---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:10 PDT

safe3step boys Page 1
  
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W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 86.8938

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Ensworth School (10- 8, 91.3) 13-14 227 A Centennial ( 4-10, 83.1) 12- 4 301 H Lakeland Prep ( 1- 8, 81.5) 18- 2 306 H Nolensville (14- 4, 96.2) 1-14 321 H Wilson Central ( 1- 7, 74.5) 19- 2 328 H Ravenwood ( 7- 8, 92.6) 4-12 402 H Green Hill ( 3- 6, 79.5) 14- 2 405 H Evangelical Christia ( 9- 5, 93.6) 4-13 409 A Christ Presbyterian (13- 3, 93.8) 5- 7 414 A Summit ( 5- 8, 86.8) 6-10 419 H West Knoxville (12- 5, 88.6) 7- 6 422 H Independence ( 2- 9, 86.8) 9-12 427 H Collierville ( 5- 7, 89.2) 7-10 503 H Green Hill ( 3- 6, 79.5) 17- 4 510 A Hillsboro ( 6- 7, 87.7) 5-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Ensworth School        13-14      -1    -4    +      2.58
   227 A Centennial             12- 4       8     3    +      2.06
   301 H Lakeland Prep          18- 2      16     6           0.00
   306 H Nolensville             1-14     -13    -8           0.00
   321 H Wilson Central         19- 2      17    13           0.00
   328 H Ravenwood               4-12      -8    -5          -0.13
   402 H Green Hill             14- 2      12     8           0.00
   405 H Evangelical Christia    4-13      -9    -6           0.00
   409 A Christ Presbyterian     5- 7      -2    -8    +      3.00
   414 A Summit                  6-10      -4    -1    -     -3.23
   419 H West Knoxville          7- 6       1    -1           1.84
   422 H Independence            9-12      -3     1    -     -3.95
   427 H Collierville            7-10      -3    -1          -1.56
   503 H Green Hill             17- 4      13     8           0.00
   510 A Hillsboro               5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Summit                  6-10      -4    -1    -     -3.23
   422 H Independence            9-12      -3     1    -     -3.95
   510 A Hillsboro               5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Ensworth School        13-14      -1    -4    +      2.58
   227 A Centennial             12- 4       8     3    +      2.06
   409 A Christ Presbyterian     5- 7      -2    -8    +      3.00

Page Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Arlington Page tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Page
Bartlett Page insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Page
Baylor School Baylor School Baylor School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Boyd Buchanan Boyd Buchanan tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Boyd Buchanan
Brentwood Brentwood Brentwood   4- 3 vs 0- 7
Briarcrest Christian Briarcrest Christian Briarcrest Christian   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Centennial Page Page  
Christ Presbyterian Christ Presbyterian Christ Presbyterian  
Christian Academy-Kn Page insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Page
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Christian Brothers
Collierville Collierville Collierville  
Cookeville Page insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Page
Dobyns Bennett Page insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Page
Ensworth School Ensworth School Ensworth School  
Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia Evangelical Christia  
Farragut Farragut insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Farragut
Father Ryan Father Ryan Father Ryan   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Franklin Franklin Franklin   9- 0 vs 2- 7
Gibbs Page Page   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Green Hill Page Page  
Hardin Valley Academ Hardin Valley Academ insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hardin Valley Academ
Hendersonville Hendersonville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hendersonville
Hillsboro Hillsboro Hillsboro  
Houston Houston Houston   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Independence Independence Independence  
Knoxville Catholic Page insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Page
Lakeland Prep Page Page  
Lausanne Collegiate Page   Page
Maryville Page insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Page
McCallie School McCallie School   McCallie School
Memphis University S Memphis University S insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Memphis University S
Montgomery Bell Acad Montgomery Bell Acad Montgomery Bell Acad   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Nolensville Nolensville Nolensville  
Oakland Page Page   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Pigeon Forge Page insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Page
Pope John Paul II Pope John Paul II Pope John Paul II   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Ravenwood Ravenwood Ravenwood  
Roane County Page   Page
Science Hill Page   Page
Sevier County Page insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Page
Siegel Siegel   Siegel
Signal Mountain Signal Mountain insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Signal Mountain
Soddy Daisy Page insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Page
St Benedict Auburnd St Benedict Auburnd   St Benedict Auburnd
St Georges St Georges tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) St Georges
Summit Summit Summit  
University School Na University School Na University School Na   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Walker Valley Page   Page
Webb School Knoxvill Webb School Knoxvill Webb School Knoxvill   4- 0 vs 1- 3
West Knoxville Page Page  
Wilson Central Page Page  

PowerWise = 21


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.73

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Ensworth Schoo  (10- 8, 91.3)    13-14       -8.58      22.18      -0.85         0.78            -7.37
   0 A Centennial      ( 4-10, 83.1)    12- 4      -16.80      13.95       0.85         0.78            11.58
   0 H Lakeland Prep   ( 1- 8, 81.5)    18- 2      -18.40      12.35      -0.85         0.78             8.99
   0 H Nolensville     (14- 4, 96.2)     1-14       -3.67      27.08      -0.85         0.78            -3.54
   0 H Wilson Central  ( 1- 7, 74.5)    19- 2      -25.42       5.34      -0.85         0.78             3.51
   0 H Ravenwood       ( 7- 8, 92.6)     4-12       -7.28      23.47      -0.85         0.78            -6.37
   0 H Green Hill      ( 3- 6, 79.5)    14- 2      -20.40      10.35      -0.85         0.78             7.43
   0 H Evangelical Ch  ( 9- 5, 93.6)     4-13       -6.33      24.43      -0.85         0.78            -5.62
   0 A Christ Presbyt  (13- 3, 93.8)     5- 7       -6.05      24.70       0.85         0.78            -4.06
   0 A Summit          ( 5- 8, 86.8)     6-10      -13.09      17.67       0.85         0.78            -9.57
   0 H West Knoxville  (12- 5, 88.6)     7- 6      -11.31      19.44      -0.85         0.78            14.54
   0 H Independence    ( 2- 9, 86.8)     9-12      -13.11      17.65      -0.85         0.78           -10.92
   0 H Collierville    ( 5- 7, 89.2)     7-10      -10.71      20.04      -0.85         0.78            -9.05
   0 H Green Hill      ( 3- 6, 79.5)    17- 4      -20.40      10.35      -0.85         0.78             7.43
   0 A Hillsboro       ( 6- 7, 87.7)     5-10      -12.19      18.56       0.85         0.78            -8.87
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -11.89

winning pts = 53.4669 losing points = -65.3555

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------