New Canaan
W-L: (12- 3) PR = 99.9000Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 412 H Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 14- 2 415 A St Joseph Trumbull (14- 5, 95.2) 5- 1 417 A Wilton ( 3-10, 95.0) 12- 5 424 H Staples (13- 3, 99.4) 6- 7 429 H Danbury ( 2-13, 69.9) 19- 3 503 A Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 8- 4 508 A Greenwich HS (11- 5, 95.8) 18- 4 510 H Fairfield Prep (13- 2, 98.1) 12- 8 513 A Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 18- 2 519 H Ridgefield (10- 3, 99.3) 15- 9 524 H St Joseph Trumbull (14- 5, 95.2) 16- 4 527 H Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 7- 6 529 H Ridgefield (10- 3, 99.3) 7-12 607 H Notre Dame-West Have (11- 6, 91.6) 19- 3 611 N Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 5- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 H Glastonbury 14- 2 12 5 0.00
415 A St Joseph Trumbull 5- 1 4 4 -0.20
417 A Wilton 12- 5 7 4 0.59
424 H Staples 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.01
429 H Danbury 19- 3 16 30 0.00
503 A Darien 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.12
508 A Greenwich HS 18- 4 14 4 1.36
510 H Fairfield Prep 12- 8 4 2 1.75
513 A Brien McMahon 18- 2 16 20 0.00
519 H Ridgefield 15- 9 6 1 + 3.95
524 H St Joseph Trumbull 16- 4 12 5 0.00
527 H Darien 7- 6 1 1 0.17
529 H Ridgefield 7-12 -5 1 --- -6.05
607 H Notre Dame-West Have 19- 3 16 9 0.00
611 N Darien 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 529 H Ridgefield 7-12 -5 1 --- -6.05 424 H Staples 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.01 611 N Darien 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.36 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Darien 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.12 519 H Ridgefield 15- 9 6 1 + 3.95 |
New Canaan Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | New Canaan | New Canaan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Avon HS | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Bacon Academy | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Berlin | New Canaan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| Bethel | New Canaan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| Branford | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Brien McMahon | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Brookfield | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Bunnell-Stratford | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Canton | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Capital-Classical Pr | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Cheshire HS | New Canaan | New Canaan 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Conard | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Cromwell | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Danbury | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Daniel Hand | New Canaan | New Canaan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Darien | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| East Catholic | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| East Lyme | New Canaan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| Ellington | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Enfield | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| EO Smith | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | New Canaan | New Canaan 6- 2 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Fairfield Prep | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Fairfield Warde | New Canaan | New Canaan 5- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Farmington | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Fitch Groton | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Foran | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Glastonbury | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Granby Memorial | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Greenwich HS | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Guilford | New Canaan | New Canaan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Hall | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Hamden | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Holy Cross | New Canaan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| Immaculate Danbury | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Joel Barlow | New Canaan | New Canaan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Jonathan Law | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Lakeview United | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Ledyard-Griswold | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Lewis Mills | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Lyman Hall | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Maloney-Platt | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Masuk | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Middletown | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Montville | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Morgan School | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Canaan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| New Milford | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Newington | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Newtown | New Canaan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| North Branford | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| North Haven | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Northwest Catholic | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Norwalk | New Canaan | New Canaan 5- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | New Canaan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Norwich Tech | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Notre Dame-West Have | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Old Lyme | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Old Saybrook | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Pomperaug | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| RHAM | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Ridgefield | New Canaan | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Rockville Co-op | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Rocky Hill | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Sheehan | New Canaan | New Canaan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Shelton | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| Simsbury | New Canaan | New Canaan 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Somers | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| South Windsor | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Southington | New Canaan | New Canaan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Bernard-Wheeler | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| St Joseph Trumbull | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| St Paul Catholic | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Stamford | New Canaan | New Canaan 6- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Suffield | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Tolland | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Trumbull | New Canaan | New Canaan 6- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Valley Regional | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Waterford | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Watertown | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| West Haven | New Canaan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| Westhill | New Canaan | New Canaan 5- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Weston | New Canaan | New Canaan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Wethersfield | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Wilbur Cross | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Wilton | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Windsor | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Wolcott | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Woodstock Academy | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| Xavier | New Canaan | New Canaan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 97
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 14- 2 -4.61 35.64 -0.47 1.13 39.88
0 A St Joseph Trum (14- 5, 95.2) 5- 1 -4.67 35.58 0.47 1.13 40.89
0 A Wilton ( 3-10, 95.0) 12- 5 -4.88 35.37 0.47 1.13 40.65
0 H Staples (13- 3, 99.4) 6- 7 -0.54 39.72 -0.47 1.13 -1.15
0 H Danbury ( 2-13, 69.9) 19- 3 -29.96 10.29 -0.47 1.13 11.14
0 A Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 8- 4 -0.36 39.90 0.47 1.13 45.78
0 A Greenwich HS (11- 5, 95.8) 18- 4 -4.12 36.14 0.47 1.13 41.52
0 H Fairfield Prep (13- 2, 98.1) 12- 8 -1.78 38.47 -0.47 1.13 43.09
0 A Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 18- 2 -20.46 19.80 0.47 1.13 22.98
0 H Ridgefield (10- 3, 99.3) 15- 9 -0.57 39.68 -0.47 1.13 44.46
0 H St Joseph Trum (14- 5, 95.2) 16- 4 -4.67 35.58 -0.47 1.13 39.82
0 H Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 7- 6 -0.36 39.90 -0.47 1.13 44.71
0 H Ridgefield (10- 3, 99.3) 7-12 -0.57 39.68 -0.47 1.13 -1.19
0 H Notre Dame-Wes (11- 6, 91.6) 19- 3 -8.26 31.99 -0.47 1.13 35.74
0 N Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 5- 8 -0.36 39.90 -0.00 1.13 -0.41
------
447.92
|
winning pts = 450.6635 losing points = -2.7409
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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