Old Saybrook
W-L: (15- 5) PR = 83.3556Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 13- 7 410 H Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 20- 8 412 A Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 13- 7 415 A Ledyard-Griswold ( 8- 8, 75.4) 15- 5 422 H Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 23- 3 424 A Valley Regional (10- 9, 79.3) 13-12 426 H Fitch Groton ( 3-10, 74.6) 18- 7 429 A Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 4-14 503 A St Bernard-Wheeler ( 9- 7, 81.7) 15-16 507 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 19- 2 508 A Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 25- 1 509 A Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 18- 5 513 A North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 11- 8 515 H Valley Regional (10- 9, 79.3) 15-16 517 H Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 16- 5 520 H Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 14- 5 527 H North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 11- 6 529 N Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 5-11 604 H Canton (12- 5, 81.6) 9- 7 607 A Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 8-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 H North Branford 13- 7 6 2 + 2.63
410 H Haddam-Killingworth 20- 8 12 -2 +++ 7.33
412 A Old Lyme 13- 7 6 8 0.00
415 A Ledyard-Griswold 15- 5 10 7 0.00
422 H Cromwell 23- 3 20 20 0.00
424 A Valley Regional 13-12 1 4 - -2.53
426 H Fitch Groton 18- 7 11 9 0.00
429 A Haddam-Killingworth 4-14 -10 -3 -1.72
503 A St Bernard-Wheeler 15-16 -1 1 - -2.22
507 H Old Lyme 19- 2 17 9 0.00
508 A Cromwell 25- 1 24 19 0.00
509 A Morgan School 18- 5 13 5 0.25
513 A North Branford 11- 8 3 1 1.58
515 H Valley Regional 15-16 -1 4 -- -5.48
517 H Branford 16- 5 11 5 0.00
520 H Morgan School 14- 5 9 6 0.00
527 H North Branford 11- 6 5 2 + 2.63
529 N Haddam-Killingworth 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.19
604 H Canton 9- 7 2 2 -0.18
607 A Somers 8-12 -4 -4 -0.09
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 H Valley Regional 15-16 -1 4 -- -5.48 424 A Valley Regional 13-12 1 4 - -2.53 503 A St Bernard-Wheeler 15-16 -1 1 - -2.22 529 N Haddam-Killingworth 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Haddam-Killingworth 20- 8 12 -2 +++ 7.33 408 H North Branford 13- 7 6 2 + 2.63 527 H North Branford 11- 6 5 2 + 2.63 |
Old Saybrook Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Old Saybrook | |
| Bacon Academy | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Old Saybrook | |
| Berlin | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Brien McMahon | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Bunnell-Stratford | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Canton | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Capital-Classical Pr | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Conard | |
| Cromwell | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Danbury | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Enfield | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| EO Smith | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Farmington | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Fitch Groton | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Foran | Foran | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Old Saybrook | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | ||
| Hall | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Saybrook | |
| Hamden | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Saybrook | |
| Holy Cross | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Old Saybrook | |
| Immaculate Danbury | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Lakeview United | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Ledyard-Griswold | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Lewis Mills | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Lyman Hall | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Maloney-Platt | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Masuk | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Middletown | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Montville | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 4- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Morgan School | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New Milford | New Milford | New Milford | ||
| Newington | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| North Haven | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Norwalk | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Norwich Free Academy | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Old Saybrook | |
| Norwich Tech | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | ||
| Old Lyme | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Saybrook | |
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| RHAM | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Old Saybrook | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville Co-op | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Old Saybrook | |
| Rocky Hill | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers | ||
| South Windsor | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Saybrook | |
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | ||
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Stamford | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 7- 2 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Suffield | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Old Saybrook | |
| Tolland | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Saybrook | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 5- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Saybrook | |
| Waterford | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Watertown | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| West Haven | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Westhill | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Weston | Weston | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Wilbur Cross | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Wolcott | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Old Saybrook | |
| Xavier | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook |
PowerWise = 66
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 13- 7 -18.44 21.81 -0.47 0.85 18.15
0 H Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 20- 8 -13.74 26.52 -0.47 0.85 22.15
0 A Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 13- 7 -25.18 15.07 0.47 0.85 13.22
0 A Ledyard-Griswo ( 8- 8, 75.4) 15- 5 -24.51 15.75 0.47 0.85 13.80
0 H Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 23- 3 -36.37 3.88 -0.47 0.85 2.90
0 A Valley Regiona (10- 9, 79.3) 13-12 -20.55 19.70 0.47 0.85 17.16
0 H Fitch Groton ( 3-10, 74.6) 18- 7 -25.34 14.91 -0.47 0.85 12.28
0 A Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 4-14 -13.74 26.52 0.47 0.85 -11.28
0 A St Bernard-Whe ( 9- 7, 81.7) 15-16 -18.24 22.02 0.47 0.85 -15.11
0 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 19- 2 -25.18 15.07 -0.47 0.85 12.42
0 A Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 25- 1 -36.37 3.88 0.47 0.85 3.71
0 A Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 18- 5 -21.77 18.48 0.47 0.85 16.12
0 A North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 11- 8 -18.44 21.81 0.47 0.85 18.95
0 H Valley Regiona (10- 9, 79.3) 15-16 -20.55 19.70 -0.47 0.85 -17.88
0 H Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 16- 5 -21.22 19.04 -0.47 0.85 15.79
0 H Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 14- 5 -21.77 18.48 -0.47 0.85 15.32
0 H North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 11- 6 -18.44 21.81 -0.47 0.85 18.15
0 N Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 5-11 -13.74 26.52 -0.00 0.85 -11.68
0 H Canton (12- 5, 81.6) 9- 7 -18.25 22.00 -0.47 0.85 18.31
0 A Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 8-12 -13.11 27.14 0.47 0.85 -10.75
------
151.71
|
winning pts = 218.4176 losing points = -66.7054
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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