safe3step boys Northern York 1

  
Northern York         
W-L: ( 6-12)  PR =    79.2119
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 314 H Dover Area                           ( 1-14, 71.1)    17- 1   
 319 H West York                            ( 0-16, 68.1)    17- 3   
 325 H Palmyra                              (13- 7, 85.6)     1-19   
 327 A Hershey                              (11- 9, 83.3)     5-16   
 331 H Spring Grove                         (10- 8, 83.1)    12-15   
 401 H Red Land                             ( 5-13, 77.7)    20- 9   
 403 A Bishop McDevitt                      ( 6-11, 78.7)    10-13   
 408 A Lower Dauphin                        (16- 6, 86.2)     3-13   
 410 H Trinity HS                           (24- 1, 89.6)     2-16   
 414 H Gettysburg                           ( 0-18, 73.7)    19- 7   
 416 A Palmyra                              (13- 7, 85.6)     5-19   
 422 H Hershey                              (11- 9, 83.3)     4-18   
 424 A Red Land                             ( 5-13, 77.7)     8- 9   
 425 A Warwick                              (10- 8, 83.4)     2-17   
 429 H Bishop McDevitt                      ( 6-11, 78.7)    17- 8   
 501 H Lower Dauphin                        (16- 6, 86.2)     3-16   
 506 A Trinity HS                           (24- 1, 89.6)     8-18   
 508 A Gettysburg                           ( 0-18, 73.7)    10- 3

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Dover Area             17- 1      16     8           0.00
   319 H West York              17- 3      14    11           0.00
   325 H Palmyra                 1-19     -18    -6           0.00
   327 A Hershey                 5-16     -11    -4          -0.69
   331 H Spring Grove           12-15      -3    -4           0.65
   401 H Red Land               20- 9      11     2    +      3.26
   403 A Bishop McDevitt        10-13      -3     0    -     -3.35
   408 A Lower Dauphin           3-13     -10    -7           0.00
   410 H Trinity HS              2-16     -14   -10           0.00
   414 H Gettysburg             19- 7      12     6           0.00
   416 A Palmyra                 5-19     -14    -7           0.00
   422 H Hershey                 4-18     -14    -4          -1.10
   424 A Red Land                8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.33
   425 A Warwick                 2-17     -15    -4          -0.61
   429 H Bishop McDevitt        17- 8       9     1    ++     4.25
   501 H Lower Dauphin           3-16     -13    -7           0.00
   506 A Trinity HS              8-18     -10   -11           0.00
   508 A Gettysburg             10- 3       7     5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Bishop McDevitt        10-13      -3     0    -     -3.35
   424 A Red Land                8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Bishop McDevitt        17- 8       9     1    ++     4.25
   401 H Red Land               20- 9      11     2    +      3.26

Northern York Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Abington	Abington			Abington
Academy New Church	Academy New Church			Academy New Church
AIM Academy	Northern York			Northern York
Allentown Central Ca	Allentown Central Ca		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Allentown Central Ca
Archbishop Carroll	Northern York			Northern York
Archbishop Ryan	Northern York			Northern York
Archbishop Wood	Northern York			Northern York
Avon Grove	Avon Grove			Avon Grove
Avon Grove Charter	Avon Grove Charter			Avon Grove Charter
Bayard Rustin	Bayard Rustin			Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic	Northern York			Northern York
Bishop Shanahan	Bishop Shanahan			Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter	Northern York			Northern York
Bonner-Prendergast	Northern York			Northern York
Boyertown	Boyertown			Boyertown
Cardinal OHara	Cardinal OHara			Cardinal OHara
Central Bucks East	Central Bucks East			Central Bucks East
Central Bucks South	Central Bucks South			Central Bucks South
Central Bucks West	Central Bucks West			Central Bucks West
Central Philadelphia	Northern York			Northern York
Cheltenham	Northern York			Northern York
Church Farm School	Northern York			Northern York
Coatesville	Coatesville			Coatesville
Conestoga	Conestoga			Conestoga
Conwell Egan	Northern York			Northern York
Council Rock North	Council Rock North			Council Rock North
Council Rock South	Council Rock South			Council Rock South
Delaware Valley Frie	Northern York			Northern York
Devon Prep	Devon Prep			Devon Prep
Downingtown East	Downingtown East			Downingtown East
Downingtown West	Downingtown West			Downingtown West
Easton Area	Easton Area			Easton Area
Emmaus	Emmaus			Emmaus
Episcopal Academy	Episcopal Academy			Episcopal Academy
Father Judge	Father Judge			Father Judge
Frankford	Northern York			Northern York
Freedom Bethlehem	Freedom Bethlehem			Freedom Bethlehem
Garnet Valley	Garnet Valley			Garnet Valley
George School	George School			George School
George Washington	George Washington			George Washington
Germantown Academy	Germantown Academy			Germantown Academy
Great Valley	Great Valley			Great Valley
Harriton	Harriton			Harriton
Hatboro-Horsham	Hatboro-Horsham			Hatboro-Horsham
Haverford HS	Haverford HS			Haverford HS
Haverford School	Haverford School			Haverford School
Hill School	Hill School			Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep	Holy Ghost Prep			Holy Ghost Prep
Interboro	Northern York			Northern York
Jack Barrack Academy	Jack Barrack Academy			Jack Barrack Academy
Kennett	Kennett			Kennett
La Salle College	La Salle College			La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic	Lansdale Catholic			Lansdale Catholic
Liberty Bethlehem	Liberty Bethlehem			Liberty Bethlehem
Lower Merion	Lower Merion			Lower Merion
Malvern Prep	Malvern Prep			Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown	Marple Newtown		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Marple Newtown
Masterman	Northern York			Northern York
Mastery Charter Nort	Northern York			Northern York
Methacton	Methacton			Methacton
Moravian Academy	Moravian Academy			Moravian Academy
Nazareth Area	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Neshaminy	Northern York			Northern York
New Hope-Solebury	New Hope-Solebury			New Hope-Solebury
North Penn	North Penn			North Penn
Northampton Area	Northampton Area			Northampton Area
Northeast	Northern York			Northern York
Northwestern Lehigh	Northwestern Lehigh			Northwestern Lehigh
Olney Charter	Olney Charter			Olney Charter
Owen J Roberts	Owen J Roberts			Owen J Roberts
Oxford Area	Northern York			Northern York
Parkland	Parkland			Parkland
Penn Charter	Penn Charter			Penn Charter
Penncrest	Penncrest			Penncrest
Pennridge	Pennridge			Pennridge
Pennsbury	Pennsbury			Pennsbury
Perkiomen School	Perkiomen School			Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley	Perkiomen Valley			Perkiomen Valley
Phoenixville	Phoenixville			Phoenixville
Pleasant Valley	Pleasant Valley			Pleasant Valley
Plymouth-Whitemarsh	Plymouth-Whitemarsh			Plymouth-Whitemarsh
Pope John Paul II	Pope John Paul II			Pope John Paul II
Pottsgrove	Northern York			Northern York
Quakertown	Northern York			Northern York
Radnor	Radnor			Radnor
Ridley	Ridley			Ridley
Roman Catholic	Northern York			Northern York
Saucon Valley	Saucon Valley			Saucon Valley
Shipley School	Shipley School			Shipley School
Solanco	Northern York			Northern York
Souderton	Souderton			Souderton
South Philadelphia	South Philadelphia			South Philadelphia
Southern Lehigh	Southern Lehigh			Southern Lehigh
Spring-Ford	Spring-Ford			Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp	Northern York			Northern York
Springfield-Delco	Springfield-Delco			Springfield-Delco
Springside Chestnut	Springside Chestnut			Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep	St Josephs Prep			St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven	Strath Haven			Strath Haven
Sun Valley	Sun Valley			Sun Valley
Truman	Northern York			Northern York
Unionville	Unionville			Unionville
Upper Darby	Northern York			Northern York
Upper Dublin	Upper Dublin			Upper Dublin
Upper Merion	Upper Merion			Upper Merion
Upper Moreland	Upper Moreland			Upper Moreland
West Chester East	West Chester East			West Chester East
West Chester Henders	West Chester Henders			West Chester Henders
West Philadelphia	Northern York			Northern York
Westtown	Westtown			Westtown
William Tennent	Northern York			Northern York
Wissahickon	Wissahickon			Wissahickon
Baldwin	Northern York			Northern York
Bethel Park	Bethel Park			Bethel Park
Butler Area	Butler Area			Butler Area
Canon-McMillan	Canon-McMillan			Canon-McMillan
Cathedral Prep	Northern York			Northern York
Central Catholic	Central Catholic			Central Catholic
Chartiers Valley	Chartiers Valley			Chartiers Valley
Conneaut	Conneaut			Conneaut
Erie-McDowell	Erie-McDowell			Erie-McDowell
Fairview	Northern York			Northern York
Fox Chapel	Fox Chapel			Fox Chapel
Franklin Regional	Northern York			Northern York
Freeport Area	Northern York			Northern York
Gateway	Northern York			Northern York
Greensburg Central C	Northern York			Northern York
Hampton	Hampton		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Hampton
Hempfield Greensburg	Hempfield Greensburg			Hempfield Greensburg
Hickory	Northern York			Northern York
Indiana Area	Indiana Area			Indiana Area
Knoch	Northern York			Northern York
Latrobe	Latrobe			Latrobe
Mars Area	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Mars Area
Meadville-Crawford C	Northern York			Northern York
Moon Area	Moon Area			Moon Area
Mount Lebanon	Mount Lebanon			Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny	North Allegheny			North Allegheny
North Catholic	Northern York			Northern York
North Hills	North Hills			North Hills
Norwin	Norwin			Norwin
Penn-Trafford	Penn-Trafford			Penn-Trafford
Peters Township	Peters Township		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Peters Township
Pine Richland	Pine Richland			Pine Richland
Plum	Northern York			Northern York
Quaker Valley	Quaker Valley			Quaker Valley
Seneca Valley	Seneca Valley			Seneca Valley
Seton LaSalle	Northern York			Northern York
Sewickley Academy	Sewickley Academy			Sewickley Academy
Shady Side Academy	Shady Side Academy			Shady Side Academy
Shaler Area	Shaler Area			Shaler Area
South Fayette	South Fayette		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	South Fayette
Taylor Allderdice	Northern York			Northern York
Trinity Area	Northern York			Northern York
Upper St Clair	Upper St Clair			Upper St Clair
West Allegheny	Northern York			Northern York
Winchester Thurston	Northern York			Northern York
Abington Heights	Abington Heights			Abington Heights
Bellefonte	Bellefonte			Bellefonte
Berks Catholic	Berks Catholic		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Berks Catholic
Bishop McDevitt	Northern York		insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 1- 5)	Northern York
Carlisle	Carlisle			Carlisle
Cedar Cliff	Northern York		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)	Northern York
Cedar Crest	Cedar Crest		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Cedar Crest
Central Dauphin	Central Dauphin			Central Dauphin
Central Dauphin East	Northern York			Northern York
Central York	Central York		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)	Central York
Chambersburg	Chambersburg			Chambersburg
Cocalico	Cocalico		insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2)	Cocalico
Conestoga Valley	Conestoga Valley		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Conestoga Valley
Conrad Weiser	Northern York		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Northern York
Crestwood	Crestwood			Crestwood
Cumberland Valley	Cumberland Valley		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Cumberland Valley
Dallas	Northern York			Northern York
Dallastown	Dallastown		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)	Dallastown
Daniel Boone	Northern York			Northern York
Danville Area	Northern York			Northern York
Delaware Valley	Delaware Valley			Delaware Valley
Delone Catholic	Delone Catholic		tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2)	Delone Catholic
Dover Area	Northern York	Northern York
Eastern York	Eastern York		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Eastern York
Elizabethtown	Elizabethtown		tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2)	Elizabethtown
Ephrata	Ephrata		Ephrata 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Exeter Township	Exeter Township		Exeter Township 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Garden Spot	Garden Spot		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Garden Spot
Gettysburg	Northern York	Northern York
Governor Mifflin	Governor Mifflin		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Governor Mifflin
Hempfield	Hempfield		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Hempfield
Hershey	Hershey	Hershey
Kennard-Dale	Northern York		tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1)	Northern York
Lake-Lehman	Northern York			Northern York
Lakeland	Northern York			Northern York
Lampeter-Strasburg	Lampeter-Strasburg		Lampeter-Strasburg 2- 0 vs 0- 3
Lancaster CDS	Lancaster CDS		tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2)	Lancaster CDS
Lewisburg	Lewisburg			Lewisburg
Lower Dauphin	Lower Dauphin	Lower Dauphin
Manheim Township	Manheim Township			Manheim Township
Mechanicsburg	Mechanicsburg		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Mechanicsburg
Mifflin County	Northern York			Northern York
Mifflinburg	Northern York			Northern York
Muhlenberg	Northern York		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Northern York
New Oxford	New Oxford		insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0)	New Oxford
North Pocono	Northern York			Northern York
Palmyra	Palmyra	Palmyra
Penn Manor	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Penn Manor
Red Land	Northern York		tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 4)	Northern York
Red Lion	Red Lion		insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0)	Red Lion
Schuylkill Valley	Northern York		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1)	Northern York
Scranton Prep	Scranton Prep			Scranton Prep
Selinsgrove	Selinsgrove			Selinsgrove
South-Western	South-Western		South-Western 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Spring Grove	Spring Grove	Spring Grove
State College	State College			State College
Susquehannock	Susquehannock		tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2)	Susquehannock
Trinity HS	Trinity HS	Trinity HS
Tunkhannock	Northern York			Northern York
Twin Valley	Twin Valley		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Twin Valley
Warwick	Warwick	Warwick
West York	Northern York	Northern York
Wilkes-Barre Area	Northern York			Northern York
Wilson West Lawn	Wilson West Lawn			Wilson West Lawn
Wyoming Area	Northern York			Northern York
Wyoming Seminary	Wyoming Seminary			Wyoming Seminary
Wyomissing	Wyomissing		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Wyomissing
York Catholic	York Catholic		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)	York Catholic
York Suburban	Northern York		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Northern York

PowerWise = 68

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Dover Area      ( 1-14, 71.1)    17- 1      -28.79       5.55      -0.20         0.87             4.67
   0 H West York       ( 0-16, 68.1)    17- 3      -31.83       2.50      -0.20         0.87             2.01
   0 H Palmyra         (13- 7, 85.6)     1-19      -14.27      20.07      -0.20         0.87           -12.64
   0 A Hershey         (11- 9, 83.3)     5-16      -16.58      17.75       0.20         0.87           -14.30
   0 H Spring Grove    (10- 8, 83.1)    12-15      -16.83      17.50      -0.20         0.87           -14.88
   0 H Red Land        ( 5-13, 77.7)    20- 9      -22.22      12.12      -0.20         0.87            10.40
   0 A Bishop McDevit  ( 6-11, 78.7)    10-13      -21.24      13.10       0.20         0.87           -18.37
   0 A Lower Dauphin   (16- 6, 86.2)     3-13      -13.74      20.60       0.20         0.87           -11.82
   0 H Trinity HS      (24- 1, 89.6)     2-16      -10.31      24.02      -0.20         0.87            -9.19
   0 H Gettysburg      ( 0-18, 73.7)    19- 7      -26.24       8.09      -0.20         0.87             6.89
   0 A Palmyra         (13- 7, 85.6)     5-19      -14.27      20.07       0.20         0.87           -12.28
   0 H Hershey         (11- 9, 83.3)     4-18      -16.58      17.75      -0.20         0.87           -14.66
   0 A Red Land        ( 5-13, 77.7)     8- 9      -22.22      12.12       0.20         0.87           -19.23
   0 A Warwick         (10- 8, 83.4)     2-17      -16.51      17.83       0.20         0.87           -14.23
   0 H Bishop McDevit  ( 6-11, 78.7)    17- 8      -21.24      13.10      -0.20         0.87            11.26
   0 H Lower Dauphin   (16- 6, 86.2)     3-16      -13.74      20.60      -0.20         0.87           -12.17
   0 A Trinity HS      (24- 1, 89.6)     8-18      -10.31      24.02       0.20         0.87            -8.83
   0 A Gettysburg      ( 0-18, 73.7)    10- 3      -26.24       8.09       0.20         0.87             7.25
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -120.13

winning pts = 42.4711 losing points = -162.5999

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------