Northern Calvert
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 87.8394
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
321 H DeMatha ( 9- 3, 95.3) 4-13
324 A North Point ( 5- 8, 78.0) 17- 2
327 A Lackey ( 0-12, 69.8) 18- 0
331 A Chopticon (10- 4, 84.1) 11- 4
404 H MJ McDonough ( 2-10, 74.2) 15- 0
407 A Leonardtown (14- 2, 88.2) 9-11
421 H Great Mills ( 5- 8, 79.6) 14- 1
429 A La Plata ( 6- 6, 82.9) 7- 5
430 A South River (11- 3, 91.5) 6- 9
501 H Calvert (10- 4, 82.3) 14- 7
502 H Westlake ( 1- 9, 71.5) 1- 0
508 H North Point ( 5- 8, 78.0) 21- 1
512 A Chopticon (10- 4, 84.1) 13- 5
514 A Linganore (13- 3, 87.6) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H DeMatha 4-13 -9 -7 0.00
324 A North Point 17- 2 15 9 0.00
327 A Lackey 18- 0 18 18 0.00
331 A Chopticon 11- 4 7 3 1.69
404 H MJ McDonough 15- 0 15 14 0.00
407 A Leonardtown 9-11 -2 -1 -1.15
421 H Great Mills 14- 1 13 9 0.00
429 A La Plata 7- 5 2 5 - -2.54
430 A South River 6- 9 -3 -4 1.08
501 H Calvert 14- 7 7 6 0.00
508 H North Point 21- 1 20 10 0.00
512 A Chopticon 13- 5 8 3 1.69
514 A Linganore 5- 6 -1 0 -0.76
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
429 A La Plata 7- 5 2 5 - -2.54
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Northern Calvert Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Annapolis Area Chris |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
 
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
Beth TFiloh |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Bishop McNamara |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
Bullis |
Bullis |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Bullis |
Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
 
| Calvert Hall |
Chapelgate Christian |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Concordia Prep |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
DeMatha |
DeMatha |
DeMatha |
 
| |
FCA LC |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Friends |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Garrett County LC |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Georgetown Day |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
Gerstell Academy |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
Glenelg Country |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Gonzaga |
Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Good Counsel |
Gunston School |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Heights |
Heights |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Heights |
Indian Creek School |
Northern Calvert |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Jemicy School |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
Key School |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Maret |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
Mercersburg Academy |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Mount Carmel |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
Park School |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Salisbury School |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Sandy Spring Friends |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Severn School |
Severn School |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Severn School |
Sidwell Friends |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
St Andrews Episcopal |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
St James |
St James |
|
 
| St James |
St Johns Catholic Pr |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
St Johns College HS |
St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Marys Ryken |
St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
St Vincent Pallotti |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
|
 
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Tome School |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Worcester Prep |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Aberdeen |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Academy for College |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Annapolis |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Arundel |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Northern Calvert |
Atholton |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Baltimore Polytechni |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Bel Air |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Bladensburg |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Blair |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Blake |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Bohemia Manor |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Boonsboro |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Bowie |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Broadneck |
Brunswick |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
Cambridge SD |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Carver A&T |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Catoctin |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
 
| Catonsville |
Centennial |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Century |
Century |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Century |
CH Flowers |
Northern Calvert |
|
Northern Calvert   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake BC |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Chopticon |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
City College |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Clarksburg |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
 
| CM Wright |
Crofton |
Crofton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Crofton |
Damascus |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Digital Harbor |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Dr Henry Wise |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Dulaney |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Dunbar |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Dundalk |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
DuVal |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Eastern Tech |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Easton |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Edgewood |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Edmondson-Westside |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Einstein |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Eleanor Roosevelt |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Elkton |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Fairmont Heights |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Fallston |
Fallston |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fallston |
Forest Park |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Francis Scott Key |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Franklin |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Frederick |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Frederick Douglass B |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Frederick Douglass P |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Friendly |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Gaithersburg |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Glen Burnie |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
 
| Glenelg HS |
Gov Thomas Johnson |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Great Mills |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
Guilford Park |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Gwynn Park |
Northern Calvert |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Hammond |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Harford Tech |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Havre De Grace |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Hereford |
Hereford |
|
 
| Hereford |
High Point |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Howard |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
|
insuffient: ( 7- 1)( 8- 0) |
Huntingtown |
JM Bennett |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Joppatowne |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Kennedy |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Kent County |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
Kenwood |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
La Plata |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
Lackey |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
Lake Clifton |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Lansdowne |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Laurel |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
 
| |
Liberty |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Northern Calvert |
Linganore |
Linganore |
Linganore |
 
| |
Loch Raven |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Long Reach |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Magruder |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Manchester Valley |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Marriotts Ridge |
Meade |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Mergenthaler |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Middletown |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Milford Mill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
MJ McDonough |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
Mount Hebron |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
National Academy Fou |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
New Town |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
North Caroline |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
North County |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
North Dorchester |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
North East Cecil |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
North Hagerstown |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
North Harford |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
North Point |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
Northeast AA |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Northwest |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Northwestern PG |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Northwood |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Oakdale |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Oakland Mills |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Old Mill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Overlea |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Owings Mills |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Oxon Hill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Paint Branch |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Parkdale |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Parkside |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Parkville |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Patapsco |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Patterson HS |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Patterson Mill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Patuxent |
Northern Calvert |
|
Northern Calvert   8- 1 vs 4- 5 |
|
Perry Hall |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Perryville |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Pikesville |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Poolesville |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
 
| Queen Annes County |
Quince Orchard |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Randallstown |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Reginald F Lewis |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Reservoir |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Richard Montgomery |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Rising Sun |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
River Hill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Rockville |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Seneca Valley |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Severn Run |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
Severna Park   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
 
| Sherwood |
Smithsburg |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
South Carroll |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
South Hagerstown |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
South River |
South River |
South River |
 
| |
Southern AA |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Northern Calvert |
Sparrows Point |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Springbrook |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
St Charles |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
 
| Stephen Decatur |
Suitland |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Surrattsville |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Thomas Stone |
Northern Calvert |
|
Northern Calvert   7- 1 vs 3- 5 |
|
Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
Tuscarora |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Urbana |
Urbana |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Urbana |
Walkersville |
Northern Calvert |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Northern Calvert |
Walt Whitman |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Walter Johnson |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Watkins Mill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Western STES |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Westlake |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
Westminster |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Wheaton |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Wicomico |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Wilde Lake |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Winston Churchill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Winters Mill |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Woodlawn |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Wootton |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Archbishop Carroll |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
DC International PCS |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
Jackson Reed |
Northern Calvert |
|
 
| Northern Calvert |
PowerWise = 176

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H DeMatha ( 9- 3, 95.3) 4-13 -4.56 31.03 -0.45 0.87 -4.34
0 A North Point ( 5- 8, 78.0) 17- 2 -21.93 13.66 0.45 0.87 12.23
0 A Lackey ( 0-12, 69.8) 18- 0 -30.06 5.53 0.45 0.87 5.18
0 A Chopticon (10- 4, 84.1) 11- 4 -15.81 19.78 0.45 0.87 17.53
0 H MJ McDonough ( 2-10, 74.2) 15- 0 -25.74 9.85 -0.45 0.87 8.15
0 A Leonardtown (14- 2, 88.2) 9-11 -11.65 23.94 0.45 0.87 -9.71
0 H Great Mills ( 5- 8, 79.6) 14- 1 -20.27 15.32 -0.45 0.87 12.90
0 A La Plata ( 6- 6, 82.9) 7- 5 -17.04 18.55 0.45 0.87 16.47
0 A South River (11- 3, 91.5) 6- 9 -8.42 27.17 0.45 0.87 -6.91
0 H Calvert (10- 4, 82.3) 14- 7 -17.57 18.02 -0.45 0.87 15.24
0 H Westlake ( 1- 9, 71.5) 1- 0 -28.36 7.23 -0.45 0.87 5.88
0 H North Point ( 5- 8, 78.0) 21- 1 -21.93 13.66 -0.45 0.87 11.46
0 A Chopticon (10- 4, 84.1) 13- 5 -15.81 19.78 0.45 0.87 17.53
0 A Linganore (13- 3, 87.6) 5- 6 -12.27 23.32 0.45 0.87 -10.25
------
91.35
|
winning pts = 122.5678 losing points = -31.2181
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------