Patterson HS
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 72.8372Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 H Reginald F Lewis ( 0- 9, 64.7) 15- 2 327 A Mergenthaler ( 2- 5, 67.6) 7- 2 401 H Forest Park (12- 1, 82.0) 5-21 403 H Academy for College ( 6- 3, 76.9) 8-17 404 A Joppatowne ( 1-13, 71.1) 11-10 408 A Digital Harbor ( 4- 5, 70.5) 11- 3 424 A Dunbar ( 2- 8, 68.3) 10- 3 425 H Lake Clifton ( 2- 8, 67.5) 15- 0 428 A Guilford Park ( 2-11, 74.6) 8-14 429 H Edmondson-Westside ( 1- 6, 67.3) 1- 0 501 A Baltimore Polytechni (11- 2, 82.3) 5-15 512 A Hereford (11- 5, 89.5) 3-27
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
325 H Reginald F Lewis 15- 2 13 9 0.00
327 A Mergenthaler 7- 2 5 5 0.24
401 H Forest Park 5-21 -16 -9 0.00
403 H Academy for College 8-17 -9 -4 -1.43
404 A Joppatowne 11-10 1 1 -0.29
408 A Digital Harbor 11- 3 8 2 + 3.08
424 A Dunbar 10- 3 7 4 0.88
425 H Lake Clifton 15- 0 15 6 0.00
428 A Guilford Park 8-14 -6 -2 - -2.84
501 A Baltimore Polytechni 5-15 -10 -10 0.00
512 A Hereford 3-27 -24 -17 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A Guilford Park 8-14 -6 -2 - -2.84 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Digital Harbor 11- 3 8 2 + 3.08 |
Patterson HS Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Chapelgate Christian | Chapelgate Christian | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | FCA LC | FCA LC | ||
| Friends | Friends | Friends | ||
| Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | ||
| Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gerstell Academy | |
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Gunston School | Gunston School | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Indian Creek School | Indian Creek School | ||
| Jemicy School | Jemicy School | Jemicy School | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Key School | Key School | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Maret | Maret | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Sandy Spring Friends | Sandy Spring Friends | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | St Vincent Pallotti | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Vincent Pallotti | |
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Tome School | Tome School | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Aberdeen | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Aberdeen | |
| Academy for College | Academy for College | Academy for College | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Atholton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Atholton | |
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Bel Air | |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Bowie | Bowie | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | ||
| Carver A&T | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Centennial | |
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | CH Flowers | CH Flowers | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 6- 2) | City College | |
| Clarksburg | Clarksburg | Clarksburg | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dulaney | |
| Dunbar | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Dundalk | Dundalk | Dundalk | ||
| DuVal | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Eastern Tech | |
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Patterson HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patterson HS | |
| Edmondson-Westside | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Einstein | Einstein | Einstein | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | ||
| Elkton | Elkton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Elkton | |
| Fairmont Heights | Patterson HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson HS | |
| Fallston | Fallston | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Fallston | |
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Franklin | |
| Frederick | Frederick | Frederick | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Friendly | Friendly | Friendly | ||
| Gaithersburg | Gaithersburg | Gaithersburg | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | ||
| Great Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Guilford Park | Guilford Park | Guilford Park | ||
| Gwynn Park | Gwynn Park | Gwynn Park | ||
| Hammond | Hammond | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hammond | |
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Havre De Grace | |
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Kennedy | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Kent County | Kent County | Kent County | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Kenwood | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kenwood | |
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Lake Clifton | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Lansdowne | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Laurel | Laurel | Laurel | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Loch Raven | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Loch Raven | |
| Long Reach | Long Reach | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Long Reach | |
| Magruder | Magruder | Magruder | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Meade | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Meade | |
| Mergenthaler | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Middletown | |
| Milford Mill | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| MJ McDonough | MJ McDonough | MJ McDonough | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Hebron | |
| National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | ||
| New Town | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| North East Cecil | North East Cecil | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North East Cecil | |
| North Hagerstown | North Hagerstown | North Hagerstown | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Northwood | Northwood | Northwood | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Oakland Mills | |
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Owings Mills | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Oxon Hill | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Paint Branch | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Parkdale | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Parkville | Parkville | ||
| Patapsco | Patapsco | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patapsco | |
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patterson Mill | |
| Patuxent | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Perryville | Perryville | ||
| Pikesville | Pikesville | Pikesville | ||
| Poolesville | Poolesville | Poolesville | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Reservoir | |
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rising Sun | |
| River Hill | River Hill | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | River Hill | |
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Severn Run | Severn Run | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Severn Run | |
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sparrows Point | |
| Springbrook | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stephen Decatur | |
| Suitland | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Surrattsville | Surrattsville | Surrattsville | ||
| Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | ||
| Towson | Towson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Towson | |
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Western STES | Western STES | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Western STES | |
| Westlake | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Wicomico | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wilde Lake | |
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Woodlawn | Woodlawn | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| DC International PCS | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed |
PowerWise = 37
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Reginald F Lew ( 0- 9, 64.7) 15- 2 -35.15 1.00 -0.45 1.01 0.56
0 A Mergenthaler ( 2- 5, 67.6) 7- 2 -32.27 3.32 0.45 1.01 3.81
0 H Forest Park (12- 1, 82.0) 5-21 -17.87 17.73 -0.45 1.01 -18.52
0 H Academy for Co ( 6- 3, 76.9) 8-17 -23.04 12.55 -0.45 1.01 -23.75
0 A Joppatowne ( 1-13, 71.1) 11-10 -28.80 6.79 0.45 1.01 7.32
0 A Digital Harbor ( 4- 5, 70.5) 11- 3 -29.43 6.17 0.45 1.01 6.69
0 A Dunbar ( 2- 8, 68.3) 10- 3 -31.63 3.96 0.45 1.01 4.46
0 H Lake Clifton ( 2- 8, 67.5) 15- 0 -32.39 3.20 -0.45 1.01 2.78
0 A Guilford Park ( 2-11, 74.6) 8-14 -25.35 10.25 0.45 1.01 -25.18
0 H Edmondson-West ( 1- 6, 67.3) 1- 0 -32.56 3.03 -0.45 1.01 2.62
0 A Baltimore Poly (11- 2, 82.3) 5-15 -17.59 18.00 0.45 1.01 -17.34
0 A Hereford (11- 5, 89.5) 3-27 -10.43 25.16 0.45 1.01 -10.10
------
-66.66
|
winning pts = 28.2361 losing points = -94.8925
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------