---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:53 PDT

safe3step boys Pace Academy 1
  
Pace Academy          
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 85.9564

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 H McIntosh ( 8- 9, 81.7) 15- 5 213 H Decatur (12- 3, 88.9) 5- 8 218 A Marist (18- 3, 94.4) 3-14 220 H Mount Vernon Presbyt ( 4- 7, 82.0) 9- 4 224 A Woodward Academy ( 7-11, 83.9) 10- 9 226 H Greater Atlanta Chri (13- 7, 89.1) 11-12 311 A Centennial ( 5-10, 83.5) 15- 6 315 A Fellowship Christian ( 6- 9, 89.0) 6-14 318 H Starrs Mill (13- 5, 89.7) 7- 9 321 H Holy Innocents ( 5- 8, 82.6) 11- 7 325 A Whitefield Academy ( 3- 9, 82.6) 10- 7 401 A Lovett (13- 4, 91.4) 5-12 415 H Westminster ( 9-10, 88.5) 5- 9 422 H St Pius X (13- 6, 89.4) 5-17 428 H Walker School ( 6-10, 78.9) 19- 6 501 A Wesleyan School (15- 4, 95.1) 5-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H McIntosh               15- 5      10     5           0.16
   213 H Decatur                 5- 8      -3    -2          -0.64
   218 A Marist                  3-14     -11    -9           0.00
   220 H Mount Vernon Presbyt    9- 4       5     4           0.53
   224 A Woodward Academy       10- 9       1     1          -0.45
   226 H Greater Atlanta Chri   11-12      -1    -3           1.62
   311 A Centennial             15- 6       9     2    +      3.11
   315 A Fellowship Christian    6-14      -8    -4          -1.41
   318 H Starrs Mill             7- 9      -2    -3           1.15
   321 H Holy Innocents         11- 7       4     4           0.05
   325 A Whitefield Academy     10- 7       3     3           0.18
   401 A Lovett                  5-12      -7    -6           0.00
   415 H Westminster             5- 9      -4    -2    -     -2.06
   422 H St Pius X               5-17     -12    -3    -     -2.15
   428 H Walker School          19- 6      13     8           0.00
   501 A Wesleyan School         5-16     -11   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Westminster             5- 9      -4    -2    -     -2.06
   422 H St Pius X               5-17     -12    -3    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Centennial             15- 6       9     2    +      3.11

Pace Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allatoona Allatoona Allatoona   6- 1 vs 3- 4
Alpharetta Alpharetta tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Alpharetta
Archer Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Benedictine Military Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Bremen Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Pace Academy
Brookwood Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Buford Buford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Buford
Calvary Day Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Cambridge Cambridge Cambridge   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Campbell Pace Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pace Academy
Carrollton Pace Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pace Academy
Centennial Pace Academy Pace Academy  
Chamblee Charter Pace Academy tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pace Academy
Chattahoochee Pace Academy Pace Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cherokee Pace Academy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Pace Academy
Cherokee Bluff Pace Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace Academy
Collins Hill Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Creekview Creekview tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Creekview
Dacula Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Dalton Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace Academy
Darlington Pace Academy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Pace Academy
Decatur Decatur Decatur  
Denmark Denmark tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Denmark
Druid Hills Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Duluth Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Dunwoody Pace Academy tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Pace Academy
Dutchtown Pace Academy Pace Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Eagles Landing Chris Pace Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace Academy
East Coweta Pace Academy tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Pace Academy
East Forsyth Pace Academy Pace Academy   2- 2 vs 0- 4
East Paulding Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace Academy
Effingham County Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Etowah Etowah   Etowah
Evans Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Fayette County Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pace Academy
Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian  
Flowery Branch Pace Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace Academy
Forsyth Central Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace Academy
Gainesville Pace Academy   Pace Academy
George Walton Academ George Walton Academ tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) George Walton Academ
Grayson Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Greater Atlanta Chri Greater Atlanta Chri Greater Atlanta Chri  
Greenbrier Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Grovetown Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Harrison Harrison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Harrison
Hebron Christian Pace Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace Academy
Hillgrove Hillgrove   Hillgrove
Holy Innocents Pace Academy Pace Academy  
Islands Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Jackson Pace Academy tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pace Academy
Jackson County Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Johns Creek Pace Academy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Pace Academy
Johnson Savannah Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Kell Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace Academy
Kennesaw Mountain Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pace Academy
Kings Ridge Christia Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Lakeside-DeKalb Pace Academy tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Pace Academy
Lakeside-Evans Pace Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pace Academy
Lambert Lambert Lambert   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lanier Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Lassiter Lassiter   Lassiter
Lovett Lovett Lovett  
Marietta Marietta   Marietta
Marist Marist Marist  
Mays Pace Academy   Pace Academy
McEachern Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace Academy
McIntosh Pace Academy Pace Academy  
Midtown Pace Academy tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Pace Academy
Mill Creek Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Milton Milton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Milton
Mount Bethel Christi Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Mount Paran Christia Mount Paran Christia insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 3) Mount Paran Christia
Mount Pisgah Christi Pace Academy Pace Academy   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Mount Vernon Presbyt Pace Academy Pace Academy  
Mountain View Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Newnan Pace Academy Pace Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Norcross Pace Academy   Pace Academy
North Atlanta Pace Academy Pace Academy   2- 2 vs 0- 4
North Cobb North Cobb tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Cobb
North Cobb Christian Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace Academy
North Forsyth North Forsyth   North Forsyth
North Gwinnett Pace Academy   Pace Academy
North Oconee North Oconee tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) North Oconee
North Paulding North Paulding insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) North Paulding
North Springs Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Northgate Pace Academy tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Pace Academy
Northview Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Pace Academy
Oconee County Oconee County insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Oconee County
Ola Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pace Academy
Parkview Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pace Academy
Peachtree Ridge Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Pope Pope insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pope
Richmond Hill Pace Academy   Pace Academy
River Ridge River Ridge tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) River Ridge
Riverwood Pace Academy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Pace Academy
Roswell Roswell tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Roswell
Savannah Christian Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Savannah Country Day Pace Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pace Academy
Seckinger Pace Academy   Pace Academy
Sequoyah Sequoyah tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sequoyah
South Effingham Pace Academy   Pace Academy
South Forsyth South Forsyth South Forsyth   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Southwest DeKalb Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace Academy
Sprayberry Pace Academy   Pace Academy
St Pius X St Pius X St Pius X  
Starrs Mill Starrs Mill Starrs Mill  
Strong Rock Christia Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace Academy
Trinity Christian Pace Academy tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pace Academy
Union Grove Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Pace Academy
Walker School Pace Academy Pace Academy  
Walton Walton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Walton
Wesleyan School Wesleyan School Wesleyan School  
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
Westminster Westminster Westminster  
Wheeler Pace Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pace Academy
Whitefield Academy Pace Academy Pace Academy  
Whitewater Whitewater tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) Whitewater
Woodstock Woodstock insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woodstock
Woodward Academy Pace Academy Pace Academy  

PowerWise = 80


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H McIntosh        ( 8- 9, 81.7)    15- 5      -18.22      20.44      -0.56         0.95            18.83
   0 H Decatur         (12- 3, 88.9)     5- 8      -11.02      27.64      -0.56         0.95           -10.97
   0 A Marist          (18- 3, 94.4)     3-14       -5.54      33.12       0.56         0.95            -4.72
   0 H Mount Vernon P  ( 4- 7, 82.0)     9- 4      -17.85      20.81      -0.56         0.95            19.18
   0 A Woodward Acade  ( 7-11, 83.9)    10- 9      -15.96      22.70       0.56         0.95            22.04
   0 H Greater Atlant  (13- 7, 89.1)    11-12      -10.76      27.90      -0.56         0.95           -10.73
   0 A Centennial      ( 5-10, 83.5)    15- 6      -16.40      22.26       0.56         0.95            21.62
   0 A Fellowship Chr  ( 6- 9, 89.0)     6-14      -10.91      27.75       0.56         0.95            -9.81
   0 H Starrs Mill     (13- 5, 89.7)     7- 9      -10.23      28.43      -0.56         0.95           -10.22
   0 H Holy Innocents  ( 5- 8, 82.6)    11- 7      -17.33      21.33      -0.56         0.95            19.67
   0 A Whitefield Aca  ( 3- 9, 82.6)    10- 7      -17.32      21.34       0.56         0.95            20.74
   0 A Lovett          (13- 4, 91.4)     5-12       -8.46      30.20       0.56         0.95            -7.49
   0 H Westminster     ( 9-10, 88.5)     5- 9      -11.44      27.22      -0.56         0.95           -11.37
   0 H St Pius X       (13- 6, 89.4)     5-17      -10.54      28.12      -0.56         0.95           -10.51
   0 H Walker School   ( 6-10, 78.9)    19- 6      -21.00      17.66      -0.56         0.95            16.20
   0 A Wesleyan Schoo  (15- 4, 95.1)     5-16       -4.78      33.88       0.56         0.95            -4.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        58.48

winning pts = 138.2879 losing points = -79.8119

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------