List of boy Div 44 First Flight List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A East Chapel Hill       10- 3       7     3    +      3.93
   308 H Croatan                 6-11      -5    -3          -1.81
   312 H JH Rose                12- 9       3     6    -     -3.43
   314 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad  7- 5       2     1          n/a  
   319 A St Christophers         6-18     -12   -11          n/a  
   322 A Cox                    14- 3      11     9          n/a  
   327 A Swansboro              17- 1      16    16           0.00
   401 A Northside              11- 1      10     8           0.00
   402 H New Bern               10-11      -1     7    ---   -8.00
   409 H Jacksonville           19- 6      13    15           0.00
   414 A JH Rose                12- 5       7     5           1.33
   417 A Benedictine            13- 8       5     0          n/a  
   428 H Northside              11- 5       6     9          -1.00
   430 A New Bern               10- 6       4     6    -     -2.82
   502 A Havelock               16- 2      14    14           0.00
   507 A Jacksonville           17- 3      14    14           0.00
   517 H Terry Sanford          20- 4      16    15           0.00
   520 H JH Rose                16- 3      13     6           0.57
   523 H Hillsborough Orange    12- 5       7     3    +      3.11
   528 A Croatan                 7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H New Bern               10-11      -1     7    ---   -8.00
   312 H JH Rose                12- 9       3     6    -     -3.43
   430 A New Bern               10- 6       4     6    -     -2.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Benedictine            13- 8       5     0    ++         
   228 A East Chapel Hill       10- 3       7     3    +      3.93
   523 H Hillsborough Orange    12- 5       7     3    +      3.11
   528 A Croatan                 7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.95



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 79.77 Power Rank.................    33
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 46.22 SOS (PR) Rank..............    58
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5676 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    79
 RPI Rating............... .6561 RPI Rank...................     7
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    56
 Selection sum ...........   101 Selection Rank ............    25
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....   15. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    22
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   40. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    15
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  12.3 Ave Defensive Goals .......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3