List of boy Div 44 First Flight List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A John Paul II Catholic  18- 1      17    12           0.00
   311 H JH Rose                10- 7       3     5    -     -2.75
   313 A Northside              13- 1      12    11           0.00
   315 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad 10-11      -1    -2          n/a  
   318 H New Bern               16- 6      10     7           0.00
   320 A Havelock               12- 5       7    11           0.00
   322 A Catholic HS             5-10      -5    -6          n/a  
   326 H Kellam                 17- 7      10     0          n/a  
   328 A Lafayette LC           15- 3      12     7          n/a  
   408 H Jacksonville           11- 4       7    12           0.00
   410 A JH Rose                15- 5      10     4    +      2.11
   412 A Croatan                 9-10      -1    -1           0.61
   415 H Northside               9- 6       3    11    --    -4.00
   417 A New Bern               14- 3      11     6           0.51
   422 H Havelock               15- 1      14    12           0.00
   424 A Jacksonville           14- 1      13    11           0.00
   427 N Cape Fear Academy       7-10      -3    -2          -0.93
   504 H West Carteret          15- 0      15    13           0.00
   507 H JH Rose                13- 4       9     5           1.25
   511 A Croatan                 7-15      -8    -1    --    -5.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Northside               9- 6       3    11    --    -4.00
   511 A Croatan                 7-15      -8    -1    --    -5.39
   311 H JH Rose                10- 7       3     5    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Kellam                 17- 7      10     0    +++        
   410 A JH Rose                15- 5      10     4    +      2.11



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 73.90 Power Rank.................    41
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 38.37 SOS (PR) Rank..............    74
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .3972 SOS (RPI) Rank.............   136
 RPI Rating............... .5674 RPI Rank...................    34
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    57
 Selection sum ...........   196 Selection Rank ............    59
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -10. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    31
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....    0. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    26
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  12.2 Ave Defensive Goals .......    5.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3