Old Mill
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 80.5138Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Glen Burnie ( 5- 7, 80.9) 4- 9 325 A Reservoir ( 7- 6, 83.3) 4- 9 328 A Severn Run ( 4-11, 76.9) 11- 5 401 H Atholton ( 3-12, 77.1) 7- 3 404 A Crofton (10- 4, 89.8) 0-14 407 A Southern AA ( 3-11, 80.1) 4- 5 408 A Chesapeake AA (13- 4, 87.9) 1-13 411 H Annapolis ( 9- 4, 86.4) 8-15 423 H Meade ( 1-10, 73.7) 16- 4 425 A Glen Burnie ( 5- 7, 80.9) 12- 5 502 H Broadneck (12- 3, 93.1) 3-18 507 A Mount Hebron ( 6- 8, 85.9) 2-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Glen Burnie 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.03
325 A Reservoir 4- 9 -5 -3 -1.78
328 A Severn Run 11- 5 6 3 1.85
401 H Atholton 7- 3 4 4 0.17
404 A Crofton 0-14 -14 -10 0.00
407 A Southern AA 4- 5 -1 0 -1.01
408 A Chesapeake AA 1-13 -12 -8 0.00
411 H Annapolis 8-15 -7 -5 0.00
423 H Meade 16- 4 12 7 0.00
425 A Glen Burnie 12- 5 7 -1 ++ 5.86
502 H Broadneck 3-18 -15 -12 0.00
507 A Mount Hebron 2-16 -14 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Glen Burnie 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Glen Burnie 12- 5 7 -1 ++ 5.86 |
Old Mill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Friends | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | ||
| Georgetown Day | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Jemicy School | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Academy for College | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Old Mill | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Old Mill | |
| Atholton | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Blair | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Blake | Blake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Blake | |
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cambridge SD | |
| Carver A&T | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Centennial | |
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Clarksburg | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Dundalk | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| DuVal | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Einstein | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Elkton | Old Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Old Mill | |
| Fairmont Heights | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fallston | |
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Friendly | Friendly | Friendly | ||
| Gaithersburg | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Glen Burnie | |
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Great Mills | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Guilford Park | Old Mill | Old Mill 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Gwynn Park | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Hammond | Old Mill | Old Mill 4- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Harford Tech | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hereford | |
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Howard | Howard | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Howard | |
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Kennedy | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Kent County | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Lake Clifton | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Lansdowne | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Laurel | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Leonardtown | |
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Long Reach | Old Mill | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Old Mill | |
| Magruder | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Meade | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Mergenthaler | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| MJ McDonough | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | ||
| New Town | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 3) | North County | |
| North Dorchester | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| North East Cecil | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| North Hagerstown | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA 5- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Northwood | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Oakland Mills | |
| Overlea | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Owings Mills | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Oxon Hill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Paint Branch | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Parkdale | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Patapsco | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Patterson HS | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Perry Hall | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Perryville | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Pikesville | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Poolesville | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Old Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Mill | |
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Severn Run | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sherwood | |
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| South River | South River | South River 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Southern AA | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Old Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Mill | |
| Surrattsville | Surrattsville | Surrattsville | ||
| Thomas Stone | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Western STES | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Westlake | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Wicomico | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Wilde Lake | Old Mill | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Old Mill | |
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Winters Mill | |
| Woodlawn | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Wootton | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| DC International PCS | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Jackson Reed | Old Mill | Old Mill |
PowerWise = 106
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Glen Burnie ( 5- 7, 80.9) 4- 9 -18.98 16.62 -0.45 1.01 -19.64
0 A Reservoir ( 7- 6, 83.3) 4- 9 -16.61 18.98 0.45 1.01 -16.35
0 A Severn Run ( 4-11, 76.9) 11- 5 -22.98 12.61 0.45 1.01 13.21
0 H Atholton ( 3-12, 77.1) 7- 3 -22.77 12.82 -0.45 1.01 12.52
0 A Crofton (10- 4, 89.8) 0-14 -10.15 25.45 0.45 1.01 -9.81
0 A Southern AA ( 3-11, 80.1) 4- 5 -19.84 15.75 0.45 1.01 -19.62
0 A Chesapeake AA (13- 4, 87.9) 1-13 -11.96 23.63 0.45 1.01 -11.65
0 H Annapolis ( 9- 4, 86.4) 8-15 -13.50 22.09 -0.45 1.01 -14.10
0 H Meade ( 1-10, 73.7) 16- 4 -26.18 9.42 -0.45 1.01 9.07
0 A Glen Burnie ( 5- 7, 80.9) 12- 5 -18.98 16.62 0.45 1.01 17.26
0 H Broadneck (12- 3, 93.1) 3-18 -6.84 28.75 -0.45 1.01 -7.37
0 A Mount Hebron ( 6- 8, 85.9) 2-16 -14.04 21.56 0.45 1.01 -13.74
------
-60.23
|
winning pts = 52.0489 losing points = -112.2796
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------