---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:08 PDT

safe3step boys Oregon City 1
  
Oregon City           
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 86.7362

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A West Linn (11- 4, 95.1) 6-12 320 H Sunset (12- 4, 93.8) 12-11 331 A Canby ( 7-10, 87.7) 8-10 402 A Wilsonville ( 7-10, 87.7) 6-12 403 A Jesuit Portland (15- 2, 99.0) 2-23 411 H Summit ( 9- 6, 92.3) 7-16 422 A Liberty ( 9- 7, 87.1) 8-10 428 H Lake Oswego/Riverdal ( 3-14, 85.8) 6-14 430 H Lakeridge (18- 0, 99.9) 2-21 501 H Mountainside ( 8- 7, 88.1) 6- 8 505 H Canby ( 7-10, 87.7) 15-13 508 A Beaverton ( 9- 9, 85.3) 16- 8 516 A Clackamas/Nelson (12- 3, 92.2) 1-15 523 A Central Catholic (10- 7, 89.7) 9-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A West Linn               6-12      -6    -9           0.00
   320 H Sunset                 12-11       1    -7    +++    6.00
   331 A Canby                   8-10      -2    -2          -0.40
   402 A Wilsonville             6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.44
   403 A Jesuit Portland         2-23     -21   -13           0.00
   411 H Summit                  7-16      -9    -5          -0.02
   422 A Liberty                 8-10      -2    -1          -1.00
   428 H Lake Oswego/Riverdal    6-14      -8     2    ---   -6.53
   430 H Lakeridge               2-21     -19   -13           0.00
   501 H Mountainside            6- 8      -2    -1          -1.27
   505 H Canby                  15-13       2     0    +      2.42
   508 A Beaverton              16- 8       8     1    ++     4.19
   516 A Clackamas/Nelson        1-15     -14    -6           0.00
   523 A Central Catholic        9-15      -6    -4          -1.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Lake Oswego/Riverdal    6-14      -8     2    ---   -6.53
   402 A Wilsonville             6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Sunset                 12-11       1    -7    +++    6.00
   508 A Beaverton              16- 8       8     1    ++     4.19
   505 H Canby                  15-13       2     0    +      2.42

Oregon City Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Aloha/Southridge Oregon City Oregon City   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Beaverton Oregon City Oregon City  
Bend/Caldera Bend/Caldera tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Bend/Caldera
Burns Oregon City tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Oregon City
Canby Canby insuffient: ( 1- 7)( 2- 6) Canby
Central Catholic Central Catholic Central Catholic  
Century Oregon City tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) Oregon City
Clackamas/Nelson Clackamas/Nelson Clackamas/Nelson  
Corvallis Oregon City Oregon City   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Forest Grove Forest Grove insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Forest Grove
Glencoe Glencoe insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 3) Glencoe
Grant/Central Eastsi Grant/Central Eastsi insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Grant/Central Eastsi
Hillsboro Oregon City insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Oregon City
Hood River Hood River tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hood River
Ida B Wells Oregon City tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Oregon City
Jesuit Portland Jesuit Portland Jesuit Portland  
Lake Oswego/Riverdal Lake Oswego/Riverdal Lake Oswego/Riverdal  
Lakeridge Lakeridge Lakeridge  
Liberty Liberty Liberty  
Lincoln Lincoln Lincoln   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Marist Oregon City   Oregon City
Mountain View Oregon City tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Oregon City
Mountainside Mountainside Mountainside  
Newberg Newberg insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Newberg
Oregon Episcopal Oregon Episcopal Oregon Episcopal   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Ridgeview Oregon City tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oregon City
Roseburg Oregon City tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oregon City
Sheldon Oregon City insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Oregon City
Sherwood Sherwood Sherwood   4- 4 vs 1- 7
South Eugene South Eugene insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) South Eugene
Sprague/South Salem Oregon City insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Oregon City
Summit Summit Summit  
Sunset Oregon City Oregon City  
Thurston Oregon City insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Oregon City
Tigard Oregon City tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Oregon City
Tualatin Tualatin Tualatin   3- 2 vs 0- 5
West Albany Oregon City   Oregon City
West Linn West Linn West Linn  
West Salem/McNary West Salem/McNary West Salem/McNary   4- 3 vs 1- 7
Westview Westview tied - ( 2- 6) ( 2- 6) Westview
Wilsonville Wilsonville Wilsonville  

PowerWise = 17


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A West Linn       (11- 4, 95.1)     6-12       -4.82      20.29       0.59         1.15            -4.85
   0 H Sunset          (12- 4, 93.8)    12-11       -6.06      19.05      -0.59         1.15            21.16
   0 A Canby           ( 7-10, 87.7)     8-10      -12.16      12.95       0.59         1.15           -13.26
   0 A Wilsonville     ( 7-10, 87.7)     6-12      -12.19      12.92       0.59         1.15           -13.30
   0 A Jesuit Portlan  (15- 2, 99.0)     2-23       -0.89      24.22       0.59         1.15            -0.34
   0 H Summit          ( 9- 6, 92.3)     7-16       -7.59      17.51      -0.59         1.15            -9.38
   0 A Liberty         ( 9- 7, 87.1)     8-10      -12.75      12.36       0.59         1.15           -13.94
   0 H Lake Oswego/Ri  ( 3-14, 85.8)     6-14      -14.11      11.00      -0.59         1.15           -16.84
   0 H Lakeridge       (18- 0, 99.9)     2-21       -0.00      25.11      -0.59         1.15            -0.67
   0 H Mountainside    ( 8- 7, 88.1)     6- 8      -11.84      13.27      -0.59         1.15           -14.25
   0 H Canby           ( 7-10, 87.7)    15-13      -12.16      12.95      -0.59         1.15            14.17
   0 A Beaverton       ( 9- 9, 85.3)    16- 8      -14.56      10.55       0.59         1.15            12.77
   0 A Clackamas/Nels  (12- 3, 92.2)     1-15       -7.66      17.45       0.59         1.15            -8.10
   0 A Central Cathol  (10- 7, 89.7)     9-15      -10.21      14.90       0.59         1.15           -11.03
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -57.88

winning pts = 48.0968 losing points = -105.9739

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------