Novato
W-L: (12- 8) PR = 83.7402Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Sonoma Valley ( 4-10, 75.6) 18- 5 227 H Windsor ( 4-12, 72.5) 20- 0 304 H Cardinal Newman (18- 3, 85.6) 10- 9 306 A Casa Grande ( 8- 9, 82.3) 7-11 308 A Miramonte ( 9- 8, 81.8) 5- 8 318 A Rancho Cotate (14- 3, 83.4) 7-10 320 H Terra Linda (10-10, 83.2) 6- 5 325 H Marin Catholic (19- 3, 97.8) 5-26 327 A San Marin (10-10, 83.9) 8- 4 331 A Tamalpais (16- 7, 92.4) 5-20 401 A Branson ( 2-14, 73.8) 15- 4 415 H San Rafael ( 4- 8, 73.3) 17- 3 417 A University SF (14-10, 84.9) 9- 7 418 H Sonoma Academy ( 9- 6, 79.6) 12- 5 422 A Redwood (13-10, 91.7) 3-19 424 H Archie Williams ( 3-11, 72.2) 20- 1 425 H Piedmont ( 4-11, 79.6) 14- 9 429 H Terra Linda (10-10, 83.2) 11- 9 501 A Marin Catholic (19- 3, 97.8) 4-21 506 A Marin Catholic (19- 3, 97.8) 7-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H Sonoma Valley 18- 5 13 8 0.00
227 H Windsor 20- 0 20 12 0.00
304 H Cardinal Newman 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.48
306 A Casa Grande 7-11 -4 1 -- -5.10
308 A Miramonte 5- 8 -3 2 -- -4.58
318 A Rancho Cotate 7-10 -3 0 - -2.99
320 H Terra Linda 6- 5 1 1 0.09
325 H Marin Catholic 5-26 -21 -14 0.00
327 A San Marin 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.52
331 A Tamalpais 5-20 -15 -9 0.00
401 A Branson 15- 4 11 10 0.00
415 H San Rafael 17- 3 14 11 0.00
417 A University SF 9- 7 2 -2 + 3.52
418 H Sonoma Academy 12- 5 7 5 0.47
422 A Redwood 3-19 -16 -8 0.00
424 H Archie Williams 20- 1 19 12 0.00
425 H Piedmont 14- 9 5 4 0.53
429 H Terra Linda 11- 9 2 1 1.09
501 A Marin Catholic 4-21 -17 -14 0.00
506 A Marin Catholic 7-21 -14 -14 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Casa Grande 7-11 -4 1 -- -5.10 308 A Miramonte 5- 8 -3 2 -- -4.58 318 A Rancho Cotate 7-10 -3 0 - -2.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A San Marin 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.52 304 H Cardinal Newman 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.48 417 A University SF 9- 7 2 -2 + 3.52 |
Novato Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acalanes | Acalanes | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Acalanes | |
| Alhambra | Novato | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Novato | |
| Amador Valley | Novato | Novato 3- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Archie Williams | Novato | Novato | ||
| Bay School | Novato | Novato 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bentley School | Novato | Novato | ||
| Berean Christian | Novato | Novato | ||
| Berkeley | Berkeley | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) | Berkeley | |
| Bishop ODowd | Novato | Novato 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Branson | Novato | Novato | ||
| California | Novato | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novato | |
| Campolindo | Campolindo | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Campolindo | |
| Cardinal Newman | Novato | Novato | ||
| Casa Grande | Casa Grande | Casa Grande | ||
| Clayton Valley Chart | Novato | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Novato | |
| College Park | Novato | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Novato | |
| De LaSalle | De LaSalle | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | De LaSalle | |
| Dougherty Valley | Novato | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Novato | |
| Drew | Novato | Novato | ||
| Dublin | Novato | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Novato | |
| Foothill Pleasanton | Novato | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Novato | |
| George Washington SF | Novato | Novato | ||
| Granada | Granada | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Granada | |
| Head-Royce | Novato | Novato | ||
| Justin Siena | Justin Siena | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) | Justin Siena | |
| Las Lomas | Novato | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novato | |
| Lick Wilmerding | Novato | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Novato | |
| Livermore | Novato | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novato | |
| Lowell | Novato | Novato 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Marin Academy | Marin Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 3) | Marin Academy | |
| Marin Catholic | Marin Catholic | Marin Catholic | ||
| Miramonte | Miramonte | Miramonte | ||
| Monte Vista Danville | Monte Vista Danville | Monte Vista Danville 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Moreau Catholic | Novato | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Novato | |
| Napa | Novato | Novato 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Newark Memorial | Novato | Novato | ||
| Northgate | Novato | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Novato | |
| Petaluma | Novato | Novato 7- 1 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Piedmont | Novato | Novato | ||
| Rancho Cotate | Rancho Cotate | Rancho Cotate | ||
| Redwood | Redwood | Redwood | ||
| San Marin | Novato | Novato | ||
| San Rafael | Novato | Novato | ||
| San Ramon Valley | San Ramon Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | San Ramon Valley | |
| Sonoma Academy | Novato | Novato | ||
| Sonoma Valley | Novato | Novato | ||
| St Vincent de Paul | Novato | Novato | ||
| Stuart Hall | Novato | Novato 7- 0 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Tamalpais | Tamalpais | Tamalpais | ||
| Terra Linda | Novato | Novato | ||
| University SF | Novato | Novato | ||
| Urban School | Novato | Novato 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Vintage | Novato | Novato 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Washington Fremont | Novato | Novato 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Windsor | Novato | Novato | ||
| Birmingham Charter | Novato | Novato | ||
| El Camino Real Chart | Novato | Novato | ||
| North Valley Militar | Novato | Novato | ||
| Palisades Charter | Novato | Novato | ||
| University Los Angel | Novato | Novato | ||
| Aptos | Novato | Novato | ||
| Aragon | Novato | Novato | ||
| Archbishop Mitty | Archbishop Mitty | Archbishop Mitty | ||
| Archbishop Riordan | Novato | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Novato | |
| Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep | Bellarmine Prep | ||
| Burlingame | Novato | Novato | ||
| Carlmont | Novato | Novato | ||
| Carmel | Novato | Novato | ||
| Christopher | Novato | Novato | ||
| Gunn | Novato | Novato | ||
| Harbor | Novato | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Novato | |
| Hillsdale | Novato | Novato | ||
| Hollister-San Benito | Novato | Novato | ||
| Latino College Prep | Novato | Novato | ||
| Leland | Novato | Novato | ||
| Live Oak | Novato | Novato | ||
| Los Altos | Novato | Novato | ||
| Los Gatos | Los Gatos | Los Gatos | ||
| Menlo School | Menlo School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Menlo School | |
| Menlo-Atherton | Menlo-Atherton | Menlo-Atherton | ||
| Monte Vista Christia | Novato | Novato | ||
| Monterey | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mountain View | Novato | Novato | ||
| Pacific Grove | Novato | Novato | ||
| Palma | Novato | Novato | ||
| Palo Alto | Novato | Novato | ||
| Pioneer | Novato | Novato | ||
| Priory | Novato | Novato | ||
| Sacred Heart Cathedr | Novato | Novato 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Sacred Heart Prep | Sacred Heart Prep | Sacred Heart Prep 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Salinas | Novato | Novato | ||
| Santa Cruz | Novato | Novato | ||
| Saratoga | Novato | Novato | ||
| Scotts Valley | Novato | Novato | ||
| Sequoia | Novato | Novato | ||
| Serra San Mateo | Serra San Mateo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Serra San Mateo | |
| Sobrato | Novato | Novato | ||
| Soquel | Novato | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Novato | |
| St Francis-Mtn View | St Francis-Mtn View | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | St Francis-Mtn View | |
| St Ignatius Prep | St Ignatius Prep | St Ignatius Prep 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stevenson School | Stevenson School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stevenson School | |
| Valley Christian | Novato | Novato | ||
| Woodside | Novato | Novato | ||
| Agoura | Novato | Novato | ||
| Aliso Niguel | Aliso Niguel | Aliso Niguel | ||
| Beckman | Novato | Novato | ||
| Beverly Hills | Novato | Novato | ||
| Brentwood School | Novato | Novato | ||
| Calabasas | Novato | Novato | ||
| Canyon | Canyon | Canyon | ||
| Capistrano Valley | Novato | Novato | ||
| Castaic | Novato | Novato | ||
| Cate School | Novato | Novato | ||
| Centennial | Novato | Novato | ||
| Chaminade Prep | Novato | Novato | ||
| Chaparral | Novato | Novato | ||
| Compton | Novato | Novato | ||
| Corona | Novato | Novato | ||
| Corona Del Mar | Corona Del Mar | Corona Del Mar | ||
| Crean Lutheran | Crean Lutheran | Crean Lutheran | ||
| Crescenta Valley | Novato | Novato | ||
| Crespi | Crespi | Crespi | ||
| Culver City | Novato | Novato | ||
| Damien | Novato | Novato | ||
| Dana Hills | Novato | Novato | ||
| Dos Pueblos | Dos Pueblos | Dos Pueblos | ||
| Downey | Novato | Novato | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| El Dorado | El Dorado | El Dorado | ||
| El Modena | Novato | Novato | ||
| El Segundo | El Segundo | El Segundo | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Novato | Novato | ||
| Esperanza | Novato | Novato | ||
| Foothill Santa Ana | Foothill Santa Ana | Foothill Santa Ana | ||
| Glendale | Novato | Novato | ||
| Grace Brethren | Novato | Novato | ||
| Great Oak | Novato | Novato | ||
| Hart | Novato | Novato | ||
| Harvard-Westlake | Novato | Novato | ||
| Hemet | Novato | Novato | ||
| Heritage Christian | Novato | Novato | ||
| Heritage HS | Novato | Novato | ||
| Huntington Beach | Huntington Beach | Huntington Beach | ||
| Irvine | Novato | Novato | ||
| JSerra Catholic | JSerra Catholic | JSerra Catholic | ||
| King | Novato | Novato | ||
| La Canada | Novato | Novato | ||
| Laguna Hills | Novato | Novato | ||
| Lakewood | Novato | Novato | ||
| Liberty | Novato | Novato | ||
| Linfield Christian | Novato | Novato | ||
| Long Beach Poly | Novato | Novato | ||
| Los Alamitos | Los Alamitos | Los Alamitos | ||
| Loyola Los Angeles | Loyola Los Angeles | Loyola Los Angeles | ||
| Lynwood | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mater Dei Santa Ana | Mater Dei Santa Ana | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Mater Dei Santa Ana | |
| Millikan | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mira Costa | Mira Costa | Mira Costa | ||
| Mission Viejo | Novato | Novato | ||
| Murrieta Mesa | Novato | Novato | ||
| Murrieta Valley | Novato | Novato | ||
| Newbury Park | Novato | Novato | ||
| Newport Harbor | Novato | Novato | ||
| Norco | Novato | Novato | ||
| Northwood | Novato | Novato | ||
| Notre Dame Sherman | Novato | Novato | ||
| Oak Park | Oak Park | Oak Park | ||
| Oaks Christian | Oaks Christian | Oaks Christian | ||
| Orange Lutheran | Orange Lutheran | Orange Lutheran | ||
| Paloma Valley | Novato | Novato | ||
| Palos Verdes | Palos Verdes | Palos Verdes | ||
| Peninsula | Novato | Novato | ||
| Portola | Novato | Novato | ||
| Redondo Union | Novato | Novato | ||
| Riverside Poly | Novato | Novato | ||
| San Clemente | San Clemente | San Clemente | ||
| San Juan Hills | Novato | Novato | ||
| San Marcos SB | Novato | Novato | ||
| Santa Barbara | Novato | Novato | ||
| Santa Margarita Cath | Santa Margarita Cath | Santa Margarita Cath | ||
| Santa Monica | Santa Monica | Santa Monica | ||
| Santiago | Novato | Novato | ||
| Saugus | Saugus | Saugus | ||
| Segerstrom | Novato | Novato | ||
| Servite | Servite | Servite | ||
| Sierra Canyon | Sierra Canyon | Sierra Canyon | ||
| Simi Royal | Novato | Novato | ||
| Simi Valley | Novato | Novato | ||
| St Francis-La Canada | St Francis-La Canada | St Francis-La Canada | ||
| St John Bosco | St John Bosco | St John Bosco | ||
| St Margarets Episcop | St Margarets Episcop | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Margarets Episcop | |
| Temecula Valley | Novato | Novato | ||
| Tesoro | Tesoro | Tesoro | ||
| Thacher School | Novato | Novato | ||
| Trabuco Hills | Trabuco Hills | Trabuco Hills | ||
| University Irvine | Novato | Novato | ||
| Valencia Santa Clari | Novato | Novato | ||
| Viewpoint School | Novato | Novato | ||
| Village Christian | Village Christian | Village Christian | ||
| Vista Murrieta | Vista Murrieta | Vista Murrieta | ||
| West Ranch | Novato | Novato | ||
| Westlake | Westlake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Westlake | |
| Woodbridge | Novato | Novato | ||
| Woodrow Wilson | Novato | Novato | ||
| Yorba Linda | Novato | Novato | ||
| Army-Navy Academy | Novato | Novato | ||
| Bishops School | Bishops School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bishops School | |
| Bonita Vista | Novato | Novato | ||
| Canyon Crest | Novato | Novato | ||
| Canyon Hills | Novato | Novato | ||
| Carlsbad | Carlsbad | Carlsbad | ||
| Castle Park | Novato | Novato | ||
| Cathedral Catholic | Cathedral Catholic | Cathedral Catholic | ||
| Clairemont | Novato | Novato | ||
| Classical Academy | Novato | Novato | ||
| Coronado | Coronado | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Coronado | |
| Del Lago Academy | Novato | Novato | ||
| Del Norte | Del Norte | Del Norte | ||
| Eastlake | Novato | Novato | ||
| El Capitan | Novato | Novato | ||
| Fallbrook | Novato | Novato | ||
| Foothills Christian | Novato | Novato | ||
| Francis Parker | Novato | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Novato | |
| Granite Hills | Granite Hills | Granite Hills | ||
| Grossmont | Novato | Novato | ||
| Helix Charter | Novato | Novato | ||
| Hilltop | Novato | Novato | ||
| La Costa Canyon | La Costa Canyon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | La Costa Canyon | |
| La Jolla CDS | Novato | Novato | ||
| La Jolla HS | La Jolla HS | La Jolla HS | ||
| Lincoln San Diego | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mar Vista | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mater Dei Chula Vist | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mira Mesa | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mission Bay | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mission Hills | Novato | Novato | ||
| Monte Vista Spring V | Novato | Novato | ||
| Morse | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mt Carmel | Novato | Novato | ||
| Olympian | Novato | Novato | ||
| Otay Ranch | Novato | Novato | ||
| Pacific Ridge | Novato | Novato | ||
| Patrick Henry | Novato | Novato | ||
| Point Loma | Novato | Novato | ||
| Poway | Poway | Poway | ||
| Preuss School | Novato | Novato | ||
| Rancho Bernardo | Novato | Novato | ||
| Rancho Buena Vista | Novato | Novato | ||
| Sage Creek | Novato | Novato | ||
| San Diego | Novato | Novato | ||
| San Dieguito | San Dieguito | San Dieguito | ||
| San Marcos SD | San Marcos SD | San Marcos SD | ||
| San Ysidro | Novato | Novato | ||
| Santa Fe Christian | Santa Fe Christian | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Santa Fe Christian | |
| Santana | Santana | Santana | ||
| Scripps Ranch | Novato | Novato | ||
| St Augustine | St Augustine | St Augustine | ||
| Torrey Pines | Torrey Pines | Torrey Pines | ||
| University City | Novato | Novato | ||
| Valhalla | Novato | Novato | ||
| Valley Center | Novato | Novato | ||
| West Hills | Novato | Novato | ||
| Westview | Novato | Novato | ||
| Bear River | Novato | Novato | ||
| Bella Vista | Bella Vista | Bella Vista | ||
| Christian Brothers | Novato | Novato | ||
| Davis | Novato | Novato | ||
| Del Oro | Novato | Novato | ||
| Folsom | Novato | Novato | ||
| Granite Bay | Granite Bay | Granite Bay | ||
| Grant Union | Novato | Novato | ||
| Jesuit Sacramento | Jesuit Sacramento | Jesuit Sacramento | ||
| Lincoln Stockton | Novato | Novato | ||
| Lincoln Sacramento | Novato | Novato | ||
| Nevada Union | Novato | Novato | ||
| Oak Ridge | Oak Ridge | Oak Ridge | ||
| Oakmont | Novato | Novato | ||
| Rio Americano | Novato | Novato | ||
| Rocklin | Novato | Novato | ||
| Roseville | Novato | Novato | ||
| St Marys Stockton | Novato | Novato | ||
| Vista del Lago | Vista del Lago | Vista del Lago | ||
| West Park | Novato | Novato | ||
| Whitney | Whitney | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Whitney | |
| Woodcreek | Novato | Novato |
PowerWise = 205
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.63
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Sonoma Valley ( 4-10, 75.6) 18- 5 -24.25 15.89 -0.36 0.83 12.91
0 H Windsor ( 4-12, 72.5) 20- 0 -27.38 12.76 -0.36 0.83 10.31
0 H Cardinal Newma (18- 3, 85.6) 10- 9 -14.32 25.82 -0.36 0.83 21.17
0 A Casa Grande ( 8- 9, 82.3) 7-11 -17.62 22.52 0.36 0.83 -14.35
0 A Miramonte ( 9- 8, 81.8) 5- 8 -18.10 22.04 0.36 0.83 -14.75
0 A Rancho Cotate (14- 3, 83.4) 7-10 -16.51 23.63 0.36 0.83 -13.43
0 H Terra Linda (10-10, 83.2) 6- 5 -16.71 23.43 -0.36 0.83 19.18
0 H Marin Catholic (19- 3, 97.8) 5-26 -2.13 38.01 -0.36 0.83 -2.07
0 A San Marin (10-10, 83.9) 8- 4 -16.00 24.15 0.36 0.83 20.37
0 A Tamalpais (16- 7, 92.4) 5-20 -7.52 32.62 0.36 0.83 -5.96
0 A Branson ( 2-14, 73.8) 15- 4 -26.10 14.04 0.36 0.83 11.97
0 H San Rafael ( 4- 8, 73.3) 17- 3 -26.58 13.56 -0.36 0.83 10.98
0 A University SF (14-10, 84.9) 9- 7 -15.00 25.14 0.36 0.83 21.20
0 H Sonoma Academy ( 9- 6, 79.6) 12- 5 -20.33 19.81 -0.36 0.83 16.17
0 A Redwood (13-10, 91.7) 3-19 -8.21 31.93 0.36 0.83 -6.52
0 H Archie William ( 3-11, 72.2) 20- 1 -27.71 12.43 -0.36 0.83 10.04
0 H Piedmont ( 4-11, 79.6) 14- 9 -20.27 19.87 -0.36 0.83 16.22
0 H Terra Linda (10-10, 83.2) 11- 9 -16.71 23.43 -0.36 0.83 19.18
0 A Marin Catholic (19- 3, 97.8) 4-21 -2.13 38.01 0.36 0.83 -1.47
0 A Marin Catholic (19- 3, 97.8) 7-21 -2.13 38.01 0.36 0.83 -1.47
------
129.69
|
winning pts = 189.7030 losing points = -60.0178
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------