Orchard Lake St Mary
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 83.5634Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Brighton (15- 5, 92.4) 3-14 328 H Mona Shores (17- 4, 91.2) 1-10 401 A Brother Rice (13- 2, 99.0) 1-19 404 A Northville ( 7-12, 84.0) 6- 5 410 A Canton ( 3-12, 81.0) 5- 3 412 H Petoskey (11- 4, 85.7) 8- 7 415 H Detroit Catholic Cen (15- 1, 99.9) 1-23 429 A University Detroit J ( 2-12, 82.3) 6- 5 502 A White Lake Lakeland ( 7- 8, 82.6) 8- 7 503 H De La Salle (10- 7, 85.5) 3- 6 506 A Cranbrook (11- 8, 89.6) 6-15 508 H DeWitt ( 8- 9, 83.9) 7-11 513 H Rochester Adams ( 9- 8, 86.5) 8-13 516 H Royal Oak Shrine ( 6- 8, 78.9) 10- 4 521 N Cranbrook (11- 8, 89.6) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Brighton 3-14 -11 -9 0.00
328 H Mona Shores 1-10 -9 -7 0.00
401 A Brother Rice 1-19 -18 -16 0.00
404 A Northville 6- 5 1 -1 1.96
410 A Canton 5- 3 2 2 -0.04
412 H Petoskey 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.61
415 H Detroit Catholic Cen 1-23 -22 -16 0.00
429 A University Detroit J 6- 5 1 1 0.22
502 A White Lake Lakeland 8- 7 1 0 0.54
503 H De La Salle 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.57
506 A Cranbrook 6-15 -9 -7 0.00
508 H DeWitt 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.19
513 H Rochester Adams 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.54
516 H Royal Oak Shrine 10- 4 6 5 0.00
521 N Cranbrook 4- 7 -3 -6 + 2.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H DeWitt 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.19 513 H Rochester Adams 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.54 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H Petoskey 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.61 521 N Cranbrook 4- 7 -3 -6 + 2.00 |
Orchard Lake St Mary Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Park | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Anchor Bay | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Ann Arbor Father Gab | |
| Ann Arbor Greenhills | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Bay City Central | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Bay City John Glenn | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Bay City Western | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Bedford | Bedford | Bedford | ||
| Belleville | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Birmingham United | Birmingham United | Birmingham United 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Birmingham United B | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Bishop Foley | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Bloomfield Hills | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton | ||
| Brighton B | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Brother Rice | Brother Rice | Brother Rice | ||
| Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | ||
| Brownstown Woodhaven | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Byron Center | Byron Center | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Byron Center | |
| Cadillac | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Caledonia | Caledonia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Caledonia | |
| Canton | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Cass Tech | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Chelsea | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Clarkston | Clarkston | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Clarkston | |
| Coopersville | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Cranbrook | Cranbrook | Cranbrook | ||
| Dakota | Dakota | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dakota | |
| Davison | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| De La Salle | De La Salle | De La Salle | ||
| Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| DeWitt | DeWitt | DeWitt | ||
| Dexter | Dexter | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Dexter | |
| Divine Child | Divine Child | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Divine Child | |
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | East Grand Rapids | |
| East Kentwood | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| East Lansing | East Lansing | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Lansing | |
| Farmington | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fenton | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Flint Powers | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Forest Hills Central | |
| Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Hills Eastern | |
| Forest Hills Norther | Forest Hills Norther | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Hills Norther | |
| Goodrich/Lake Fenton | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | Grand Haven | ||
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Grand Ledge | |
| Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Grand Rapids Catholi | |
| Grand Rapids Christi | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Grandville | Grandville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grandville | |
| Grosse Ile | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Grosse Pointe South | |
| Harper Creek | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Hartland | Hartland | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Hartland | |
| Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Henry Ford II | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Holland Christian | Holland Christian | Holland Christian | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holland West Ottawa | |
| Holt | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Holt | |
| Howell | Howell | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Howell | |
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Hudsonville | |
| Jackson | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Jenison | Jenison | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Jenison | |
| Kalamazoo United | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Kenowa Hills | |
| L'Anse Creuse | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| L'Anse Creuse North | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Lake Shore | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Lakeview | Lakeview | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lakeview | |
| Lansing Catholic | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Lapeer | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Lincoln Ypsilanti | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Linden | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Livonia United | Livonia United | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Livonia United | |
| Lowell | Lowell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lowell | |
| Mattawan | Mattawan | Mattawan | ||
| Midland | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Midland Dow | Midland Dow | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Midland Dow | |
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | Mona Shores | ||
| Northview | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Northville | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Notre Dame Prep | |
| Novi | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Okemos | Okemos | Okemos 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ortonville Brandon | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Oxford | Oxford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oxford | |
| Pennfield | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Petoskey | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Pinckney | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Plymouth | Plymouth | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Plymouth | |
| Port Huron United | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Portage Central | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Portage Northern | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Reeths Puffer | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Riverview Gabriel Ri | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | ||
| Rochester HS | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Rochester Stoney Cre | Rochester Stoney Cre | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Rochester Stoney Cre | |
| Rockford | Rockford | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Rockford | |
| Romeo | Romeo | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) | Romeo | |
| Royal Oak HS | Royal Oak HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Royal Oak HS | |
| Royal Oak Shrine | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Saginaw Heritage | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Salem | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Saline | Saline | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Saline | |
| Sault Area | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | South Lyon Unified | |
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Spring Lake | |
| St Clair | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| St Mary Catholic Cen | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Swartz Creek | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Tecumseh | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Traverse City West | Traverse City West | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Traverse City West | |
| Troy | Troy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| Troy Athens | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| University Detroit J | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| University Liggett | University Liggett | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | University Liggett | |
| Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Utica Eisenhower | |
| Vicksburg | Vicksburg | Vicksburg | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Walled Lake Northern | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Walled Lake Northern | |
| Walled Lake Western | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Waterford United | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| West Bloomfield | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| White Lake Lakeland | Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | ||
| Zeeland | Zeeland | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Zeeland |
PowerWise = 68
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Brighton (15- 5, 92.4) 3-14 -7.53 24.78 0.50 1.07 -7.53
0 H Mona Shores (17- 4, 91.2) 1-10 -8.74 23.57 -0.50 1.07 -9.89
0 A Brother Rice (13- 2, 99.0) 1-19 -0.87 31.45 0.50 1.07 -0.39
0 A Northville ( 7-12, 84.0) 6- 5 -15.87 16.44 0.50 1.07 18.13
0 A Canton ( 3-12, 81.0) 5- 3 -18.88 13.44 0.50 1.07 14.92
0 H Petoskey (11- 4, 85.7) 8- 7 -14.23 18.08 -0.50 1.07 18.83
0 H Detroit Cathol (15- 1, 99.9) 1-23 -0.00 32.31 -0.50 1.07 -0.53
0 A University Det ( 2-12, 82.3) 6- 5 -17.61 14.70 0.50 1.07 16.27
0 A White Lake Lak ( 7- 8, 82.6) 8- 7 -17.29 15.02 0.50 1.07 16.61
0 H De La Salle (10- 7, 85.5) 3- 6 -14.41 17.91 -0.50 1.07 -15.96
0 A Cranbrook (11- 8, 89.6) 6-15 -10.32 21.99 0.50 1.07 -10.52
0 H DeWitt ( 8- 9, 83.9) 7-11 -16.03 16.28 -0.50 1.07 -17.70
0 H Rochester Adam ( 9- 8, 86.5) 8-13 -13.38 18.94 -0.50 1.07 -14.85
0 H Royal Oak Shri ( 6- 8, 78.9) 10- 4 -20.96 11.35 -0.50 1.07 11.62
0 N Cranbrook (11- 8, 89.6) 4- 7 -10.32 21.99 -0.00 1.07 -11.05
------
7.95
|
winning pts = 96.3804 losing points = -88.4322
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------