---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Patton Morganton 1
  
Patton  Morganton     
W-L: ( 2-13) PR = 76.0041

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 4-15 227 H St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 2-16 304 H TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 1-18 313 A Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 5-18 318 H Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 0-18 320 H Mountain Island Char ( 0-13, 71.4) 9- 1 325 A North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 3-19 327 A Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 10-11 403 H West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 2-24 408 A TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 1-20 415 A South Iredell ( 0-18, 70.8) 14- 1 416 A St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 1-13 429 H Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 2-17 501 A Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 1-22 506 H North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 3-23

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Watauga                 4-15     -11    -3    -     -2.41
   227 H St Stephens             2-16     -14    -8           0.00
   304 H TC Roberson             1-18     -17   -12           0.00
   313 A Asheville HS            5-18     -13    -6           0.00
   318 H Hickory                 0-18     -18   -10           0.00
   320 H Mountain Island Char    9- 1       8     5           0.10
   325 A North Lincoln           3-19     -16   -12           0.00
   327 A Watauga                10-11      -1    -3    +      2.13
   403 H West Forsyth            2-24     -22    -8           0.00
   408 A TC Roberson             1-20     -19   -13           0.00
   415 A South Iredell          14- 1      13     5           0.11
   416 A St Stephens             1-13     -12    -9           0.00
   429 H Asheville HS            2-17     -15    -6           0.00
   501 A Hickory                 1-22     -21   -11           0.00
   506 H North Lincoln           3-23     -20   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Watauga                 4-15     -11    -3    -     -2.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Watauga                10-11      -1    -3    +      2.13

Patton Morganton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Asheville HS Asheville HS  
Asheville School Asheville School tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Bradford Prep tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Bradford Prep
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Butler tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Butler
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian Cary Christian   Cary Christian
Cary HS Cary HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cary HS
Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King Christ The King   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland Cleveland   Cleveland
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter   Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Davie
DH Conley Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Eastern Alamance   Eastern Alamance
Eastern Guilford Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fike Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Garner   Garner
Glenn Glenn tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Glenn
Grays Creek Grays Creek   Grays Creek
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grimsley
Havelock Havelock   Havelock
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory Hickory  
High Point Central Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange   Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hough
Hunt Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mount Tabor
Mountain Island Char Patton Morganton Patton Morganton  
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick North Brunswick   North Brunswick
North Davidson Patton Morganton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Patton Morganton
North Lincoln North Lincoln North Lincoln  
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ   North Raleigh Christ
Northern Durham Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Parkwood
Pine Forest Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Providence Providence insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Reagan
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Riverside Durham
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Rolesville   Rolesville
Roxboro Community Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Garner South Garner   South Garner
South Iredell Patton Morganton Patton Morganton  
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) South Mecklenburg
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford   Southeast Guilford
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance   Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford   Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Stephens St Stephens St Stephens  
Sun Valley Sun Valley tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Sun Valley
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson TC Roberson  
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford   Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Vance Charter Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Voyager Academy Voyager Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Voyager Academy
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wake Prep Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Walter M Williams
Watauga Watauga Watauga  
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Carteret West Carteret   West Carteret
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth  
West Stokes West Stokes insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) West Stokes
Western Alamance Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Western Guilford Western Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Guilford
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 18


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Watauga         ( 6-15, 78.9)     4-15      -21.04      12.77      -0.27         1.20           -25.47
   0 H St Stephens     (12- 8, 84.5)     2-16      -15.37      18.44      -0.27         1.20           -18.70
   0 H TC Roberson     (13- 2, 88.5)     1-18      -11.44      22.37      -0.27         1.20           -14.00
   0 A Asheville HS    ( 5- 8, 82.0)     5-18      -17.94      15.87       0.27         1.20           -21.13
   0 H Hickory         (13- 5, 86.8)     0-18      -13.13      20.68      -0.27         1.20           -16.02
   0 H Mountain Islan  ( 0-13, 71.4)     9- 1      -28.52       5.29      -0.27         1.20             6.00
   0 A North Lincoln   (15- 7, 87.5)     3-19      -12.38      21.43       0.27         1.20           -14.47
   0 A Watauga         ( 6-15, 78.9)    10-11      -21.04      12.77       0.27         1.20           -24.82
   0 H West Forsyth    (12-10, 84.0)     2-24      -15.86      17.95      -0.27         1.20           -19.28
   0 A TC Roberson     (13- 2, 88.5)     1-20      -11.44      22.37       0.27         1.20           -13.35
   0 A South Iredell   ( 0-18, 70.8)    14- 1      -29.06       4.75       0.27         1.20             6.00
   0 A St Stephens     (12- 8, 84.5)     1-13      -15.37      18.44       0.27         1.20           -18.05
   0 H Asheville HS    ( 5- 8, 82.0)     2-17      -17.94      15.87      -0.27         1.20           -21.78
   0 A Hickory         (13- 5, 86.8)     1-22      -13.13      20.68       0.27         1.20           -15.37
   0 H North Lincoln   (15- 7, 87.5)     3-23      -12.38      21.43      -0.27         1.20           -15.12
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -225.58

winning pts = 12.0007 losing points = -237.5819

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------