safe3step boys North Penn 1

  
North Penn            
W-L: (11- 7)  PR =    86.6375
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 321 A Springfield Twp                      ( 2-15, 77.7)    15- 0   
 326 H Pennridge                            (17- 6, 90.2)     2-10   
 401 A Hatboro-Horsham                      (12- 7, 82.3)    11- 4   
 402 A Neshaminy                            ( 3-15, 79.1)    15- 6   
 404 H Central Bucks West                   ( 7-10, 86.7)    13- 5   
 407 H Souderton                            (17- 4, 89.9)     6-11   
 409 A Central Bucks South                  ( 8-10, 86.4)     6- 7   
 414 A Central Bucks East                   (14- 6, 88.7)     2- 5   
 415 H West Chester Henders                 ( 8-10, 86.6)     5- 4   
 422 A Pennsbury                            ( 8- 5, 87.2)     4- 8   
 428 H Council Rock South                   (11- 8, 86.0)     9- 8   
 430 A Council Rock North                   ( 6- 8, 84.6)     9- 3   
 502 H Pope John Paul II                    ( 9- 8, 85.2)     8- 4   
 505 H Crestwood                            (13- 5, 85.7)     6- 5   
 507 A Truman                               ( 0- 9, 72.9)     1- 0   
 508 H Haverford HS                         (13- 7, 89.5)     4- 6   
 509 H Abington Heights                     (12- 6, 83.8)     6- 5   
 513 H Conestoga                            (11- 9, 90.0)     2- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Springfield Twp        15- 0      15     9           0.00
   326 H Pennridge               2-10      -8    -3          -1.65
   401 A Hatboro-Horsham        11- 4       7     4           0.88
   402 A Neshaminy              15- 6       9     7           0.00
   404 H Central Bucks West     13- 5       8     0    ++     4.82
   407 H Souderton               6-11      -5    -3          -1.99
   409 A Central Bucks South     6- 7      -1     0          -1.04
   414 A Central Bucks East      2- 5      -3    -2          -0.77
   415 H West Chester Henders    5- 4       1     0           0.79
   422 A Pennsbury               4- 8      -4    -1    -     -3.20
   428 H Council Rock South      9- 8       1     1           0.17
   430 A Council Rock North      9- 3       6     2    +      3.14
   502 H Pope John Paul II       8- 4       4     2    +      2.32
   505 H Crestwood               6- 5       1     1          -0.10
   508 H Haverford HS            4- 6      -2    -3           0.63
   509 H Abington Heights        6- 5       1     3    -     -2.07
   513 H Conestoga               2- 7      -5    -3          -1.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Pennsbury               4- 8      -4    -1    -     -3.20
   509 H Abington Heights        6- 5       1     3    -     -2.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Central Bucks West     13- 5       8     0    ++     4.82
   430 A Council Rock North      9- 3       6     2    +      3.14
   502 H Pope John Paul II       8- 4       4     2    +      2.32

North Penn Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Abington	North Penn		North Penn 5- 2 vs 2- 5
Academy New Church	Academy New Church			Academy New Church
AIM Academy	North Penn			North Penn
Allentown Central Ca	Allentown Central Ca			Allentown Central Ca
Archbishop Carroll	North Penn			North Penn
Archbishop Ryan	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	North Penn
Archbishop Wood	North Penn		North Penn 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Avon Grove	Avon Grove		Avon Grove 3- 1 vs 1- 3
Avon Grove Charter	North Penn			North Penn
Bayard Rustin	Bayard Rustin		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic	North Penn			North Penn
Bishop Shanahan	Bishop Shanahan		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter	North Penn			North Penn
Bonner-Prendergast	North Penn			North Penn
Boyertown	North Penn		insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4)	North Penn
Cardinal OHara	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	North Penn
Central Bucks East	Central Bucks East	Central Bucks East
Central Bucks South	Central Bucks South	Central Bucks South
Central Bucks West	North Penn	North Penn
Central Philadelphia	North Penn			North Penn
Cheltenham	North Penn		North Penn 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Church Farm School	North Penn			North Penn
Coatesville	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)	North Penn
Conestoga	Conestoga	Conestoga
Conwell Egan	North Penn			North Penn
Council Rock North	North Penn	North Penn
Council Rock South	North Penn	North Penn
Delaware Valley Frie	North Penn			North Penn
Devon Prep	Devon Prep		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Devon Prep
Downingtown East	Downingtown East		Downingtown East 3- 0 vs 1- 3
Downingtown West	Downingtown West		Downingtown West 4- 0 vs 1- 3
Easton Area	Easton Area		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Easton Area
Emmaus	North Penn		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	North Penn
Episcopal Academy	Episcopal Academy			Episcopal Academy
Father Judge	North Penn		North Penn 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Frankford	North Penn			North Penn
Freedom Bethlehem	North Penn			North Penn
Garnet Valley	Garnet Valley		Garnet Valley 5- 0 vs 2- 3
George School	North Penn			North Penn
George Washington	George Washington			George Washington
Germantown Academy	Germantown Academy		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Germantown Academy
Great Valley	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	North Penn
Harriton	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)	North Penn
Hatboro-Horsham	North Penn	North Penn
Haverford HS	Haverford HS	Haverford HS
Haverford School	Haverford School			Haverford School
Hill School	Hill School			Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep	North Penn		North Penn 4- 3 vs 1- 6
Interboro	North Penn			North Penn
Jack Barrack Academy	North Penn			North Penn
Kennett	North Penn		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	North Penn
La Salle College	La Salle College			La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic	North Penn		North Penn 2- 2 vs 0- 4
Liberty Bethlehem	North Penn			North Penn
Lower Merion	North Penn		insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)	North Penn
Malvern Prep	Malvern Prep			Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown	Marple Newtown		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Marple Newtown
Masterman	North Penn			North Penn
Mastery Charter Nort	North Penn			North Penn
Methacton	North Penn		insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4)	North Penn
Moravian Academy	North Penn			North Penn
Nazareth Area	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	North Penn
Neshaminy	North Penn	North Penn
New Hope-Solebury	North Penn		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	North Penn
Northampton Area	North Penn			North Penn
Northeast	North Penn			North Penn
Northwestern Lehigh	North Penn			North Penn
Olney Charter	North Penn			North Penn
Owen J Roberts	Owen J Roberts		tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2)	Owen J Roberts
Oxford Area	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	North Penn
Parkland	Parkland		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Parkland
Penn Charter	Penn Charter			Penn Charter
Penncrest	Penncrest		tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2)	Penncrest
Pennridge	Pennridge	Pennridge
Pennsbury	Pennsbury	Pennsbury
Perkiomen School	Perkiomen School			Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley	Perkiomen Valley		Perkiomen Valley 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Phoenixville	North Penn		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	North Penn
Pleasant Valley	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	North Penn
Plymouth-Whitemarsh	North Penn		North Penn 4- 4 vs 2- 6
Pope John Paul II	North Penn	North Penn
Pottsgrove	North Penn		North Penn 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Quakertown	North Penn		North Penn 4- 1 vs 0- 5
Radnor	Radnor		Radnor 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Ridley	Ridley		Ridley 3- 0 vs 1- 3
Roman Catholic	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	North Penn
Saucon Valley	North Penn			North Penn
Shipley School	North Penn			North Penn
Solanco	North Penn			North Penn
Souderton	Souderton	Souderton
South Philadelphia	North Penn			North Penn
Southern Lehigh	North Penn		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	North Penn
Spring-Ford	Spring-Ford		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp	North Penn	North Penn
Springfield-Delco	Springfield-Delco		Springfield-Delco 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Springside Chestnut	Springside Chestnut			Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep	St Josephs Prep		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven	North Penn		insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)	North Penn
Sun Valley	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	North Penn
Truman	North Penn	North Penn
Unionville	North Penn		insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)	North Penn
Upper Darby	North Penn		tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)	North Penn
Upper Dublin	Upper Dublin		tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2)	Upper Dublin
Upper Merion	North Penn		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	North Penn
Upper Moreland	North Penn		tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0)	North Penn
West Chester East	North Penn		North Penn 2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Chester Henders	North Penn	North Penn
West Philadelphia	North Penn			North Penn
Westtown	Westtown			Westtown
William Tennent	North Penn			North Penn
Wissahickon	North Penn		tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2)	North Penn
Baldwin	North Penn			North Penn
Bethel Park	North Penn			North Penn
Butler Area	North Penn			North Penn
Canon-McMillan	North Penn			North Penn
Cathedral Prep	North Penn			North Penn
Central Catholic	North Penn			North Penn
Chartiers Valley	North Penn			North Penn
Conneaut	North Penn			North Penn
Erie-McDowell	North Penn			North Penn
Fairview	North Penn			North Penn
Fox Chapel	Fox Chapel			Fox Chapel
Franklin Regional	North Penn			North Penn
Freeport Area	North Penn			North Penn
Gateway	North Penn			North Penn
Greensburg Central C	North Penn			North Penn
Hampton	Hampton		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Hampton
Hempfield Greensburg	North Penn			North Penn
Hickory	North Penn			North Penn
Indiana Area	North Penn			North Penn
Knoch	North Penn			North Penn
Latrobe	North Penn			North Penn
Mars Area	Mars Area		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Mars Area
Meadville-Crawford C	North Penn			North Penn
Moon Area	North Penn			North Penn
Mount Lebanon	Mount Lebanon			Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny	North Allegheny			North Allegheny
North Catholic	North Penn			North Penn
North Hills	North Penn			North Penn
Norwin	North Penn			North Penn
Penn-Trafford	North Penn			North Penn
Peters Township	North Penn			North Penn
Pine Richland	Pine Richland			Pine Richland
Plum	North Penn			North Penn
Quaker Valley	North Penn			North Penn
Seneca Valley	Seneca Valley			Seneca Valley
Seton LaSalle	North Penn			North Penn
Sewickley Academy	North Penn			North Penn
Shady Side Academy	Shady Side Academy			Shady Side Academy
Shaler Area	North Penn			North Penn
South Fayette	South Fayette			South Fayette
Taylor Allderdice	North Penn			North Penn
Trinity Area	North Penn			North Penn
Upper St Clair	Upper St Clair			Upper St Clair
West Allegheny	North Penn			North Penn
Winchester Thurston	North Penn			North Penn
Abington Heights	North Penn	North Penn
Bellefonte	North Penn			North Penn
Berks Catholic	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	North Penn
Bishop McDevitt	North Penn			North Penn
Carlisle	North Penn			North Penn
Cedar Cliff	North Penn			North Penn
Cedar Crest	North Penn			North Penn
Central Dauphin	North Penn			North Penn
Central Dauphin East	North Penn			North Penn
Central York	Central York			Central York
Chambersburg	North Penn			North Penn
Cocalico	Cocalico			Cocalico
Conestoga Valley	Conestoga Valley			Conestoga Valley
Conrad Weiser	North Penn			North Penn
Crestwood	North Penn	North Penn
Cumberland Valley	Cumberland Valley			Cumberland Valley
Dallas	North Penn		North Penn 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dallastown	Dallastown			Dallastown
Daniel Boone	North Penn			North Penn
Danville Area	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	North Penn
Delaware Valley	Delaware Valley		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Delaware Valley
Delone Catholic	North Penn			North Penn
Dover Area	North Penn			North Penn
Eastern York	North Penn			North Penn
Elizabethtown	North Penn			North Penn
Ephrata	Ephrata			Ephrata
Exeter Township	North Penn			North Penn
Garden Spot	North Penn			North Penn
Gettysburg	North Penn			North Penn
Governor Mifflin	North Penn			North Penn
Hempfield	Hempfield			Hempfield
Hershey	North Penn			North Penn
Kennard-Dale	North Penn			North Penn
Lake-Lehman	North Penn		North Penn 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lakeland	North Penn		North Penn 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lampeter-Strasburg	Lampeter-Strasburg		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0)	Lampeter-Strasburg
Lancaster CDS	North Penn			North Penn
Lewisburg	North Penn		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	North Penn
Lower Dauphin	North Penn			North Penn
Manheim Township	Manheim Township			Manheim Township
Mechanicsburg	North Penn			North Penn
Mifflin County	North Penn			North Penn
Mifflinburg	North Penn			North Penn
Muhlenberg	North Penn			North Penn
New Oxford	North Penn			North Penn
North Pocono	North Penn		North Penn 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Northern York	North Penn			North Penn
Palmyra	North Penn			North Penn
Penn Manor	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Red Land	North Penn			North Penn
Red Lion	North Penn			North Penn
Schuylkill Valley	North Penn			North Penn
Scranton Prep	North Penn		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	North Penn
Selinsgrove	North Penn		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	North Penn
South-Western	North Penn			North Penn
Spring Grove	North Penn			North Penn
State College	State College			State College
Susquehannock	North Penn			North Penn
Trinity HS	Trinity HS			Trinity HS
Tunkhannock	North Penn		North Penn 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Twin Valley	Twin Valley			Twin Valley
Warwick	North Penn			North Penn
West York	North Penn			North Penn
Wilkes-Barre Area	North Penn		North Penn 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wilson West Lawn	Wilson West Lawn			Wilson West Lawn
Wyoming Area	North Penn		North Penn 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wyoming Seminary	North Penn		North Penn 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wyomissing	North Penn			North Penn
York Catholic	North Penn			North Penn
York Suburban	North Penn			North Penn

PowerWise = 162

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Springfield Tw  ( 2-15, 77.7)    15- 0      -22.19      12.15       0.20         0.87            10.79
   0 H Pennridge       (17- 6, 90.2)     2-10       -9.71      24.63      -0.20         0.87            -8.66
   0 A Hatboro-Horsha  (12- 7, 82.3)    11- 4      -17.59      16.75       0.20         0.87            14.80
   0 A Neshaminy       ( 3-15, 79.1)    15- 6      -20.77      13.56       0.20         0.87            12.02
   0 H Central Bucks   ( 7-10, 86.7)    13- 5      -13.24      21.10      -0.20         0.87            18.25
   0 H Souderton       (17- 4, 89.9)     6-11      -10.04      24.29      -0.20         0.87            -8.95
   0 A Central Bucks   ( 8-10, 86.4)     6- 7      -13.51      20.83       0.20         0.87           -11.62
   0 A Central Bucks   (14- 6, 88.7)     2- 5      -11.24      23.10       0.20         0.87            -9.63
   0 H West Chester H  ( 8-10, 86.6)     5- 4      -13.26      21.07      -0.20         0.87            18.22
   0 A Pennsbury       ( 8- 5, 87.2)     4- 8      -12.67      21.67       0.20         0.87           -10.88
   0 H Council Rock S  (11- 8, 86.0)     9- 8      -13.88      20.45      -0.20         0.87            17.68
   0 A Council Rock N  ( 6- 8, 84.6)     9- 3      -15.33      19.01       0.20         0.87            16.78
   0 H Pope John Paul  ( 9- 8, 85.2)     8- 4      -14.74      19.60      -0.20         0.87            16.93
   0 H Crestwood       (13- 5, 85.7)     6- 5      -14.16      20.18      -0.20         0.87            17.44
   0 A Truman          ( 0- 9, 72.9)     1- 0      -26.96       7.38       0.20         0.87             6.62
   0 H Haverford HS    (13- 7, 89.5)     4- 6      -10.43      23.90      -0.20         0.87            -9.29
   0 H Abington Heigh  (12- 6, 83.8)     6- 5      -16.13      18.21      -0.20         0.87            15.72
   0 H Conestoga       (11- 9, 90.0)     2- 7       -9.90      24.44      -0.20         0.87            -8.82
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        97.41

winning pts = 165.2624 losing points = -67.8550

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------