Oro Valley
W-L: ( 1-11) PR = 87.3933
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
212 A Brophy Prep (13- 0, 99.9) 2-21
214 A Chandler (12- 2, 95.7) 5-16
218 A Corona del Sol ( 8- 6, 91.2) 5-12
226 H Pinnacle ( 9- 6, 92.0) 12-13
301 H Higley ( 2- 9, 88.4) 13-14
326 H Salpointe Catholic ( 4-12, 83.1) 16- 3
328 A Arcadia ( 6- 7, 91.2) 5-17
404 H Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 10-12
408 A Notre Dame Prep ( 7- 4, 93.7) 5-17
410 H Desert Vista ( 9- 3, 95.5) 9-18
417 H Boulder Creek ( 4- 8, 89.4) 13-14
422 A Arcadia ( 6- 7, 91.2) 4-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
212 A Brophy Prep 2-21 -19 -13 0.00
214 A Chandler 5-16 -11 -8 0.00
218 A Corona del Sol 5-12 -7 -4 -1.08
226 H Pinnacle 12-13 -1 -5 + 3.51
301 H Higley 13-14 -1 -1 -0.11
326 H Salpointe Catholic 16- 3 13 4 0.54
328 A Arcadia 5-17 -12 -4 -1.07
404 H Scottsdale 10-12 -2 0 -1.60
408 A Notre Dame Prep 5-17 -12 -6 0.00
410 H Desert Vista 9-18 -9 -8 0.00
417 H Boulder Creek 13-14 -1 -2 0.91
422 A Arcadia 4-15 -11 -4 -1.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
226 H Pinnacle 12-13 -1 -5 + 3.51
|
Oro Valley Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Arcadia |
Arcadia |
Arcadia |
 
| |
Boulder Creek |
Boulder Creek |
Boulder Creek |
 
| |
Brophy Prep |
Brophy Prep |
Brophy Prep |
 
| |
Brophy Prep II |
Oro Valley |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Oro Valley |
Cactus |
Oro Valley |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Oro Valley |
Cactus Shadows |
Oro Valley |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Oro Valley |
Catalina Foothills |
Oro Valley |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Oro Valley |
Chandler |
Chandler |
Chandler |
 
| |
Corona del Sol |
Corona del Sol |
Corona del Sol |
 
| |
Desert Vista |
Desert Vista |
Desert Vista |
 
| |
Desert Vista II |
Oro Valley |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Oro Valley |
Higley |
Higley |
Higley |
 
| |
Notre Dame Prep |
Notre Dame Prep |
Notre Dame Prep |
 
| |
Notre Dame Prep II |
Oro Valley |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Oro Valley |
Pinnacle |
Pinnacle |
Pinnacle |
 
| |
Salpointe Catholic |
Oro Valley |
Oro Valley |
 
| |
Scottsdale |
Scottsdale |
Scottsdale |
 
| |
West Valley |
Oro Valley |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Oro Valley |
PowerWise = 8

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Brophy Prep (13- 0, 99.9) 2-21 -0.00 18.13 0.12 1.14 -0.14
0 A Chandler (12- 2, 95.7) 5-16 -4.23 13.90 0.12 1.14 -4.68
0 A Corona del Sol ( 8- 6, 91.2) 5-12 -8.71 9.43 0.12 1.14 -9.79
0 H Pinnacle ( 9- 6, 92.0) 12-13 -7.87 10.26 -0.12 1.14 -9.12
0 H Higley ( 2- 9, 88.4) 13-14 -11.50 6.64 -0.12 1.14 -13.25
0 H Salpointe Cath ( 4-12, 83.1) 16- 3 -16.84 1.29 -0.12 1.14 1.33
0 A Arcadia ( 6- 7, 91.2) 5-17 -8.70 9.43 0.12 1.14 -9.78
0 H Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 10-12 -11.99 6.15 -0.12 1.14 -13.81
0 A Notre Dame Pre ( 7- 4, 93.7) 5-17 -6.21 11.92 0.12 1.14 -6.94
0 H Desert Vista ( 9- 3, 95.5) 9-18 -4.40 13.73 -0.12 1.14 -5.16
0 H Boulder Creek ( 4- 8, 89.4) 13-14 -10.47 7.66 -0.12 1.14 -12.08
0 A Arcadia ( 6- 7, 91.2) 4-15 -8.70 9.43 0.12 1.14 -9.78
------
-93.20
|
winning pts = 1.3337 losing points = -94.5306
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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