---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:56 PDT

safe3step boys Northern Calvert 1
  
Northern Calvert      
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 87.8394

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H DeMatha ( 9- 3, 95.3) 4-13 324 A North Point ( 5- 8, 78.0) 17- 2 327 A Lackey ( 0-12, 69.8) 18- 0 331 A Chopticon (10- 4, 84.1) 11- 4 404 H MJ McDonough ( 2-10, 74.2) 15- 0 407 A Leonardtown (14- 2, 88.2) 9-11 421 H Great Mills ( 5- 8, 79.6) 14- 1 429 A La Plata ( 6- 6, 82.9) 7- 5 430 A South River (11- 3, 91.5) 6- 9 501 H Calvert (10- 4, 82.3) 14- 7 502 H Westlake ( 1- 9, 71.5) 1- 0 508 H North Point ( 5- 8, 78.0) 21- 1 512 A Chopticon (10- 4, 84.1) 13- 5 514 A Linganore (13- 3, 87.6) 5- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H DeMatha                 4-13      -9    -7           0.00
   324 A North Point            17- 2      15     9           0.00
   327 A Lackey                 18- 0      18    18           0.00
   331 A Chopticon              11- 4       7     3           1.69
   404 H MJ McDonough           15- 0      15    14           0.00
   407 A Leonardtown             9-11      -2    -1          -1.15
   421 H Great Mills            14- 1      13     9           0.00
   429 A La Plata                7- 5       2     5    -     -2.54
   430 A South River             6- 9      -3    -4           1.08
   501 H Calvert                14- 7       7     6           0.00
   508 H North Point            21- 1      20    10           0.00
   512 A Chopticon              13- 5       8     3           1.69
   514 A Linganore               5- 6      -1     0          -0.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A La Plata                7- 5       2     5    -     -2.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Northern Calvert Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Bishop McNamara Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Concordia Prep Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Cristo Rey Jesuit Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
DeMatha DeMatha DeMatha  
FCA LC Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Friends Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Garrett County LC Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Georgetown Day Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Gonzaga Gonzaga tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Good Counsel
Gunston School Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Heights Heights tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Heights
Indian Creek School Northern Calvert insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Jemicy School Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Mount Carmel Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Salisbury School Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Sandy Spring Friends Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Severn School Severn School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Severn School
Sidwell Friends Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Worcester Prep Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Aberdeen Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Academy for College Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Annapolis Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Arundel Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northern Calvert
Atholton Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Baltimore Polytechni Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Bel Air Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Bladensburg Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Blair Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Blake Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Bohemia Manor Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Boonsboro Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Bowie Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Broadneck Broadneck insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Broadneck
Brunswick Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Calvert Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
Cambridge SD Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Carver A&T Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Catoctin Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Century Century insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Century
CH Flowers Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Chopticon Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
City College Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Clarksburg Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Crofton
Damascus Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Digital Harbor Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Dr Henry Wise Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Dulaney Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Dunbar Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Dundalk Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
DuVal Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Eastern Tech Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Easton Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Edgewood Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Edmondson-Westside Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Einstein Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Eleanor Roosevelt Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Elkton Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Fairmont Heights Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Fallston Fallston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fallston
Forest Park Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Francis Scott Key Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Franklin Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Frederick Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Frederick Douglass B Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Frederick Douglass P Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Friendly Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Gaithersburg Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Glen Burnie Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Great Mills Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
Guilford Park Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Gwynn Park Northern Calvert insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Hammond Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Harford Tech Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Havre De Grace Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Howard Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Huntingtown Huntingtown insuffient: ( 7- 1)( 8- 0) Huntingtown
JM Bennett Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Joppatowne Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Kennedy Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Kent County Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
La Plata Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
Lackey Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
Lake Clifton Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Lansdowne Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Laurel Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Leonardtown Leonardtown Leonardtown  
Liberty Northern Calvert tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northern Calvert
Linganore Linganore Linganore  
Loch Raven Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Long Reach Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Magruder Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Manchester Valley Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marriotts Ridge
Meade Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Mergenthaler Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Middletown Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Milford Mill Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
MJ McDonough Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
Mount Hebron Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
National Academy Fou Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
New Town Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
North Caroline Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
North County Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
North Dorchester Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
North East Cecil Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
North Hagerstown Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
North Harford Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
North Point Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
Northeast AA Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Northwest Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwestern PG Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwood Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Oakdale Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Oakland Mills Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Old Mill Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Overlea Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Owings Mills Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Oxon Hill Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Paint Branch Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Parkdale Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Parkside Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Parkville Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Patapsco Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Patterson HS Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Patterson Mill Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Patuxent Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   8- 1 vs 4- 5
Perry Hall Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Perryville Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Pikesville Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Poolesville Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Randallstown Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Reginald F Lewis Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Reservoir Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Richard Montgomery Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Rising Sun Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
River Hill Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Rockville Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Seneca Valley Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Severn Run Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
South Carroll Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
South Hagerstown Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
South River South River South River  
Southern AA Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northern Calvert
Sparrows Point Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Springbrook Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
St Charles Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Surrattsville Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Thomas Stone Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   7- 1 vs 3- 5
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Urbana
Walkersville Northern Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Calvert
Walt Whitman Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Walter Johnson Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Watkins Mill Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Western STES Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Westlake Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
Westminster Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Wheaton Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Wicomico Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Wilde Lake Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Winston Churchill Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Winters Mill Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Woodlawn Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Wootton Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Archbishop Carroll Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
DC International PCS Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Jackson Reed Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert

PowerWise = 176


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H DeMatha         ( 9- 3, 95.3)     4-13       -4.56      31.03      -0.45         0.87            -4.34
   0 A North Point     ( 5- 8, 78.0)    17- 2      -21.93      13.66       0.45         0.87            12.23
   0 A Lackey          ( 0-12, 69.8)    18- 0      -30.06       5.53       0.45         0.87             5.18
   0 A Chopticon       (10- 4, 84.1)    11- 4      -15.81      19.78       0.45         0.87            17.53
   0 H MJ McDonough    ( 2-10, 74.2)    15- 0      -25.74       9.85      -0.45         0.87             8.15
   0 A Leonardtown     (14- 2, 88.2)     9-11      -11.65      23.94       0.45         0.87            -9.71
   0 H Great Mills     ( 5- 8, 79.6)    14- 1      -20.27      15.32      -0.45         0.87            12.90
   0 A La Plata        ( 6- 6, 82.9)     7- 5      -17.04      18.55       0.45         0.87            16.47
   0 A South River     (11- 3, 91.5)     6- 9       -8.42      27.17       0.45         0.87            -6.91
   0 H Calvert         (10- 4, 82.3)    14- 7      -17.57      18.02      -0.45         0.87            15.24
   0 H Westlake        ( 1- 9, 71.5)     1- 0      -28.36       7.23      -0.45         0.87             5.88
   0 H North Point     ( 5- 8, 78.0)    21- 1      -21.93      13.66      -0.45         0.87            11.46
   0 A Chopticon       (10- 4, 84.1)    13- 5      -15.81      19.78       0.45         0.87            17.53
   0 A Linganore       (13- 3, 87.6)     5- 6      -12.27      23.32       0.45         0.87           -10.25
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        91.35

winning pts = 122.5678 losing points = -31.2181

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------