---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:08 PDT

safe3step boys Newberg 1
  
Newberg               
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 87.5891

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Roseburg ( 8- 9, 84.3) 11- 7 321 A Grant/Central Eastsi (10- 7, 92.3) 2- 8 402 A Liberty ( 9- 7, 87.1) 8- 4 404 A Century ( 4-14, 83.3) 13- 6 408 H Beaverton ( 9- 9, 85.3) 7- 6 410 H Ida B Wells ( 5-14, 85.7) 13- 8 415 A Sprague/South Salem ( 0-16, 74.8) 19- 5 417 H West Salem/McNary (15- 5, 89.5) 7-12 422 H Corvallis ( 5-14, 83.4) 16- 3 425 H Wilsonville ( 7-10, 87.7) 8-10 430 H Glencoe ( 9- 8, 88.8) 15- 7 502 H Sherwood (14- 6, 91.5) 2-18 506 A Tigard ( 4- 9, 85.8) 6-10 509 H Tualatin (11- 7, 88.9) 13-12 523 A Tualatin (11- 7, 88.9) 8-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Roseburg               11- 7       4     3           1.30
   321 A Grant/Central Eastsi    2- 8      -6    -5           0.00
   402 A Liberty                 8- 4       4     0    ++     4.15
   404 A Century                13- 6       7     4           1.32
   408 H Beaverton               7- 6       1     3          -1.84
   410 H Ida B Wells            13- 8       5     2    +      2.54
   415 A Sprague/South Salem    19- 5      14    12           0.00
   417 H West Salem/McNary       7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.65
   422 H Corvallis              16- 3      13     5           0.22
   425 H Wilsonville             8-10      -2     0    -     -2.47
   430 H Glencoe                15- 7       8    -1    ++     5.65
   502 H Sherwood                2-18     -16    -3          -1.68
   506 A Tigard                  6-10      -4     1    --    -5.25
   509 H Tualatin               13-12       1    -1           1.76
   523 A Tualatin                8-12      -4    -2    -     -2.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Tigard                  6-10      -4     1    --    -5.25
   417 H West Salem/McNary       7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.65
   425 H Wilsonville             8-10      -2     0    -     -2.47
   523 A Tualatin                8-12      -4    -2    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Liberty                 8- 4       4     0    ++     4.15
   430 H Glencoe                15- 7       8    -1    ++     5.65
   410 H Ida B Wells            13- 8       5     2    +      2.54

Newberg Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Aloha/Southridge Newberg Newberg   6- 2 vs 0- 7
Beaverton Newberg Newberg  
Bend/Caldera Bend/Caldera insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Bend/Caldera
Burns Newberg   Newberg
Canby Canby tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Canby
Central Catholic Central Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Central Catholic
Century Newberg Newberg  
Clackamas/Nelson Clackamas/Nelson Clackamas/Nelson   6- 0 vs 4- 2
Corvallis Newberg Newberg  
Forest Grove Newberg Newberg   8- 1 vs 6- 3
Glencoe Newberg Newberg  
Grant/Central Eastsi Grant/Central Eastsi Grant/Central Eastsi  
Hillsboro Newberg Newberg   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Hood River Newberg insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Newberg
Ida B Wells Newberg Newberg  
Jesuit Portland Jesuit Portland Jesuit Portland   6- 0 vs 4- 3
Lake Oswego/Riverdal Newberg insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Newberg
Lakeridge Lakeridge tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Lakeridge
Liberty Newberg Newberg  
Lincoln Lincoln Lincoln   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Marist Newberg insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Newberg
Mountain View Newberg tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Newberg
Mountainside Mountainside tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 3) Mountainside
Oregon City Newberg insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Newberg
Oregon Episcopal Oregon Episcopal Oregon Episcopal   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Ridgeview Newberg insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Newberg
Roseburg Newberg Newberg  
Sheldon Newberg Newberg   4- 1 vs 1- 3
Sherwood Sherwood Sherwood  
South Eugene South Eugene insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 0) South Eugene
Sprague/South Salem Newberg Newberg  
Summit Summit Summit   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Sunset Sunset Sunset   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Thurston Newberg Newberg   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Tigard Tigard Tigard  
Tualatin Tualatin Tualatin   6- 1 vs 4- 3
West Albany Newberg insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Newberg
West Linn West Linn West Linn   3- 0 vs 0- 3
West Salem/McNary West Salem/McNary West Salem/McNary  
Westview Newberg Newberg   7- 3 vs 5- 4
Wilsonville Wilsonville Wilsonville  

PowerWise = 22


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Roseburg        ( 8- 9, 84.3)    11- 7      -15.60       9.51       0.59         1.07            10.81
   0 A Grant/Central   (10- 7, 92.3)     2- 8       -7.64      17.47       0.59         1.07            -7.55
   0 A Liberty         ( 9- 7, 87.1)     8- 4      -12.75      12.36       0.59         1.07            13.85
   0 A Century         ( 4-14, 83.3)    13- 6      -16.58       8.53       0.59         1.07             9.75
   0 H Beaverton       ( 9- 9, 85.3)     7- 6      -14.56      10.55      -0.59         1.07            10.66
   0 H Ida B Wells     ( 5-14, 85.7)    13- 8      -14.18      10.92      -0.59         1.07            11.06
   0 A Sprague/South   ( 0-16, 74.8)    19- 5      -25.10       1.00       0.59         1.07             1.70
   0 H West Salem/McN  (15- 5, 89.5)     7-12      -10.37      14.74      -0.59         1.07           -11.73
   0 H Corvallis       ( 5-14, 83.4)    16- 3      -16.50       8.61      -0.59         1.07             8.58
   0 H Wilsonville     ( 7-10, 87.7)     8-10      -12.19      12.92      -0.59         1.07           -13.67
   0 H Glencoe         ( 9- 8, 88.8)    15- 7      -11.07      14.04      -0.59         1.07            14.39
   0 H Sherwood        (14- 6, 91.5)     2-18       -8.40      16.71      -0.59         1.07            -9.62
   0 A Tigard          ( 4- 9, 85.8)     6-10      -14.15      10.96       0.59         1.07           -14.50
   0 H Tualatin        (11- 7, 88.9)    13-12      -10.96      14.15      -0.59         1.07            14.51
   0 A Tualatin        (11- 7, 88.9)     8-12      -10.96      14.15       0.59         1.07           -11.09
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        27.13

winning pts = 95.2997 losing points = -68.1656

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------