---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Northwest Guilford 1
  
Northwest Guilford    
W-L: (20- 5) PR = 94.7180

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 9- 4 301 A Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 7-13 304 A Hough (18- 4, 95.7) 6-15 306 H RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 6- 0 311 A Myers Park ( 7-12, 88.4) 22- 7 313 H Lake Norman Charter (17- 7, 93.5) 8- 7 315 H Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 5-12 319 H Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 18- 6 321 A Bishop McGuinness (10-11, 83.0) 16- 6 324 H Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 9- 4 401 H Lake Norman HS (18- 2, 98.9) 4-12 403 H Western Guilford ( 6-14, 77.2) 21- 2 405 A Southlake Christian (12- 6, 89.7) 16- 5 408 H Grimsley ( 9-12, 82.8) 18- 5 410 A Page (12-10, 87.5) 17- 7 411 A Mooresville ( 4-15, 83.8) 13- 5 422 A Northern Guilford ( 9- 8, 88.8) 15- 4 424 H Ragsdale ( 2-11, 74.4) 24- 3 429 H Southeast Guilford ( 6-11, 80.1) 20- 1 502 A Southwest Guilford ( 2-17, 77.1) 21- 4 506 H Grimsley ( 9-12, 82.8) 20- 3 508 H Page (12-10, 87.5) 16- 3 516 H Providence ( 7-11, 86.7) 19- 5 520 H Weddington (13- 5, 93.8) 17- 6 523 H Hough (18- 4, 95.7) 8-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Holly Springs           9- 4       5     1    ++     4.18
   301 A Middle Creek            7-13      -6    -3          -1.77
   304 A Hough                   6-15      -9    -1    -     -3.75
   306 H RJ Reynolds             6- 0       6     2    +      2.55
   311 A Myers Park             22- 7      15     6           0.00
   313 H Lake Norman Charter     8- 7       1     1          -0.46
   315 H Apex                    5-12      -7    -1    --    -4.45
   319 H Reagan                 18- 6      12     8           0.00
   321 A Bishop McGuinness      16- 6      10    11           0.00
   324 H Ardrey Kell             9- 4       5     1    ++     4.05
   401 H Lake Norman HS          4-12      -8    -4          -1.07
   403 H Western Guilford       21- 2      19    18           0.00
   405 A Southlake Christian    16- 5      11     5           0.24
   408 H Grimsley               18- 5      13    12           0.00
   410 A Page                   17- 7      10     7           0.00
   411 A Mooresville            13- 5       8    11           0.00
   422 A Northern Guilford      15- 4      11     6           0.00
   424 H Ragsdale               24- 3      21    21           0.00
   429 H Southeast Guilford     20- 1      19    15           0.00
   502 A Southwest Guilford     21- 4      17    17           0.00
   506 H Grimsley               20- 3      17    12           0.00
   508 H Page                   16- 3      13     7           0.00
   516 H Providence             19- 5      14     8           0.00
   520 H Weddington             17- 6      11     1    +      3.82
   523 H Hough                   8-12      -4    -1    -     -3.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Apex                    5-12      -7    -1    --    -4.45
   304 A Hough                   6-15      -9    -1    -     -3.75
   523 H Hough                   8-12      -4    -1    -     -3.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Holly Springs           9- 4       5     1    ++     4.18
   324 H Ardrey Kell             9- 4       5     1    ++     4.05
   306 H RJ Reynolds             6- 0       6     2    +      2.55
   520 H Weddington             17- 6      11     1    +      3.82

Northwest Guilford Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex Apex  
Apex Friendship Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Northwest Guilford
Ardrey Kell Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Arendell Parrott Aca Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Asheville HS Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Asheville School Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Ashley Northwest Guilford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northwest Guilford
Athens Drive Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Northwest Guilford
Atkins Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Northwest Guilford
Ballantyne Ridge Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   3- 0 vs 0- 4
Bishop McGuinness Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Bradford Prep Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Broughton Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Northwest Guilford
Butler Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Cannon School Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northwest Guilford
Cape Fear Academy Northwest Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Cape Fear HS Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Carrboro Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Cary Academy Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Cary Christian Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Cary HS Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Northwest Guilford
Cedar Ridge Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Chapel Hill Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Northwest Guilford
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   5- 2 vs 3- 2
Charlotte CDS Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 5- 0) Northwest Guilford
Charlotte Christian Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Charlotte Latin Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) Northwest Guilford
Christ School Christ School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Christ School
Christ The King Northwest Guilford tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Northwest Guilford
Clayton Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Cleveland Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Community School-Dav Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   6- 1 vs 4- 3
Corinth Holders Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Cornerstone Charter Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Northwest Guilford
Croatan Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Northwest Guilford
Cuthbertson Northwest Guilford tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 3) Northwest Guilford
Davie Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   7- 0 vs 5- 2
DH Conley Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Durham Academy Durham Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Northwest Guilford
East Forsyth Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Eastern Alamance Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Eastern Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Enloe Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Fike Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
First Flight Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Forsyth Country Day Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Northwest Guilford
Fuquay-Varina Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Garner Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Glenn Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Grays Creek Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Green Hope Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Northwest Guilford
Green Level Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Northwest Guilford
Greensboro Day Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 2) Northwest Guilford
Grimsley Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Havelock Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Heritage Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Hickory Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
High Point Central Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Hillsborough Orange Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Hoggard Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Holly Springs Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Hough Hough Hough  
Hunt Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Independence Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Jack Britt Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Jacksonville Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
JF Webb Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
JH Rose Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
John Paul II Catholi Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Jordan Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Lake Norman Charter Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS  
Laney Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Leesville Road Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Lincoln Charter Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Marvin Ridge Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 3) Northwest Guilford
Middle Creek Middle Creek Middle Creek  
Millbrook Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Mooresville Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Mount Tabor Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Mountain Island Char Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Myers Park Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
New Bern Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
New Hanover Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
North Brunswick Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
North Davidson Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   5- 0 vs 1- 4
North Lincoln Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   3- 0 vs 1- 2
North Raleigh Christ Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northern Durham Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northern Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Northside Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Page Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Panther Creek Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Northwest Guilford
Parkwood Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 3) Northwest Guilford
Patton Morganton Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Pine Forest Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Pine Lake Prep Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Pinecrest Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Porter Ridge Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   3- 0 vs 0- 5
Providence Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Providence Day Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Northwest Guilford
Queens Grant Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Ragsdale Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Ravenscroft School Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Reagan Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Riverside Durham Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
RJ Reynolds Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Rolesville Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Roxboro Community Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Sanderson Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Seaforth Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
South Brunswick Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
South Garner Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
South Iredell Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   2- 2 vs 0- 4
South Mecklenburg Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   5- 0 vs 0- 6
South View Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Southeast Alamance Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Southeast Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Southern Alamance Northwest Guilford tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Northwest Guilford
Southlake Christian Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Southwest Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
St Davids School Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
St Stephens Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Northwest Guilford
Sun Valley Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 3) Northwest Guilford
Swansboro Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
TC Roberson Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Terry Sanford Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Topsail Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Union Pines Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Vance Charter Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Voyager Academy Northwest Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Wake Forest Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Wake Prep Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Wakefield Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Walter M Williams Northwest Guilford tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Northwest Guilford
Watauga Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Weddington Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
West Brunswick Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
West Carteret Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
West Forsyth Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   4- 0 vs 2- 2
West Stokes Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Northwest Guilford
Western Alamance Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Western Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Willow Spring Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northwest Guilford

PowerWise = 140


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Holly Springs   (12- 9, 93.6)     9- 4       -6.28      27.53       0.27         0.72            19.94
   0 A Middle Creek    (21- 4, 97.7)     7-13       -2.23      31.58       0.27         0.72            -1.40
   0 A Hough           (18- 4, 95.7)     6-15       -4.21      29.60       0.27         0.72            -2.82
   0 H RJ Reynolds     (19- 3, 92.5)     6- 0       -7.36      26.45      -0.27         0.72            18.78
   0 A Myers Park      ( 7-12, 88.4)    22- 7      -11.47      22.33       0.27         0.72            16.22
   0 H Lake Norman Ch  (17- 7, 93.5)     8- 7       -6.37      27.44      -0.27         0.72            19.49
   0 H Apex            (18- 5, 95.5)     5-12       -4.36      29.45      -0.27         0.72            -3.32
   0 H Reagan          (12-12, 86.8)    18- 6      -13.13      20.68      -0.27         0.72            14.64
   0 A Bishop McGuinn  (10-11, 83.0)    16- 6      -16.94      16.87       0.27         0.72            12.29
   0 H Ardrey Kell     (16- 5, 94.0)     9- 4       -5.86      27.95      -0.27         0.72            19.85
   0 H Lake Norman HS  (18- 2, 98.9)     4-12       -0.99      32.82      -0.27         0.72            -0.90
   0 H Western Guilfo  ( 6-14, 77.2)    21- 2      -22.70      11.11      -0.27         0.72             7.77
   0 A Southlake Chri  (12- 6, 89.7)    16- 5      -10.21      23.59       0.27         0.72            17.12
   0 H Grimsley        ( 9-12, 82.8)    18- 5      -17.12      16.69      -0.27         0.72            11.78
   0 A Page            (12-10, 87.5)    17- 7      -12.37      21.44       0.27         0.72            15.57
   0 A Mooresville     ( 4-15, 83.8)    13- 5      -16.12      17.69       0.27         0.72            12.89
   0 A Northern Guilf  ( 9- 8, 88.8)    15- 4      -11.09      22.71       0.27         0.72            16.49
   0 H Ragsdale        ( 2-11, 74.4)    24- 3      -25.53       8.28      -0.27         0.72             5.74
   0 H Southeast Guil  ( 6-11, 80.1)    20- 1      -19.83      13.98      -0.27         0.72             9.83
   0 A Southwest Guil  ( 2-17, 77.1)    21- 4      -22.76      11.05       0.27         0.72             8.12
   0 H Grimsley        ( 9-12, 82.8)    20- 3      -17.12      16.69      -0.27         0.72            11.78
   0 H Page            (12-10, 87.5)    16- 3      -12.37      21.44      -0.27         0.72            15.18
   0 H Providence      ( 7-11, 86.7)    19- 5      -13.21      20.60      -0.27         0.72            14.58
   0 H Weddington      (13- 5, 93.8)    17- 6       -6.09      27.72      -0.27         0.72            19.69
   0 H Hough           (18- 4, 95.7)     8-12       -4.21      29.60      -0.27         0.72            -3.21
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       276.09

winning pts = 287.7516 losing points = -11.6636

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------