All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 68.3199997 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H DuPont Manual (12- 8, 68.3) 3- 7 307 A Ryle ( 8-11, 66.5) 6- 5 311 H Louisville Collegiate ( 6- 8, 68.6) 6- 5 314 A Priory School (13- 5, 78.5) 3-10 319 A Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 72.6) 6- 7 322 H Brownsburg ( 9- 8, 73.0) 6-13 325 A Eastern ( 7- 7, 72.4) 3- 7 327 A Frederick Douglass (15- 5, 74.5) 3-10 409 A Kentucky Country Day ( 9- 9, 74.2) 4-10 410 H Oldham County ( 0-10, 48.9) 10- 1 415 A Walton-Verona ( 4-12, 53.6) 14- 1 417 H Henry Clay (13- 6, 71.9) 7- 8 419 H Collins ( 6- 9, 61.1) 14- 5 422 A Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 72.5) 8- 9 424 H South Oldham (16- 6, 84.4) 1-17 430 H Covington Catholic ( 6-12, 64.6) 7- 4 501 H Christian Academy-Loui ( 9- 5, 71.6) 7- 6 506 A Shelby County ( 6-13, 57.8) 12- 1 509 N Collins ( 6- 9, 61.1) 10- 3 510 N South Oldham (16- 6, 84.4) 1-17 514 A Dixie Heights (13- 7, 69.0) 4- 5
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H DuPont Manual 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.03 307 A Ryle 6- 5 1 0 0.17 311 H Louisville Collegiate 6- 5 1 0 0.29 314 A Priory School 3-10 -7 -11 n/a 319 A Lexington Catholic 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.29 322 H Brownsburg 6-13 -7 -3 n/a 325 A Eastern 3- 7 -4 -5 1.06 327 A Frederick Douglass 3-10 -7 -7 0.00 409 A Kentucky Country Day 4-10 -6 -6 0.86 410 H Oldham County 10- 1 9 20 0.00 415 A Walton-Verona 14- 1 13 13 0.00 417 H Henry Clay 7- 8 -1 -2 1.59 419 H Collins 14- 5 9 8 0.00 422 A Ballard Louisville 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.11 424 H South Oldham 1-17 -16 -15 0.00 430 H Covington Catholic 7- 4 3 4 -1.70 501 H Christian Academy-Loui 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.30 506 A Shelby County 12- 1 11 9 0.00 509 N Collins 10- 3 7 7 0.00 510 N South Oldham 1-17 -16 -16 0.00 514 A Dixie Heights 4- 5 -1 -1 0.64UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H DuPont Manual 3- 7 -4 1 -- -5.03 322 H Brownsburg 6-13 -7 -3 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Lexington Catholic 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.29 422 A Ballard Louisville 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.11 501 H Christian Academy-Loui 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.30
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 68.32 Power Rank................. 16 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 40.77 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 12 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4961 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 26 RPI Rating............... .5145 RPI Rank................... 16 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 31 Selection sum ........... 64 Selection Rank ............ 18 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -40. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 20 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -40. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 22 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3