---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Osbourn 1
  
Osbourn               
W-L: ( 1-15) PR = 66.3101

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 4-11 319 A Lewis ( 2-10, 69.7) 4-14 324 H Osbourn Park ( 6- 8, 71.9) 2-14 328 A Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 78.2) 0-15 402 A Potomac-Dumfries ( 3- 9, 71.7) 5-10 403 A Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 72.1) 2-18 407 A Park View ( 0-14, 64.9) 2- 1 410 A Patriot ( 8- 8, 86.2) 0-16 422 H Gainesville (15- 5, 88.5) 0-19 424 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 1-17 428 A Osbourn Park ( 6- 8, 71.9) 4-19 430 H Liberty Bealeton ( 6- 6, 81.3) 5-19 505 H Freedom South Ridin (12- 7, 88.3) 0-15 506 A Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 2- 9 508 H Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 72.1) 5-12 509 A Northern VA Home Sch ( 1- 9, 72.6) 5-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Annandale               4-11      -7    -8           0.00
   319 A Lewis                   4-14     -10    -4          -1.01
   324 H Osbourn Park            2-14     -12    -5          -0.05
   328 A Thomas Jefferson        0-15     -15   -12           0.00
   402 A Potomac-Dumfries        5-10      -5    -6           0.00
   403 A Unity Reed              2-18     -16    -6           0.00
   407 A Park View               2- 1       1     1           0.19
   410 A Patriot                 0-16     -16   -21           0.00
   422 H Gainesville             0-19     -19   -22           0.00
   424 A Battlefield             1-17     -16   -27           0.00
   428 A Osbourn Park            4-19     -15    -6           0.00
   430 H Liberty  Bealeton       5-19     -14   -14           0.00
   505 H Freedom  South Ridin    0-15     -15   -21           0.00
   506 A Gar-field               2- 9      -7    -5          -0.27
   508 H Unity Reed              5-12      -7    -5           0.00
   509 A Northern VA Home Sch    5-15     -10    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Osbourn Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Annandale Annandale  
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield Battlefield  
Bayside Bayside   Bayside
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville Brentsville   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Briar Woods Briar Woods Briar Woods   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Broad Run Broad Run tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Broad Run
Brooke Point Brooke Point tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brooke Point
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Charlottesville   Charlottesville
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Clover Hill   Clover Hill
Colgan Colgan Colgan   2- 4 vs 0- 6
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby Cosby   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Culpeper County insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Culpeper County
Deep Run Deep Run tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Deep Run
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Eastern View tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Eastern View
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Edison Edison   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fairfax
Falls Church Falls Church Falls Church   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Fauquier Fauquier Fauquier   2- 1 vs 0- 3
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County   Fluvanna County
Forest Park Forest Park Forest Park   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Franklin County   Franklin County
Fredericksburg Acade Fredericksburg Acade   Fredericksburg Acade
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin  
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville Gainesville  
Gar-field Gar-field Gar-field  
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Grafton LC   Grafton LC
Grassfield LC Grassfield LC   Grassfield LC
Green Run Green Run   Green Run
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Hayfield Hayfield   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Hidden Valley   Hidden Valley
Highland School Highland School   Highland School
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Hylton Hylton   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Independence Independence Independence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
James Monroe James Monroe James Monroe   2- 0 vs 0- 2
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe John Champe insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) John Champe
Justice Justice Justice   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run Kettle Run tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kettle Run
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Braddock
Landstown Landstown   Landstown
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Lewis Lewis  
Liberty Bealeton Liberty Bealeton Liberty Bealeton  
Lightridge Lightridge tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Loudoun Valley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Loudoun Valley
Madison Madison insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Madison
Manchester Manchester   Manchester
Marshall Marshall Marshall   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Massaponax Massaponax   Massaponax
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Menchville LC   Menchville LC
Meridian Meridian insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   Mills Godwin
Monacan Monacan   Monacan
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Mount Vernon Mount Vernon Mount Vernon   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Mountain View Mountain View tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Norfolk Collegiate   Norfolk Collegiate
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford North Stafford   North Stafford
Northern VA Home Sch Northern VA Home Sch Northern VA Home Sch  
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Ocean Lakes   Ocean Lakes
Orange County Orange County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orange County
Osbourn Park Osbourn Park Osbourn Park  
Park View Osbourn Osbourn  
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot Patriot  
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Potomac Falls tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Potomac Falls
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Potomac-Dumfries Potomac-Dumfries  
Powhatan Powhatan   Powhatan
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend   Riverbend
Riverside Riverside Riverside   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Rock Ridge   Rock Ridge
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Salem Virginia Beach   Salem Virginia Beach
Seton School Seton School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seton School
South County South County South County   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South Lakes South Lakes insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre St John Paul the Gre St John Paul the Gre   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School Steward School   Steward School
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Tallwood   Tallwood
Tandem Friends Tandem Friends   Tandem Friends
Thomas Dale Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson  
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Trinity Episcopal   Trinity Episcopal
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Tuscarora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Tuscarora
Unity Reed Unity Reed Unity Reed  
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Virginia Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Virginia Academy
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Wakefield HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wakefield HS
Wakefield School Wakefield School   Wakefield School
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Woodbridge Woodbridge   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Woodgrove Woodgrove tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Woodson
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 1


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Annandale       ( 3- 9, 74.2)     4-11      -25.71       9.29       0.61         0.87           -21.87
   0 A Lewis           ( 2-10, 69.7)     4-14      -30.21       4.79       0.61         0.87           -25.80
   0 H Osbourn Park    ( 6- 8, 71.9)     2-14      -28.03       6.97      -0.61         0.87           -24.96
   0 A Thomas Jeffers  ( 6- 8, 78.2)     0-15      -21.72      13.28       0.61         0.87           -18.40
   0 A Potomac-Dumfri  ( 3- 9, 71.7)     5-10      -28.18       6.82       0.61         0.87           -24.03
   0 A Unity Reed      ( 5- 9, 72.1)     2-18      -27.81       7.20       0.61         0.87           -23.70
   0 A Park View       ( 0-14, 64.9)     2- 1      -35.00       1.00       0.61         0.87             1.40
   0 A Patriot         ( 8- 8, 86.2)     0-16      -13.66      21.34       0.61         0.87           -11.37
   0 H Gainesville     (15- 5, 88.5)     0-19      -11.37      23.63      -0.61         0.87           -10.44
   0 A Battlefield     (18- 4, 92.3)     1-17       -7.63      27.37       0.61         0.87            -6.12
   0 A Osbourn Park    ( 6- 8, 71.9)     4-19      -28.03       6.97       0.61         0.87           -23.89
   0 H Liberty  Beale  ( 6- 6, 81.3)     5-19      -18.58      16.42      -0.61         0.87           -16.72
   0 H Freedom  South  (12- 7, 88.3)     0-15      -11.59      23.41      -0.61         0.87           -10.63
   0 A Gar-field       ( 1-14, 70.4)     2- 9      -29.47       5.54       0.61         0.87           -25.15
   0 H Unity Reed      ( 5- 9, 72.1)     5-12      -27.81       7.20      -0.61         0.87           -24.76
   0 A Northern VA Ho  ( 1- 9, 72.6)     5-15      -27.31       7.69       0.61         0.87           -23.27
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -289.72

winning pts = 1.4023 losing points = -291.1206

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------