All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.0500031 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A St Marys Annapolis ( 6-10, 92.5) 8- 7 311 H Archbishop Spalding (18- 2, 99.9) 6-16 313 A Christchurch ( 9- 8, 91.1) 8- 7 314 H Collegiate School (13- 6, 88.2) 9- 4 318 H Blue Ridge School (15- 8, 90.6) 9- 7 322 A Episcopal ( 9- 9, 89.5) 7- 9 328 A St Annes-Belfield (18- 3, 96.2) 11-16 329 A Bishop Ireton ( 9-11, 82.5) 12- 5 401 H Heights (11- 7, 90.2) 13- 3 404 H Good Counsel (13- 6, 92.2) 6-13 408 A Gonzaga (10-10, 94.5) 6- 9 411 A St Johns College HS (11- 6, 94.4) 10-11 415 H Bishop OConnell ( 8-11, 76.8) 13- 3 417 A DeMatha (15- 4, 93.7) 9-10 421 A Tabor Academy (12- 6, 93.9) 10-11 425 H St Marys Ryken (11- 8, 89.5) 11- 7 429 H Bishop McNamara ( 1-16, 62.8) 23- 1 506 A Gonzaga (10-10, 94.5) 2-10 513 A Episcopal ( 9- 9, 89.5) 15- 7 517 A Blue Ridge School (15- 8, 90.6) 11- 9 518 A St Annes-Belfield (18- 3, 96.2) 5- 8
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A St Marys Annapolis 8- 7 1 -1 n/a 311 H Archbishop Spalding 6-16 -10 -7 n/a 313 A Christchurch 8- 7 1 0 0.86 314 H Collegiate School 9- 4 5 4 0.39 318 H Blue Ridge School 9- 7 2 2 -0.21 322 A Episcopal 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.75 328 A St Annes-Belfield 11-16 -5 -4 -0.11 329 A Bishop Ireton 12- 5 7 8 0.00 401 H Heights 13- 3 10 2 n/a 404 H Good Counsel 6-13 -7 0 n/a 408 A Gonzaga 6- 9 -3 -3 n/a 411 A St Johns College HS 10-11 -1 -3 n/a 415 H Bishop OConnell 13- 3 10 16 0.00 417 A DeMatha 9-10 -1 -2 n/a 421 A Tabor Academy 10-11 -1 -2 n/a 425 H St Marys Ryken 11- 7 4 3 n/a 429 H Bishop McNamara 23- 1 22 29 n/a 506 A Gonzaga 2-10 -8 -3 n/a 513 A Episcopal 15- 7 8 1 ++ 5.25 517 A Blue Ridge School 11- 9 2 0 1.35 518 A St Annes-Belfield 5- 8 -3 -4 1.89UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 92.05 Power Rank................. 2 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 77.82 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 1 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7288 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 5 RPI Rating............... .7213 RPI Rank................... 2 Champ. Probability ...... 19.0 Championship Rank ......... 2 Selection sum ........... 19 Selection Rank ............ 4 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 115. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 4 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 60. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 12 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3