---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys Novi 1
  
Novi                  
W-L: ( 0-16) PR = 78.6425

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Grosse Pointe South (12- 7, 86.0) 3-19 322 A Ann Arbor Father Gab (14- 4, 87.0) 2-17 409 H Plymouth ( 7- 8, 83.8) 1-12 414 H Hartland (15- 6, 92.1) 1-24 416 A Salem ( 5-12, 82.4) 3-12 421 H Livonia United (10- 6, 87.0) 4-15 423 A Canton ( 3-12, 81.0) 6-16 428 H Belleville (11- 8, 81.6) 0- 8 430 A Howell (11- 6, 85.7) 4-16 502 H Saline (10- 6, 86.0) 1- 6 505 H Brighton (15- 5, 92.4) 1-24 507 A Northville ( 7-12, 84.0) 6-14 509 H Walled Lake Northern (12- 4, 86.7) 0-17 512 A Belleville (11- 8, 81.6) 6- 7 513 H White Lake Lakeland ( 7- 8, 82.6) 9-11 515 A South Lyon Unified (14- 5, 88.6) 0-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Grosse Pointe South     3-19     -16    -8           0.00
   322 A Ann Arbor Father Gab    2-17     -15    -9           0.00
   409 H Plymouth                1-12     -11    -5          -0.38
   414 H Hartland                1-24     -23   -13           0.00
   416 A Salem                   3-12      -9    -4          -0.77
   421 H Livonia United          4-15     -11    -8           0.00
   423 A Canton                  6-16     -10    -3    -     -2.12
   428 H Belleville              0- 8      -8    -2    -     -2.53
   430 A Howell                  4-16     -12    -8           0.00
   502 H Saline                  1- 6      -5    -7           0.00
   505 H Brighton                1-24     -23   -13           0.00
   507 A Northville              6-14      -8    -6           0.00
   509 H Walled Lake Northern    0-17     -17    -8           0.00
   512 A Belleville              6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.47
   513 H White Lake Lakeland     9-11      -2    -3           1.47
   515 A South Lyon Unified      0-14     -14   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Canton                  6-16     -10    -3    -     -2.12
   428 H Belleville              0- 8      -8    -2    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Belleville              6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.47

Novi Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
Anchor Bay Anchor Bay tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Anchor Bay
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab  
Ann Arbor Greenhills Novi   Novi
Ann Arbor Huron Novi tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Novi
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) Ann Arbor Skyline
Bay City Central Bay City Central   Bay City Central
Bay City John Glenn Novi   Novi
Bay City Western Bay City Western   Bay City Western
Bedford Bedford Bedford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Belleville Belleville Belleville  
Birmingham United Birmingham United insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton Brighton  
Brighton B Brighton B Brighton B   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Brother Rice Brother Rice insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Cadillac Novi   Novi
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Canton Canton  
Cass Tech Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
Chelsea Novi tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Novi
Chippewa Valley Novi   Novi
Clarkston Clarkston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville   Coopersville
Cranbrook Cranbrook Cranbrook   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dakota Dakota insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dakota
Davison Novi   Novi
De La Salle De La Salle tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   3- 0 vs 0- 3
DeWitt DeWitt tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) DeWitt
Dexter Dexter Dexter   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Divine Child Divine Child Divine Child   3- 2 vs 0- 5
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   2- 0 vs 0- 2
East Kentwood Novi   Novi
East Lansing East Lansing insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Lansing
Farmington Novi tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Novi
Fenton Fenton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Fenton
Flint Powers Flint Powers tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Flint Powers
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern   Forest Hills Eastern
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   Forest Hills Norther
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Goodrich/Lake Fenton   Goodrich/Lake Fenton
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi   Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi   Grand Rapids Christi
Grandville Grandville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grandville
Grosse Ile Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
Grosse Pointe North Novi   Novi
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South  
Harper Creek Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Hartland Hartland Hartland  
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Haslett-Williamston
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian   Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt Holt   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Howell Howell Howell  
Hudsonville Hudsonville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hudsonville
Jackson Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
Jenison Jenison   Jenison
Kalamazoo United Novi   Novi
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   Kenowa Hills
L'Anse Creuse Novi   Novi
L'Anse Creuse North L'Anse Creuse North tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) L'Anse Creuse North
Lake Orion Lake Orion insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lake Orion
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview   Lakeview
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
Lincoln Ypsilanti Novi tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Novi
Linden Linden   Linden
Livonia United Livonia United Livonia United  
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Midland Novi   Novi
Midland Dow Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville Northville  
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Notre Dame Prep
Okemos Okemos   Okemos
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Ortonville Brandon Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
Oxford Oxford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Oxford
Pennfield Novi   Novi
Petoskey Petoskey   Petoskey
Pinckney Novi   Novi
Plymouth Plymouth Plymouth  
Port Huron United Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
Portage Central Portage Central   Portage Central
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Reeths Puffer   Reeths Puffer
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS   Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford Rockford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Romeo Romeo insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Romeo
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS   3- 4 vs 0- 7
Royal Oak Shrine Royal Oak Shrine tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Royal Oak Shrine
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Saginaw Heritage
Salem Salem Salem  
Saline Saline Saline  
Sault Area Novi   Novi
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified  
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Clair Novi   Novi
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Novi   Novi
St Mary Catholic Cen Novi   Novi
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Tecumseh Tecumseh tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Tecumseh
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West   Traverse City West
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Troy Athens
University Detroit J University Detroit J tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) University Detroit J
University Liggett University Liggett insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg   Vicksburg
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern  
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Waterford United tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Waterford United
West Bloomfield Novi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Novi
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland  
Zeeland Zeeland   Zeeland

PowerWise = 30


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Grosse Pointe   (12- 7, 86.0)     3-19      -13.88      18.43       0.50         1.00           -13.43
   0 A Ann Arbor Fath  (14- 4, 87.0)     2-17      -12.95      19.36       0.50         1.00           -12.50
   0 H Plymouth        ( 7- 8, 83.8)     1-12      -16.14      16.17      -0.50         1.00           -16.70
   0 H Hartland        (15- 6, 92.1)     1-24       -7.84      24.47      -0.50         1.00            -8.37
   0 A Salem           ( 5-12, 82.4)     3-12      -17.53      14.79       0.50         1.00           -17.09
   0 H Livonia United  (10- 6, 87.0)     4-15      -12.85      19.46      -0.50         1.00           -13.40
   0 A Canton          ( 3-12, 81.0)     6-16      -18.88      13.44       0.50         1.00           -18.45
   0 H Belleville      (11- 8, 81.6)     0- 8      -18.29      14.02      -0.50         1.00           -18.86
   0 A Howell          (11- 6, 85.7)     4-16      -14.22      18.09       0.50         1.00           -13.78
   0 H Saline          (10- 6, 86.0)     1- 6      -13.89      18.42      -0.50         1.00           -14.44
   0 H Brighton        (15- 5, 92.4)     1-24       -7.53      24.78      -0.50         1.00            -8.06
   0 A Northville      ( 7-12, 84.0)     6-14      -15.87      16.44       0.50         1.00           -15.43
   0 H Walled Lake No  (12- 4, 86.7)     0-17      -13.20      19.12      -0.50         1.00           -13.74
   0 A Belleville      (11- 8, 81.6)     6- 7      -18.29      14.02       0.50         1.00           -17.86
   0 H White Lake Lak  ( 7- 8, 82.6)     9-11      -17.29      15.02      -0.50         1.00           -17.86
   0 A South Lyon Uni  (14- 5, 88.6)     0-14      -11.34      20.97       0.50         1.00           -10.88
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -230.84

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -230.8410

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------