---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:58 PDT

safe3step boys Nipmuc Regional 1
  
Nipmuc Regional       
W-L: (10- 8) PR = 88.7585

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Grafton ( 7-12, 90.0) 3- 8 404 A AMSA Charter ( 7-12, 86.2) 11- 5 408 A Tantasqua Regional ( 7-13, 88.0) 9- 5 410 A Littleton (17- 2, 89.6) 8-11 415 H Blackstone Valley RV ( 2-15, 84.1) 9- 5 421 H Auburn (12- 7, 85.6) 17- 9 423 H Westborough (12- 5, 90.1) 9-11 425 A Medway ( 9-10, 87.6) 15-14 429 H Oakmont Regional (16- 5, 90.4) 9-10 501 A Grafton ( 7-12, 90.0) 3-10 507 H Tantasqua Regional ( 7-13, 88.0) 8- 3 512 A East Longmeadow (13- 4, 90.0) 10-14 513 A Blackstone Valley RV ( 2-15, 84.1) 20-10 516 H AMSA Charter ( 7-12, 86.2) 12- 7 521 A Holliston (12- 7, 87.6) 9-10 523 H Attleboro ( 5-13, 86.0) 10- 3 602 H Hoosac Valley (15- 2, 83.7) 18- 5 604 A Ipswich (14- 5, 91.4) 8-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Grafton                 3- 8      -5    -1    --    -4.37
   404 A AMSA Charter           11- 5       6     2    +      3.10
   408 A Tantasqua Regional      9- 5       4     0    +      3.92
   410 A Littleton               8-11      -3    -1          -1.52
   415 H Blackstone Valley RV    9- 5       4     5          -1.00
   421 H Auburn                 17- 9       8     4           1.22
   423 H Westborough             9-11      -2    -1          -1.28
   425 A Medway                 15-14       1     0           0.52
   429 H Oakmont Regional        9-10      -1    -1           0.02
   501 A Grafton                 3-10      -7    -2    -     -3.10
   507 H Tantasqua Regional      8- 3       5     1    +      3.65
   512 A East Longmeadow        10-14      -4    -2    -     -2.10
   513 A Blackstone Valley RV   20-10      10     4           1.01
   516 H AMSA Charter           12- 7       5     3           1.83
   521 A Holliston               9-10      -1     0          -1.50
   523 H Attleboro              10- 3       7     3           1.60
   602 H Hoosac Valley          18- 5      13     6           0.00
   604 A Ipswich                 8-13      -5    -3          -1.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Grafton                 3- 8      -5    -1    --    -4.37
   501 A Grafton                 3-10      -7    -2    -     -3.10
   512 A East Longmeadow        10-14      -4    -2    -     -2.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A AMSA Charter           11- 5       6     2    +      3.10
   408 A Tantasqua Regional      9- 5       4     0    +      3.92
   507 H Tantasqua Regional      8- 3       5     1    +      3.65

Nipmuc Regional Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Abington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Abington
Acton Boxborough Acton Boxborough   Acton Boxborough
Agawam Agawam tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Agawam
Algonquin Algonquin Algonquin   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Amesbury Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Amherst-Pelham Reg Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
AMSA Charter Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional  
Andover HS Andover HS   Andover HS
Apponequet Regional Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Archbishop Williams Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Arlington Catholic Arlington Catholic   Arlington Catholic
Arlington HS Arlington HS   Arlington HS
Ashland Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Assabet Valley RVT Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Attleboro Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional  
Auburn Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional  
Barnstable Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Bay Path RVT Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Bedford Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Belchertown Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Bellingham Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Belmont Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Beverly Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Bishop Stang Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Blackstone Valley RV Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional  
Blue Hills RVT Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Boston College HS Boston College HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Boston College HS
Boston Latin School Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Bourne Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Braintree Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Bridgewater-Raynham Bridgewater-Raynham insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bridgewater-Raynham
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Brookline Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Burlington Burlington   Burlington
Cambridge Rindge-Lat Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Canton Canton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Canton
Cape Cod Academy Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Cape Cod Tech Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Cardinal Spellman Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Catholic Memorial Catholic Memorial   Catholic Memorial
Central Catholic Central Catholic   Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford   Chelmsford
Chicopee Comprehensi Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Cohasset Cohasset tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle   Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Dartmouth Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Dedham Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Dennis-Yarmouth Regi Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Dighton-Rehoboth Reg Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Doherty Memorial Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Dracut Dracut insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dracut
Duxbury Duxbury   Duxbury
East Bridgewater Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow East Longmeadow  
Essex Tech Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Fairhaven Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Falmouth Academy Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS   Falmouth HS
Foxborough Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Framingham Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Franklin Franklin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Franklin
Gloucester Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Grafton Grafton Grafton  
Granby Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Greater Lowell RVT Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Greater New Bedford Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Groton-Dunstable Reg Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Nipmuc Regional
Hamilton-Wenham Regi Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Haverhill Haverhill   Haverhill
Hingham Hingham   Hingham
Holliston Holliston Holliston  
Hoosac Valley Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional  
Hopkinton Hopkinton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Hopkinton
Hudson Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Hull Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Ipswich Ipswich Ipswich  
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) King Philip Regional
Lenox/Lee Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Leominster Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Lexington Lexington   Lexington
Lincoln-Sudbury Regi Lincoln-Sudbury Regi   Lincoln-Sudbury Regi
Littleton Littleton Littleton  
Longmeadow Longmeadow insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Longmeadow
Lowell Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Lowell Catholic Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Lunenburg Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Lynn Classical-Engli Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Lynnfield Lynnfield insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lynnfield
Malden Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Malden Catholic Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Manchester-Essex Reg Manchester-Essex Reg insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Manchester-Essex Reg
Mansfield Mansfield tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Mansfield
Marblehead Marblehead   Marblehead
Marshfield Marshfield   Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Masconomet Masconomet   Masconomet
Mashpee Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
McCann Technical Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Medfield Medfield insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Medfield
Medford Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Medway Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional  
Melrose Melrose   Melrose
Methuen Methuen   Methuen
Middleborough Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Milford Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Milton HS Milton HS   Milton HS
Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Minnechaug Regional
Minuteman Regional Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Monomoy Regional Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Monson Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Montachusett RVT Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Mount Greylock Regio Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Mystic Valley Charte Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Nantucket Nantucket insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Nashoba Valley Tech Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Natick Natick   Natick
Nauset Nauset   Nauset
Needham Needham   Needham
New Bedford Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Newburyport Newburyport insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Newburyport
Newton North Newton North   Newton North
Newton South Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
North Andover North Andover insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Andover
North Attleboro North Attleboro tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Attleboro
North Middlesex North Middlesex North Middlesex   5- 3 vs 3- 5
North Quincy Co-op Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
North Reading Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Northampton Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Northeast Metro RVT Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Norton Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Norwell Norwell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Norwell
Norwood Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional  
Old Colony RVT Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Old Rochester Region Old Rochester Region   Old Rochester Region
Oliver Ames Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Peabody Vets Memoria Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Pembroke Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Plymouth North Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Plymouth South Plymouth South   Plymouth South
Pope Francis Prep Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial   Reading Memorial
Revere Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Rockland Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Salem Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Sandwich Sandwich   Sandwich
Saugus Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Scituate Scituate   Scituate
Seekonk Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Sharon Sharon insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Sharon
Shawsheen Valley RVT Shawsheen Valley RVT   Shawsheen Valley RVT
Shepherd Hill Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Nipmuc Regional
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Shrewsbury
Silver Lake Silver Lake tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Silver Lake
Smith VoTech Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Somerset Berkley Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Somerville Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
South Hadley Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
South Shore RVT Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Southeastern RVT Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Springfield Central Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
St Bernards Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional   3- 2 vs 1- 4
St John Paul II Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nipmuc Regional
St Johns Prep Danver St Johns Prep Danver   St Johns Prep Danver
St Johns Shrewsbury St Johns Shrewsbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Johns Shrewsbury
St Marys Lynn Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
St Marys Westfield Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Stoneham Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Stoughton Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Sturgis Charter East Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Swampscott Swampscott   Swampscott
Tantasqua Regional Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional  
Taunton Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Tech Boston Academy Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Tewksbury Memorial Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Tri-County RVT Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Triton Regional Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nipmuc Regional
Tyngsborough Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Upper Cape Cod RVT Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Wachusett Regional Wachusett Regional insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Wachusett Regional
Wahconah Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wakefield Memorial
Walpole Walpole insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Walpole
Waltham Waltham   Waltham
Watertown Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Wayland Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) West Springfield
Westborough Westborough Westborough  
Westfield Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Westford Academy Westford Academy   Westford Academy
Weston Weston   Weston
Westport Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Westwood Westwood insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Westwood
Weymouth Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Whitman-Hanson Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Whittier RVT Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nipmuc Regional
Wilmington Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Winchester Winchester   Winchester
Winthrop Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Woburn Memorial Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
Xaverian Brothers Xaverian Brothers   Xaverian Brothers

PowerWise = 127


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Grafton         ( 7-12, 90.0)     3- 8       -9.87      22.67      -0.63         1.00           -10.54
   0 A AMSA Charter    ( 7-12, 86.2)    11- 5      -13.68      18.86       0.63         1.00            19.55
   0 A Tantasqua Regi  ( 7-13, 88.0)     9- 5      -11.86      20.68       0.63         1.00            21.37
   0 A Littleton       (17- 2, 89.6)     8-11      -10.29      22.25       0.63         1.00            -9.68
   0 H Blackstone Val  ( 2-15, 84.1)     9- 5      -15.76      16.78      -0.63         1.00            16.19
   0 H Auburn          (12- 7, 85.6)    17- 9      -14.28      18.26      -0.63         1.00            17.67
   0 H Westborough     (12- 5, 90.1)     9-11       -9.79      22.75      -0.63         1.00           -10.45
   0 A Medway          ( 9-10, 87.6)    15-14      -12.25      20.29       0.63         1.00            20.98
   0 H Oakmont Region  (16- 5, 90.4)     9-10       -9.49      23.05      -0.63         1.00           -10.15
   0 A Grafton         ( 7-12, 90.0)     3-10       -9.87      22.67       0.63         1.00            -9.27
   0 H Tantasqua Regi  ( 7-13, 88.0)     8- 3      -11.86      20.68      -0.63         1.00            20.10
   0 A East Longmeado  (13- 4, 90.0)    10-14       -9.87      22.67       0.63         1.00            -9.26
   0 A Blackstone Val  ( 2-15, 84.1)    20-10      -15.76      16.78       0.63         1.00            17.46
   0 H AMSA Charter    ( 7-12, 86.2)    12- 7      -13.68      18.86      -0.63         1.00            18.28
   0 A Holliston       (12- 7, 87.6)     9-10      -12.27      20.27       0.63         1.00           -11.67
   0 H Attleboro       ( 5-13, 86.0)    10- 3      -13.91      18.63      -0.63         1.00            18.05
   0 H Hoosac Valley   (15- 2, 83.7)    18- 5      -16.16      16.38      -0.63         1.00            15.79
   0 A Ipswich         (14- 5, 91.4)     8-13       -8.52      24.02       0.63         1.00            -7.91
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       106.50

winning pts = 185.4276 losing points = -78.9279

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------