---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys St Johns/Ovid-Elsie 1
  
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   
W-L: ( 4-13) PR = 73.5938

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 A Coopersville ( 7-10, 82.3) 2-15 325 A Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 2- 7 408 H Pennfield ( 1-15, 72.1) 4- 3 410 H Haslett-Williamston (15- 4, 91.4) 2-16 411 A Bay City Central (10- 6, 79.7) 1-11 414 A Pennfield ( 1-15, 72.1) 8- 6 415 H Okemos ( 7-10, 88.0) 2-16 422 H DeWitt ( 8- 9, 83.9) 2-13 424 H Holt (16- 3, 89.0) 2-17 428 H Bay City Central (10- 6, 79.7) 3- 6 429 H East Lansing (10- 6, 86.4) 0-13 501 A Grand Ledge (17- 5, 93.1) 1-18 505 A Lansing Catholic ( 3- 9, 82.8) 1-18 509 A Kalamazoo United ( 3-11, 78.2) 1- 8 510 H East Kentwood ( 0-17, 69.9) 3- 1 513 A Ann Arbor Greenhills ( 2- 8, 68.9) 7- 2 516 A Forest Hills Eastern (12- 7, 91.1) 1-22

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Coopersville            2-15     -13    -9           0.00
   325 A Davison                 2- 7      -5    -4          -1.37
   408 H Pennfield               4- 3       1     2          -0.96
   410 H Haslett-Williamston     2-16     -14   -17           0.00
   411 A Bay City Central        1-11     -10    -7           0.00
   414 A Pennfield               8- 6       2     1           1.03
   415 H Okemos                  2-16     -14   -14           0.00
   422 H DeWitt                  2-13     -11   -10           0.00
   424 H Holt                    2-17     -15   -15           0.00
   428 H Bay City Central        3- 6      -3    -6    +      2.00
   429 H East Lansing            0-13     -13   -12           0.00
   501 A Grand Ledge             1-18     -17   -20           0.00
   505 A Lansing Catholic        1-18     -17   -10           0.00
   509 A Kalamazoo United        1- 8      -7    -5           0.00
   510 H East Kentwood           3- 1       2     4    -     -2.19
   513 A Ann Arbor Greenhills    7- 2       5     4           0.79
   516 A Forest Hills Eastern    1-22     -21   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H East Kentwood           3- 1       2     4    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Bay City Central        3- 6      -3    -6    +      2.00

St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Anchor Bay Anchor Bay   Anchor Bay
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ann Arbor Father Gab
Ann Arbor Greenhills St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron   Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline   Ann Arbor Skyline
Bay City Central Bay City Central Bay City Central  
Bay City John Glenn Bay City John Glenn insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Bay City John Glenn
Bay City Western Bay City Western insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bay City Western
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Belleville Belleville   Belleville
Birmingham United Birmingham United tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven St Johns/Ovid-Elsie insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Byron Center Byron Center tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Byron Center
Cadillac Cadillac   Cadillac
Caledonia Caledonia insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Caledonia
Canton Canton   Canton
Cass Tech St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Chelsea Chelsea   Chelsea
Chippewa Valley Chippewa Valley   Chippewa Valley
Clarkston Clarkston Clarkston   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Coopersville Coopersville Coopersville  
Cranbrook Cranbrook tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Cranbrook
Dakota Dakota   Dakota
Davison Davison Davison  
De La Salle De La Salle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   2- 0 vs 0- 2
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt  
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   5- 0 vs 0- 5
East Kentwood St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
East Lansing East Lansing East Lansing  
Farmington St Johns/Ovid-Elsie insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Fenton Fenton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fenton
Flint Powers Flint Powers Flint Powers   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern  
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Forest Hills Norther
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Goodrich/Lake Fenton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Goodrich/Lake Fenton
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Grand Haven Grand Haven tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grand Rapids Christi
Grandville Grandville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grandville
Grosse Ile Grosse Ile   Grosse Ile
Grosse Pointe North St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Harper Creek Harper Creek insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) Harper Creek
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hartland
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston  
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt Holt  
Howell Howell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hudsonville
Jackson Jackson tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Jackson
Jenison Jenison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Jenison
Kalamazoo United Kalamazoo United Kalamazoo United  
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   3- 0 vs 0- 3
L'Anse Creuse L'Anse Creuse tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) L'Anse Creuse
L'Anse Creuse North L'Anse Creuse North   L'Anse Creuse North
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Lakeview
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic  
Lapeer Lapeer insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lapeer
Lincoln Ypsilanti Lincoln Ypsilanti tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lincoln Ypsilanti
Linden Linden insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Linden
Livonia United Livonia United   Livonia United
Lowell Lowell insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lowell
Mattawan Mattawan Mattawan   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Midland Midland tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Midland
Midland Dow Midland Dow Midland Dow   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mona Shores Mona Shores insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mona Shores
Northview Northview insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Northview
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi   Novi
Okemos Okemos Okemos  
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Ortonville Brandon tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ortonville Brandon
Oxford Oxford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oxford
Pennfield St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Petoskey Petoskey   Petoskey
Pinckney Pinckney   Pinckney
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Port Huron United Port Huron United   Port Huron United
Portage Central Portage Central insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Portage Central
Portage Northern Portage Northern insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Reeths Puffer insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Reeths Puffer
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre   Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford Rockford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Romeo Romeo   Romeo
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS   Royal Oak HS
Royal Oak Shrine Royal Oak Shrine tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Royal Oak Shrine
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Salem Salem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Salem
Saline Saline   Saline
Sault Area Sault Area tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sault Area
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Lyon Unified
Spring Lake Spring Lake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Spring Lake
St Clair St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
St Mary Catholic Cen St Mary Catholic Cen tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Mary Catholic Cen
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Swartz Creek
Tecumseh Tecumseh   Tecumseh
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Traverse City West
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens   Troy Athens
University Detroit J University Detroit J   University Detroit J
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg Vicksburg   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern   Walled Lake Northern
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Waterford United   Waterford United
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) West Bloomfield
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland Zeeland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Zeeland

PowerWise = 10


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Coopersville    ( 7-10, 82.3)     2-15      -17.59      14.72       0.50         0.94           -16.15
   0 A Davison         ( 4-12, 76.7)     2- 7      -23.17       9.14       0.50         0.94           -21.42
   0 H Pennfield       ( 1-15, 72.1)     4- 3      -27.77       4.54      -0.50         0.94             3.82
   0 H Haslett-Willia  (15- 4, 91.4)     2-16       -8.50      23.82      -0.50         0.94            -8.50
   0 A Bay City Centr  (10- 6, 79.7)     1-11      -20.19      12.12       0.50         0.94           -18.60
   0 A Pennfield       ( 1-15, 72.1)     8- 6      -27.77       4.54       0.50         0.94             4.76
   0 H Okemos          ( 7-10, 88.0)     2-16      -11.89      20.42      -0.50         0.94           -11.70
   0 H DeWitt          ( 8- 9, 83.9)     2-13      -16.03      16.28      -0.50         0.94           -15.62
   0 H Holt            (16- 3, 89.0)     2-17      -10.92      21.39      -0.50         0.94           -10.78
   0 H Bay City Centr  (10- 6, 79.7)     3- 6      -20.19      12.12      -0.50         0.94           -19.54
   0 H East Lansing    (10- 6, 86.4)     0-13      -13.47      18.84      -0.50         0.94           -13.19
   0 A Grand Ledge     (17- 5, 93.1)     1-18       -6.84      25.47       0.50         0.94            -6.00
   0 A Lansing Cathol  ( 3- 9, 82.8)     1-18      -17.08      15.23       0.50         0.94           -15.66
   0 A Kalamazoo Unit  ( 3-11, 78.2)     1- 8      -21.69      10.62       0.50         0.94           -20.02
   0 H East Kentwood   ( 0-17, 69.9)     3- 1      -30.00       2.32      -0.50         0.94             1.72
   0 A Ann Arbor Gree  ( 2- 8, 68.9)     7- 2      -31.01       1.30       0.50         0.94             1.70
   0 A Forest Hills E  (12- 7, 91.1)     1-22       -8.83      23.48       0.50         0.94            -7.87
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -173.04

winning pts = 12.0010 losing points = -185.0459

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------