valley	Paul VI			Paul VI
Madison	Paul VI			Paul VI
Manchester	Paul VI			Paul VI
Marshall	Paul VI			Paul VI
Massaponax	Paul VI			Paul VI
Matoaca	Paul VI			Paul VI
Maury LC	Paul VI			Paul VI
McLean	Paul VI			Paul VI
Mechanicsville	Paul VI			Paul VI
Menchville LC	Paul VI			Paul VI
Meridian	Paul VI			Paul VI
Midlothian	Paul VI			Paul VI
Mills Godwin	Paul VI			Paul VI
Monacan	Paul VI			Paul VI
Monticello	Paul VI			Paul VI
Mount Vernon	Paul VI			Paul VI
Mountain View	Paul VI			Paul VI
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac	Paul VI			Paul VI
New Covenant School	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Paul VI
Norfolk Academy	Paul VI		Paul VI 3- 1 vs 1- 3
Norfolk Christian	Paul VI			Paul VI
Norfolk Collegiate	Paul VI			Paul VI
North Cross School	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Paul VI
North Stafford	Paul VI			Paul VI
Northern VA Home Sch	Paul VI			Paul VI
Oakton	Paul VI			Paul VI
Ocean Lakes	Paul VI			Paul VI
Orange County	Paul VI			Paul VI
Osbourn	Paul VI			Paul VI
Osbourn Park	Paul VI			Paul VI
Park View	Paul VI			Paul VI
Patrick Henry Ashla	Paul VI			Paul VI
Patrick Henry Roano	Paul VI			Paul VI
Patriot	Paul VI			Paul VI
Potomac Falls	Paul VI			Paul VI
Potomac School	Paul VI		Paul VI 2- 1 vs 0- 2
Potomac-Dumfries	Paul VI			Paul VI
Powhatan	Paul VI			Paul VI
Princess Anne	Paul VI			Paul VI
Riverbend	Paul VI			Paul VI
Riverside	Paul VI			Paul VI
Robinson	Paul VI			Paul VI
Rock Ridge	Paul VI			Paul VI
Rockbridge County	Paul VI			Paul VI
Rockingham LC	Paul VI			Paul VI
Salem	Paul VI		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Paul VI
Salem Virginia Beach	Paul VI			Paul VI
Seton School	Paul VI			Paul VI
South County	Paul VI			Paul VI
South Lakes	Paul VI			Paul VI
St Annes-Belfield	St Annes-Belfield	St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers	Paul VI		Paul VI 4- 2 vs 2- 3
St John Paul the Gre	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Paul VI
St Stephen-St Agnes	Paul VI		Paul VI 3- 1 vs 1- 2
Stafford	Paul VI			Paul VI
Steward School	Paul VI			Paul VI
Stone Bridge	Paul VI			Paul VI
Strasburg LC	Paul VI			Paul VI
Tabb LC	Paul VI			Paul VI
Tallwood	Paul VI			Paul VI
Tandem Friends	Paul VI			Paul VI
Thomas Dale	Paul VI			Paul VI
Thomas Jefferson	Paul VI			Paul VI
Trinity Christian	Paul VI			Paul VI
Trinity Episcopal	Paul VI		Paul VI 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Trinity Meadow View	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Paul VI
Tuscarora	Paul VI			Paul VI
Unity Reed	Paul VI			Paul VI
Veritas School	Paul VI			Paul VI
Virginia Academy	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Paul VI
Virginia Episcopal S	Paul VI		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Paul VI
Wakefield HS	Paul VI			Paul VI
Wakefield School	Paul VI			Paul VI
Washington-Liberty	Paul VI			Paul VI
West Potomac	Paul VI		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Paul VI
West Springfield	Paul VI			Paul VI
Western Albemarle	Paul VI			Paul VI
Westfield	Paul VI			Paul VI
William Byrd	Paul VI			Paul VI
William Fleming	Paul VI			Paul VI
Woodberry Forest	Paul VI		Paul VI 4- 2 vs 0- 5
Woodbridge	Paul VI			Paul VI
Woodgrove	Paul VI			Paul VI
Woodson	Paul VI			Paul VI
York LC	Paul VI			Paul VI
Yorktown	Paul VI			Paul VI

PowerWise = 175

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Christchurch    ( 8- 5, 96.8)     8- 7       -3.09      31.91       0.61         1.39            45.35
   0 H Collegiate Sch  (12- 6, 94.6)     9- 4       -5.31      29.70      -0.61         1.39            40.56
   0 H Blue Ridge Sch  (13- 3, 97.0)     9- 7       -2.86      32.14      -0.61         1.39            43.97
   0 A Episcopal       ( 8- 3, 96.8)     7- 9       -3.11      31.89       0.61         1.39            -3.49
   0 A St Annes-Belfi  (14- 1, 99.9)    11-16       -0.00      35.00       0.61         1.39            -0.85
   0 A Bishop Ireton   ( 6- 4, 89.6)    12- 5      -10.30      24.70       0.61         1.39            35.29
   0 H Bishop OConnel  ( 4- 5, 86.0)    13- 3      -13.90      21.11      -0.61         1.39            28.58
   0 A Episcopal       ( 8- 3, 96.8)    15- 7       -3.11      31.89       0.61         1.39            45.31
   0 A Blue Ridge Sch  (13- 3, 97.0)    11- 9       -2.86      32.14       0.61         1.39            45.67
   0 A St Annes-Belfi  (14- 1, 99.9)     5- 8       -0.00      35.00       0.61         1.39            -0.85
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       279.54

winning pts = 284.7278 losing points = -5.1891

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------