All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.6200027 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Woodson (11- 9, 76.9) 8- 4 321 H West Springfield ( 0-14, 72.1) 17- 4 328 A Washington-Liberty (11- 6, 79.4) 8- 7 401 A South Lakes ( 4-12, 73.4) 16- 2 403 A Yorktown (12- 9, 80.4) 10- 9 407 A John Champe ( 5-10, 66.1) 17- 4 412 A Wando (16- 2, 87.4) 5-15 414 A Lucy Beckham (17- 3, 89.1) 2-17 425 H Chantilly ( 9- 5, 81.3) 13-16 426 H Hayfield (14- 5, 73.9) 13- 9 501 H Madison (17- 2, 85.2) 6- 8 503 A South County ( 9- 9, 74.9) 17- 5 506 A Centreville ( 3- 9, 75.2) 14- 6 508 H Meridian (13- 6, 77.1) 11- 4 512 H Westfield ( 6-12, 75.2) 17- 1 515 H South Lakes ( 4-12, 73.4) 15- 1 519 A Chantilly ( 9- 5, 81.3) 8- 6 521 A Madison (17- 2, 85.2) 4-12 523 H McLean (10- 8, 78.9) 11- 4 527 A Yorktown (12- 9, 80.4) 6- 7
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Woodson 8- 4 4 3 0.06 321 H West Springfield 17- 4 13 10 0.00 328 A Washington-Liberty 8- 7 1 1 -0.43 401 A South Lakes 16- 2 14 7 0.00 403 A Yorktown 10- 9 1 0 0.57 407 A John Champe 17- 4 13 14 0.00 412 A Wando 5-15 -10 -6 n/a 414 A Lucy Beckham 2-17 -15 -8 n/a 425 H Chantilly 13-16 -3 1 -- -4.14 426 H Hayfield 13- 9 4 8 - -3.00 501 H Madison 6- 8 -2 -2 0.81 503 A South County 17- 5 12 5 1.06 506 A Centreville 14- 6 8 5 1.40 508 H Meridian 11- 4 7 5 1.72 512 H Westfield 17- 1 16 7 0.00 515 H South Lakes 15- 1 14 8 0.00 519 A Chantilly 8- 6 2 0 + 2.42 521 A Madison 4-12 -8 -4 - -2.63 523 H McLean 11- 4 7 3 + 3.47 527 A Yorktown 6- 7 -1 0 -1.43UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Chantilly 13-16 -3 1 -- -4.14 426 H Hayfield 13- 9 4 8 - -3.00 521 A Madison 4-12 -8 -4 - -2.63OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 A Chantilly 8- 6 2 0 + 2.42 523 H McLean 11- 4 7 3 + 3.47
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 81.62 Power Rank................. 28 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 54.84 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 29 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5779 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 65 RPI Rating............... .6066 RPI Rank................... 23 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 121 Selection sum ........... 109 Selection Rank ............ 29 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 35 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 15. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 21 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7