Owatonna
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 90.0322
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
410 H Rosemount (11- 4, 96.0) 9-17
414 H Rochester United ( 4-11, 87.5) 18- 9
425 H Sartell/Sauk Rapids ( 8- 6, 87.4) 13- 9
430 A Northfield ( 8- 6, 89.9) 13-14
501 H Southwest Christian ( 9- 5, 86.5) 9- 6
503 A Andover (12- 3, 92.5) 6-13
506 A Mankato United ( 4- 9, 85.5) 9- 4
509 A Rochester United ( 4-11, 87.5) 8- 9
510 H Farmington (14- 1, 97.9) 4-15
512 H Lakeville North (14- 5, 97.3) 6-17
515 H Northfield ( 8- 6, 89.9) 11- 4
521 A New Prague ( 9- 6, 93.8) 6-12
522 H Mankato United ( 4- 9, 85.5) 14- 5
528 A Lakeville South ( 8- 7, 93.3) 5-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 H Rosemount 9-17 -8 -5 0.00
414 H Rochester United 18- 9 9 3 1.72
425 H Sartell/Sauk Rapids 13- 9 4 3 0.58
430 A Northfield 13-14 -1 -1 -0.38
501 H Southwest Christian 9- 6 3 4 -1.24
503 A Andover 6-13 -7 -3 -1.75
506 A Mankato United 9- 4 5 4 1.21
509 A Rochester United 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.80
510 H Farmington 4-15 -11 -7 0.00
512 H Lakeville North 6-17 -11 -6 0.00
515 H Northfield 11- 4 7 1 ++ 4.14
521 A New Prague 6-12 -6 -5 -0.46
522 H Mankato United 14- 5 9 5 0.00
528 A Lakeville South 5-10 -5 -4 -1.03
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
509 A Rochester United 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.80
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
515 H Northfield 11- 4 7 1 ++ 4.14
|
Owatonna Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Andover |
Andover |
Andover |
 
| |
Anoka |
Anoka |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Anoka |
Becker |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Owatonna |
Benilde-St Margarets |
Benilde-St Margarets |
|
Benilde-St Margarets   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Big Lake/Princeton |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Owatonna |
Blaine |
Blaine |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Blaine |
Blake School |
Owatonna |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Owatonna |
Bloomington Jefferso |
Bloomington Jefferso |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Bloomington Jefferso |
Bloomington Kennedy/ |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Owatonna |
Brainerd |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Owatonna |
Breck School |
Owatonna |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Owatonna |
Buffalo |
Buffalo |
|
 
| Buffalo |
Centennial |
Centennial |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) |
Centennial |
Champlin Park |
Champlin Park |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Champlin Park |
Chanhassen |
Chanhassen |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Chanhassen |
Chaska |
Owatonna |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Owatonna |
Chisago Lakes |
Chisago Lakes |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Chisago Lakes |
Cloquet/Esko/Carlton |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
|
 
| Cretin-Derham Hall |
Delano/Rockford |
Owatonna |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Owatonna |
Duluth East/Denfield |
Duluth East/Denfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Duluth East/Denfield |
Duluth Marshall |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Eagan |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 5) |
Owatonna |
East Ridge |
East Ridge |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
East Ridge |
Eastview/Apple Valle |
Eastview/Apple Valle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 5) |
Eastview/Apple Valle |
Eden Prairie |
Eden Prairie |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Eden Prairie |
Edina |
Edina |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Edina |
Elk River/Zimmerman |
Owatonna |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Owatonna |
Farmington |
Farmington |
Farmington |
 
| |
Forest Lake |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Grand Rapids/Greenwa |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Hastings |
Owatonna |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) |
Owatonna |
Hermantown/Proctor |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Hill-Murray |
Hill-Murray |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Hill-Murray |
Holy Angels |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Owatonna |
Holy Family Catholic |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Owatonna |
Hopkins/St Louis Par |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Hutchinson |
Owatonna |
|
Owatonna   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Irondale |
Irondale |
|
 
| Irondale |
Lakeville North |
Lakeville North |
Lakeville North |
 
| |
Lakeville South |
Lakeville South |
Lakeville South |
 
| |
Mahtomedi |
Mahtomedi |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Mahtomedi |
Mankato United |
Owatonna |
Owatonna |
 
| |
Maple Grove |
Owatonna |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Owatonna |
Minneapolis United |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Owatonna |
Minnetonka |
Minnetonka |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Minnetonka |
Monticello |
Owatonna |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Owatonna |
Moorhead |
Moorhead |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Moorhead |
Mound Westonka |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Owatonna |
Mounds View |
Mounds View |
|
 
| Mounds View |
New Prague |
New Prague |
New Prague |
 
| |
Northfield |
Owatonna |
|
tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 4) |
Owatonna |
Orono |
Orono |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Orono |
Osseo/Park Center |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Park Cottage Grove |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Prior Lake |
Prior Lake |
|
Prior Lake   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Providence Academy |
Owatonna |
|
Owatonna   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Robbinsdale Armstron |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Rochester United |
Owatonna |
|
Owatonna   2- 4 vs 0- 5 |
|
Rocori |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Owatonna |
Rogers |
Rogers |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Rogers |
Rosemount |
Rosemount |
Rosemount |
 
| |
Roseville |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Sartell/Sauk Rapids |
Owatonna |
Owatonna |
 
| |
Shakopee |
Shakopee |
|
tied - ( 2- 6) ( 2- 4) |
Shakopee |
Simley |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Southwest Christian |
Owatonna |
Owatonna |
 
| |
Spring Lake Park/Coo |
Spring Lake Park/Coo |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Spring Lake Park/Coo |
St Cloud Unified |
Owatonna |
|
Owatonna   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
St Michael-Albertvil |
St Michael-Albertvil |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
St Michael-Albertvil |
St Paul/Two Rivers |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
St Thomas Academy |
St Thomas Academy |
|
 
| St Thomas Academy |
Stillwater |
Stillwater |
|
 
| Stillwater |
Totino Grace |
Owatonna |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Owatonna |
TriMAC Academy |
Owatonna |
|
 
| Owatonna |
Waconia |
Owatonna |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Owatonna |
Wayzata |
Wayzata |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wayzata |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Woodbury |
Woodbury |
|
 
| Woodbury |
PowerWise = 41

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Rosemount (11- 4, 96.0) 9-17 -3.89 21.18 -0.74 1.04 -4.84
0 H Rochester Unit ( 4-11, 87.5) 18- 9 -12.41 12.66 -0.74 1.04 12.45
0 H Sartell/Sauk R ( 8- 6, 87.4) 13- 9 -12.54 12.52 -0.74 1.04 12.31
0 A Northfield ( 8- 6, 89.9) 13-14 -9.99 15.08 0.74 1.04 -9.66
0 H Southwest Chri ( 9- 5, 86.5) 9- 6 -13.36 11.70 -0.74 1.04 11.45
0 A Andover (12- 3, 92.5) 6-13 -7.36 17.71 0.74 1.04 -6.92
0 A Mankato United ( 4- 9, 85.5) 9- 4 -14.39 10.67 0.74 1.04 11.92
0 A Rochester Unit ( 4-11, 87.5) 8- 9 -12.41 12.66 0.74 1.04 -12.19
0 H Farmington (14- 1, 97.9) 4-15 -2.04 23.03 -0.74 1.04 -2.91
0 H Lakeville Nort (14- 5, 97.3) 6-17 -2.63 22.44 -0.74 1.04 -3.52
0 H Northfield ( 8- 6, 89.9) 11- 4 -9.99 15.08 -0.74 1.04 14.98
0 A New Prague ( 9- 6, 93.8) 6-12 -6.06 19.00 0.74 1.04 -5.56
0 H Mankato United ( 4- 9, 85.5) 14- 5 -14.39 10.67 -0.74 1.04 10.38
0 A Lakeville Sout ( 8- 7, 93.3) 5-10 -6.64 18.42 0.74 1.04 -6.17
------
21.74
|
winning pts = 73.4890 losing points = -51.7536
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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