safe3step boys Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 1

  
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac  
W-L: ( 8- 8)  PR =    85.9228
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 318 A Cox                                  (11- 6, 81.3)    13- 6   
 321 H Covenant School                      ( 9- 7, 86.6)    14- 8   
 322 A Kellam                               (16- 3, 87.2)    11-12   
 325 H Norfolk Collegiate                   ( 6- 9, 81.2)    17- 5   
 331 A Norfolk Christian                    ( 7-10, 80.9)    18- 7   
 404 A Norfolk Academy                      (13- 6, 93.5)     6-17   
 408 H North Cross School                   (11- 7, 88.5)    10-11   
 410 A Catholic HS                          (12- 7, 92.7)     8-16   
 417 H Cape Henry Collegiat                 (11- 6, 87.9)    10-12   
 422 A Norfolk Collegiate                   ( 6- 9, 81.2)    15- 4   
 428 H Steward School                       ( 1-10, 74.3)    15- 4   
 502 H Virginia Episcopal S                 ( 5- 9, 83.5)    10-17   
 505 H Norfolk Christian                    ( 7-10, 80.9)    17- 7   
 506 A Norfolk Academy                      (13- 6, 93.5)     5-15   
 512 H Virginia Episcopal S                 ( 5- 9, 83.5)    19- 7   
 517 A Covenant School                      ( 9- 7, 86.6)     7-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Cox                    13- 6       7     4           0.98
   321 H Covenant School        14- 8       6     0    ++     5.06
   322 A Kellam                 11-12      -1    -2           0.93
   325 H Norfolk Collegiate     17- 5      12     5           0.00
   331 A Norfolk Christian      18- 7      11     4           0.61
   404 A Norfolk Academy         6-17     -11    -8           0.00
   408 H North Cross School     10-11      -1    -2           0.94
   410 A Catholic HS             8-16      -8    -7           0.00
   417 H Cape Henry Collegiat   10-12      -2    -1          -0.60
   422 A Norfolk Collegiate     15- 4      11     4           0.88
   428 H Steward School         15- 4      11    12           0.00
   502 H Virginia Episcopal S   10-17      -7     3    ---   -8.03
   505 H Norfolk Christian      17- 7      10     6           0.00
   506 A Norfolk Academy         5-15     -10    -8           0.00
   512 H Virginia Episcopal S   19- 7      12     3           1.97
   517 A Covenant School         7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Virginia Episcopal S   10-17      -7     3    ---   -8.03
   517 A Covenant School         7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Covenant School        14- 8       6     0    ++     5.06

Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Albemarle	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Alexandria City	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Annandale	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Atlee	Atlee			Atlee
Battlefield	Battlefield			Battlefield
Bayside	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Benedictine	Benedictine		insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3)	Benedictine
Bishop Ireton	Bishop Ireton		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell	Bishop OConnell		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Blue Ridge School	Blue Ridge School		Blue Ridge School 4- 0 vs 2- 4
Brentsville	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Briar Woods	Briar Woods			Briar Woods
Broad Run	Broad Run			Broad Run
Brooke Point	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Cape Henry Collegiat	Cape Henry Collegiat	Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS	Catholic HS	Catholic HS
Cave Spring	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Centreville	Centreville			Centreville
Chantilly	Chantilly			Chantilly
Charlottesville	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Christchurch	Christchurch		Christchurch 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Christiansburg	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Clover Hill	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Colgan	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Collegiate School	Collegiate School		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Collegiate School
Colonial Forge	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Cosby	Cosby			Cosby
Covenant School	Covenant School		tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1)	Covenant School
Cox	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Culpeper County	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Deep Run	Deep Run			Deep Run
Dominion	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Douglas Freeman	Douglas Freeman		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Douglas Freeman
Eastern View	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
EC Glass	EC Glass		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0)	EC Glass
Edison	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Episcopal	Episcopal			Episcopal
Eukarya Christian	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Fairfax	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Falls Church	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Fauquier	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
First Colonial	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 2- 2 vs 0- 4
Fishburne Military A	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Flint Hill	Flint Hill		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0)	Flint Hill
Fluvanna County	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Forest Park	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Fork Union Military	Fork Union Military		tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 0)	Fork Union Military
Franklin County	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Fredericksburg Acade	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Fredericksburg Chris	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Freedom South Ridin	Freedom South Ridin			Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Gainesville	Gainesville			Gainesville
Gar-field	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Glen Allen	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Goochland	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Grafton LC	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Grassfield LC	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Green Run	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Handley	Handley			Handley
Hanover	Hanover			Hanover
Hayfield	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Heritage Leesburg	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Herndon	Herndon			Herndon
Hickory LC	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Hidden Valley	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Highland School	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Highland Springs	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Hylton	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Independence	Independence		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Independence
James Monroe	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
James River	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Jamestown LC	Jamestown LC			Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest	Jefferson Forest		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Jefferson Forest
John Champe	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Justice	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Kellam	Kellam	Kellam
Kempsville	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 3- 2 vs 0- 5
Kettle Run	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Lafayette LC	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Lake Braddock	Lake Braddock			Lake Braddock
Landstown	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 2- 2 vs 0- 4
Langley	Langley			Langley
Lewis	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Liberty Bealeton	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Lightridge	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Lloyd C Bird	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Lord Botetourt	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Loudoun County	Loudoun County			Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Madison	Madison			Madison
Manchester	Manchester			Manchester
Marshall	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Massaponax	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Matoaca	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Maury LC	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
McLean	McLean			McLean
Mechanicsville	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Menchville LC	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Meridian	Meridian			Meridian
Midlothian	Midlothian		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Midlothian
Mills Godwin	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Monacan	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Monticello	Monticello			Monticello
Mount Vernon	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Mountain View	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 2- 3 vs 0- 3
Norfolk Academy	Norfolk Academy	Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Norfolk Collegiate	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
North Cross School	North Cross School	North Cross School
North Stafford	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Northern VA Home Sch	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Oakton	Oakton			Oakton
Ocean Lakes	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 3- 2 vs 1- 4
Orange County	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Osbourn	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Osbourn Park	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Park View	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Patrick Henry Ashla	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Patrick Henry Roano	Patrick Henry Roano			Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot	Patriot			Patriot
Paul VI	Paul VI			Paul VI
Potomac Falls	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Potomac School	Potomac School		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Powhatan	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Princess Anne	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Riverbend	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Riverside	Riverside			Riverside
Robinson	Robinson			Robinson
Rock Ridge	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Rockbridge County	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Rockingham LC	Rockingham LC			Rockingham LC
Salem	Salem		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Salem
Salem Virginia Beach	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Seton School	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
South County	South County			South County
South Lakes	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
St Annes-Belfield	St Annes-Belfield		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers	St Christophers		St Christophers 2- 0 vs 0- 2
St John Paul the Gre	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
St Stephen-St Agnes	St Stephen-St Agnes		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Steward School	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Stone Bridge	Stone Bridge			Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Tabb LC	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Tallwood	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Tandem Friends	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Thomas Dale	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Thomas Jefferson	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Trinity Christian	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 2)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Trinity Episcopal	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 2- 4 vs 0- 4
Trinity Meadow View	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Tuscarora	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Unity Reed	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Veritas School	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 3- 1 vs 1- 2
Virginia Academy	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Virginia Episcopal S	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac		insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2)	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Wakefield HS	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Wakefield School	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Washington-Liberty	Washington-Liberty			Washington-Liberty
West Potomac	West Potomac			West Potomac
West Springfield	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Western Albemarle	Western Albemarle			Western Albemarle
Westfield	Westfield			Westfield
William Byrd	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
William Fleming	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Woodberry Forest	Woodberry Forest		Woodberry Forest 3- 1 vs 0- 4
Woodbridge	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Woodgrove	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Woodson	Woodson			Woodson
York LC	Nansemond-Suffolk Ac			Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Yorktown	Yorktown			Yorktown

PowerWise = 113

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Cox             (11- 6, 81.3)    13- 6      -18.61      16.39       0.61         0.87            14.82
   0 H Covenant Schoo  ( 9- 7, 86.6)    14- 8      -13.31      21.70      -0.61         0.87            18.38
   0 A Kellam          (16- 3, 87.2)    11-12      -12.65      22.35       0.61         0.87           -10.50
   0 H Norfolk Colleg  ( 6- 9, 81.2)    17- 5      -18.70      16.30      -0.61         0.87            13.67
   0 A Norfolk Christ  ( 7-10, 80.9)    18- 7      -18.97      16.03       0.61         0.87            14.50
   0 A Norfolk Academ  (13- 6, 93.5)     6-17       -6.42      28.58       0.61         0.87            -5.07
   0 H North Cross Sc  (11- 7, 88.5)    10-11      -11.43      23.57      -0.61         0.87           -10.49
   0 A Catholic HS     (12- 7, 92.7)     8-16       -7.21      27.79       0.61         0.87            -5.76
   0 H Cape Henry Col  (11- 6, 87.9)    10-12      -11.96      23.04      -0.61         0.87           -10.96
   0 A Norfolk Colleg  ( 6- 9, 81.2)    15- 4      -18.70      16.30       0.61         0.87            14.73
   0 H Steward School  ( 1-10, 74.3)    15- 4      -25.62       9.38      -0.61         0.87             7.65
   0 H Virginia Episc  ( 5- 9, 83.5)    10-17      -16.40      18.60      -0.61         0.87           -14.82
   0 H Norfolk Christ  ( 7-10, 80.9)    17- 7      -18.97      16.03      -0.61         0.87            13.44
   0 A Norfolk Academ  (13- 6, 93.5)     5-15       -6.42      28.58       0.61         0.87            -5.07
   0 H Virginia Episc  ( 5- 9, 83.5)    19- 7      -16.40      18.60      -0.61         0.87            15.68
   0 A Covenant Schoo  ( 9- 7, 86.6)     7-11      -13.31      21.70       0.61         0.87           -11.06
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        39.14

winning pts = 112.8658 losing points = -73.7219

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------