North Stafford
W-L: ( 1-12) PR = 74.0323Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Brooke Point (12- 4, 83.7) 0-15 401 A Riverbend ( 8- 9, 80.5) 6-20 403 H Stafford ( 8- 7, 80.2) 3-15 407 H Massaponax ( 2-13, 75.0) 5- 3 410 A Mountain View (10-10, 81.6) 1-15 414 H Colonial Forge (14- 2, 84.4) 2-15 416 H Brooke Point (12- 4, 83.7) 1-15 424 H Riverbend ( 8- 9, 80.5) 0- 9 428 A Stafford ( 8- 7, 80.2) 4-11 501 A Massaponax ( 2-13, 75.0) 2- 6 505 H Mountain View (10-10, 81.6) 1-12 508 A Colonial Forge (14- 2, 84.4) 3-10 516 A Brooke Point (12- 4, 83.7) 1-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 A Brooke Point 0-15 -15 -10 0.00
401 A Riverbend 6-20 -14 -7 0.00
403 H Stafford 3-15 -12 -6 0.00
407 H Massaponax 5- 3 2 0 + 2.38
410 A Mountain View 1-15 -14 -8 0.00
414 H Colonial Forge 2-15 -13 -10 0.00
416 H Brooke Point 1-15 -14 -9 0.00
424 H Riverbend 0- 9 -9 -6 0.00
428 A Stafford 4-11 -7 -7 0.00
501 A Massaponax 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.40
505 H Mountain View 1-12 -11 -7 0.00
508 A Colonial Forge 3-10 -7 -11 0.00
516 A Brooke Point 1-20 -19 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Massaponax 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Massaponax 5- 3 2 0 + 2.38 |
North Stafford Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Annandale | Annandale | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Battlefield | |
| Bayside | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | Brentsville | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Briar Woods | |
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Charlottesville | Charlottesville | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Clover Hill | Clover Hill | Clover Hill | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | Cox | ||
| Culpeper County | Culpeper County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Culpeper County | |
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | North Stafford | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | North Stafford | |
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | Fairfax | ||
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | Fauquier | ||
| First Colonial | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Fishburne Military A | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Forest Park | Forest Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Park | |
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Franklin County | Franklin County | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Fredericksburg Acade | Fredericksburg Acade | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Gar-field | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Grafton LC | Grafton LC | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Handley | Handley | Handley | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Hidden Valley | Hidden Valley | Hidden Valley | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Hylton | Hylton | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Hylton | |
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| James Monroe | James Monroe | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | James Monroe | |
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | John Champe | John Champe | ||
| Justice | Justice | Justice | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Kempsville | Kempsville | ||
| Kettle Run | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | ||
| Landstown | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Liberty Bealeton | |
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Massaponax | Massaponax | tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) | Massaponax | |
| Matoaca | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Mechanicsville | Mechanicsville | ||
| Menchville LC | Menchville LC | Menchville LC | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | Meridian | ||
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Mount Vernon | Mount Vernon | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Ocean Lakes | Ocean Lakes | ||
| Orange County | Orange County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orange County | |
| Osbourn | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Osbourn Park | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Park View | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Patrick Henry Ashla | |
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Patriot | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Powhatan | Powhatan | Powhatan | ||
| Princess Anne | Princess Anne | Princess Anne | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | Riverbend | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Rock Ridge | Rock Ridge | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Stafford | Stafford | ||
| Steward School | Steward School | Steward School | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Tandem Friends | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Thomas Dale | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Unity Reed | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Veritas School | Veritas School | Veritas School | ||
| Virginia Academy | Virginia Academy | Virginia Academy | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | ||
| Wakefield School | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Woodbridge | Woodbridge | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | North Stafford | North Stafford | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 23
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Brooke Point (12- 4, 83.7) 0-15 -16.16 18.84 0.61 1.07 -16.68
0 A Riverbend ( 8- 9, 80.5) 6-20 -19.39 15.61 0.61 1.07 -20.15
0 H Stafford ( 8- 7, 80.2) 3-15 -19.72 15.28 -0.61 1.07 -21.81
0 H Massaponax ( 2-13, 75.0) 5- 3 -24.88 10.12 -0.61 1.07 10.20
0 A Mountain View (10-10, 81.6) 1-15 -18.31 16.70 0.61 1.07 -18.98
0 H Colonial Forge (14- 2, 84.4) 2-15 -15.55 19.46 -0.61 1.07 -17.33
0 H Brooke Point (12- 4, 83.7) 1-15 -16.16 18.84 -0.61 1.07 -17.99
0 H Riverbend ( 8- 9, 80.5) 0- 9 -19.39 15.61 -0.61 1.07 -21.45
0 A Stafford ( 8- 7, 80.2) 4-11 -19.72 15.28 0.61 1.07 -20.50
0 A Massaponax ( 2-13, 75.0) 2- 6 -24.88 10.12 0.61 1.07 -26.03
0 H Mountain View (10-10, 81.6) 1-12 -18.31 16.70 -0.61 1.07 -20.29
0 A Colonial Forge (14- 2, 84.4) 3-10 -15.55 19.46 0.61 1.07 -16.02
0 A Brooke Point (12- 4, 83.7) 1-20 -16.16 18.84 0.61 1.07 -16.68
------
-223.72
|
winning pts = 10.2035 losing points = -233.9197
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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