---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:10 PDT

safe3step boys Northampton Area 1
  
Northampton Area      
W-L: ( 6-12) PR = 81.2121

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 A Northwestern Lehigh (11- 8, 85.4) 6- 7 318 H Nazareth Area (13- 7, 85.9) 10-21 320 A Liberty Bethlehem ( 6-12, 83.5) 11-10 325 H Allentown Central Ca (19- 4, 89.7) 4-19 327 A Emmaus ( 9-10, 84.8) 6-14 328 A Nazareth Area (13- 7, 85.9) 9-19 401 H Southern Lehigh (10- 9, 85.9) 8-13 403 A Saucon Valley ( 2-14, 79.6) 11-15 405 H Schuylkill Valley ( 2-11, 76.1) 14- 6 408 H Parkland (16- 5, 90.0) 2-16 410 A Bethlehem Catholic ( 0-14, 74.4) 15- 1 412 H Pottsgrove ( 2-14, 77.3) 19- 2 415 H Freedom Bethlehem ( 7-10, 84.8) 9-15 422 A Easton Area (19- 1, 91.8) 4-16 424 H Moravian Academy (11- 7, 86.5) 5-15 428 A Quakertown ( 2-16, 77.6) 12-11 501 A Pleasant Valley ( 3-15, 81.1) 16- 9 502 H Northwestern Lehigh (11- 8, 85.4) 6-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Northwestern Lehigh     6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.41
   318 H Nazareth Area          10-21     -11    -4          -0.56
   320 A Liberty  Bethlehem     11-10       1    -3    +      3.52
   325 H Allentown Central Ca    4-19     -15    -8           0.00
   327 A Emmaus                  6-14      -8    -4          -1.22
   328 A Nazareth Area           9-19     -10    -5          -0.15
   401 H Southern Lehigh         8-13      -5    -4          -0.52
   403 A Saucon Valley          11-15      -4     1    --    -5.36
   405 H Schuylkill Valley      14- 6       8     5           0.00
   408 H Parkland                2-16     -14    -9           0.00
   410 A Bethlehem Catholic     15- 1      14     7           0.00
   412 H Pottsgrove             19- 2      17     4           0.88
   415 H Freedom Bethlehem       9-15      -6    -3          -1.63
   422 A Easton Area             4-16     -12   -11           0.00
   424 H Moravian Academy        5-15     -10    -5           0.00
   428 A Quakertown             12-11       1     3    -     -2.42
   501 A Pleasant Valley        16- 9       7     0    ++     5.11
   502 H Northwestern Lehigh     6-11      -5    -4          -0.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Saucon Valley          11-15      -4     1    --    -5.36
   428 A Quakertown             12-11       1     3    -     -2.42

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Pleasant Valley        16- 9       7     0    ++     5.11
   314 A Northwestern Lehigh     6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.41
   320 A Liberty  Bethlehem     11-10       1    -3    +      3.52

Northampton Area Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Abington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Abington
Academy New Church Academy New Church insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Academy New Church
AIM Academy Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Allentown Central Ca Allentown Central Ca Allentown Central Ca  
Archbishop Carroll Northampton Area insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northampton Area
Archbishop Ryan Northampton Area tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northampton Area
Archbishop Wood Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Avon Grove Avon Grove   Avon Grove
Avon Grove Charter Avon Grove Charter   Avon Grove Charter
Bayard Rustin Bayard Rustin   Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic Northampton Area Northampton Area  
Bishop Shanahan Bishop Shanahan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Bonner-Prendergast Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Boyertown Boyertown tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Boyertown
Cardinal OHara Cardinal OHara   Cardinal OHara
Central Bucks East Central Bucks East insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Central Bucks East
Central Bucks South Central Bucks South   Central Bucks South
Central Bucks West Central Bucks West tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Central Bucks West
Central Philadelphia Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Cheltenham Northampton Area insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northampton Area
Church Farm School Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Coatesville Coatesville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Coatesville
Conestoga Conestoga   Conestoga
Conwell Egan Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Council Rock North Council Rock North   Council Rock North
Council Rock South Council Rock South tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Council Rock South
Delaware Valley Frie Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Devon Prep Devon Prep   Devon Prep
Downingtown East Downingtown East   Downingtown East
Downingtown West Downingtown West   Downingtown West
Easton Area Easton Area Easton Area  
Emmaus Emmaus Emmaus  
Episcopal Academy Episcopal Academy   Episcopal Academy
Father Judge Father Judge   Father Judge
Frankford Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Freedom Bethlehem Freedom Bethlehem Freedom Bethlehem  
Garnet Valley Garnet Valley   Garnet Valley
George School George School   George School
George Washington George Washington   George Washington
Germantown Academy Germantown Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Germantown Academy
Great Valley Great Valley   Great Valley
Harriton Harriton   Harriton
Hatboro-Horsham Hatboro-Horsham tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Hatboro-Horsham
Haverford HS Haverford HS   Haverford HS
Haverford School Haverford School   Haverford School
Hill School Hill School   Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep Holy Ghost Prep   Holy Ghost Prep
Interboro Northampton Area insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northampton Area
Jack Barrack Academy Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Kennett Kennett   Kennett
La Salle College La Salle College   La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Liberty Bethlehem Northampton Area Northampton Area  
Lower Merion Lower Merion   Lower Merion
Malvern Prep Malvern Prep   Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown Marple Newtown   Marple Newtown
Masterman Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Mastery Charter Nort Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Methacton Methacton tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Methacton
Moravian Academy Moravian Academy Moravian Academy  
Nazareth Area Nazareth Area Nazareth Area  
Neshaminy Northampton Area   Northampton Area
New Hope-Solebury Northampton Area tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northampton Area
North Penn North Penn   North Penn
Northeast Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Northwestern Lehigh Northwestern Lehigh Northwestern Lehigh  
Olney Charter Olney Charter   Olney Charter
Owen J Roberts Owen J Roberts tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Owen J Roberts
Oxford Area Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Parkland Parkland Parkland  
Penn Charter Penn Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn Charter
Penncrest Penncrest   Penncrest
Pennridge Pennridge insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Pennridge
Pennsbury Pennsbury   Pennsbury
Perkiomen School Perkiomen School   Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley Perkiomen Valley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Perkiomen Valley
Phoenixville Northampton Area tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Northampton Area
Pleasant Valley Northampton Area Northampton Area  
Plymouth-Whitemarsh Plymouth-Whitemarsh tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Plymouth-Whitemarsh
Pope John Paul II Pope John Paul II tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Pope John Paul II
Pottsgrove Northampton Area Northampton Area  
Quakertown Northampton Area Northampton Area  
Radnor Radnor   Radnor
Ridley Ridley   Ridley
Roman Catholic Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Saucon Valley Saucon Valley Saucon Valley  
Shipley School Shipley School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shipley School
Solanco Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Souderton Souderton   Souderton
South Philadelphia South Philadelphia   South Philadelphia
Southern Lehigh Southern Lehigh Southern Lehigh  
Spring-Ford Spring-Ford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp Northampton Area tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northampton Area
Springfield-Delco Springfield-Delco insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Springfield-Delco
Springside Chestnut Springside Chestnut   Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep St Josephs Prep   St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven Strath Haven   Strath Haven
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Truman Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Unionville Unionville   Unionville
Upper Darby Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Upper Dublin Upper Dublin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Upper Dublin
Upper Merion Northampton Area tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northampton Area
Upper Moreland Upper Moreland tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Upper Moreland
West Chester East West Chester East   West Chester East
West Chester Henders West Chester Henders   West Chester Henders
West Philadelphia Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Westtown Westtown   Westtown
William Tennent Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Wissahickon Wissahickon tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wissahickon
Baldwin Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Bethel Park Bethel Park   Bethel Park
Butler Area Butler Area   Butler Area
Canon-McMillan Canon-McMillan   Canon-McMillan
Cathedral Prep Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Central Catholic Central Catholic   Central Catholic
Chartiers Valley Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Conneaut Conneaut   Conneaut
Erie-McDowell Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Fairview Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Fox Chapel Fox Chapel   Fox Chapel
Franklin Regional Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Freeport Area Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Gateway Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Greensburg Central C Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Hampton Hampton   Hampton
Hempfield Greensburg Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Hickory Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Indiana Area Indiana Area   Indiana Area
Knoch Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Latrobe Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Mars Area Mars Area tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Mars Area
Meadville-Crawford C Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Moon Area Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Mount Lebanon Mount Lebanon   Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny North Allegheny   North Allegheny
North Catholic Northampton Area   Northampton Area
North Hills North Hills   North Hills
Norwin Norwin   Norwin
Penn-Trafford Penn-Trafford   Penn-Trafford
Peters Township Peters Township   Peters Township
Pine Richland Pine Richland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pine Richland
Plum Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Quaker Valley Quaker Valley   Quaker Valley
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley   Seneca Valley
Seton LaSalle Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Sewickley Academy Sewickley Academy   Sewickley Academy
Shady Side Academy Shady Side Academy   Shady Side Academy
Shaler Area Shaler Area   Shaler Area
South Fayette South Fayette   South Fayette
Taylor Allderdice Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Trinity Area Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Upper St Clair Upper St Clair   Upper St Clair
West Allegheny Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Winchester Thurston Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Abington Heights Abington Heights insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Abington Heights
Bellefonte Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Berks Catholic Northampton Area tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northampton Area
Bishop McDevitt Northampton Area tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northampton Area
Carlisle Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Cedar Cliff Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Cedar Crest Cedar Crest   Cedar Crest
Central Dauphin Central Dauphin   Central Dauphin
Central Dauphin East Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Central York Central York insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Central York
Chambersburg Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Cocalico Cocalico   Cocalico
Conestoga Valley Conestoga Valley   Conestoga Valley
Conrad Weiser Northampton Area tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Northampton Area
Crestwood Crestwood   Crestwood
Cumberland Valley Cumberland Valley   Cumberland Valley
Dallas Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Dallastown Dallastown   Dallastown
Daniel Boone Northampton Area Northampton Area   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Danville Area Northampton Area insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northampton Area
Delaware Valley Delaware Valley insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Delaware Valley
Delone Catholic Delone Catholic   Delone Catholic
Dover Area Northampton Area insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northampton Area
Eastern York Eastern York   Eastern York
Elizabethtown Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Ephrata Ephrata   Ephrata
Exeter Township Exeter Township tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Exeter Township
Garden Spot Garden Spot tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Garden Spot
Gettysburg Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Governor Mifflin Governor Mifflin tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Governor Mifflin
Hempfield Hempfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hempfield
Hershey Hershey   Hershey
Kennard-Dale Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Lake-Lehman Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Lakeland Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Lampeter-Strasburg Lampeter-Strasburg   Lampeter-Strasburg
Lancaster CDS Lancaster CDS   Lancaster CDS
Lewisburg Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Manheim Township Manheim Township   Manheim Township
Mechanicsburg Mechanicsburg   Mechanicsburg
Mifflin County Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Mifflinburg Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Muhlenberg Northampton Area tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northampton Area
New Oxford New Oxford   New Oxford
North Pocono Northampton Area insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northampton Area
Northern York Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Palmyra Palmyra   Palmyra
Penn Manor Penn Manor   Penn Manor
Red Land Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Red Lion Red Lion   Red Lion
Schuylkill Valley Northampton Area Northampton Area  
Scranton Prep Scranton Prep insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Scranton Prep
Selinsgrove Selinsgrove   Selinsgrove
South-Western South-Western   South-Western
Spring Grove Spring Grove   Spring Grove
State College State College   State College
Susquehannock Susquehannock   Susquehannock
Trinity HS Trinity HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Trinity HS
Tunkhannock Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Twin Valley Twin Valley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Twin Valley
Warwick Warwick   Warwick
West York Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Wilkes-Barre Area Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Wilson West Lawn Wilson West Lawn Wilson West Lawn   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Wyoming Area Northampton Area   Northampton Area
Wyoming Seminary Wyoming Seminary   Wyoming Seminary
Wyomissing Wyomissing tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Wyomissing
York Catholic York Catholic   York Catholic
York Suburban Northampton Area   Northampton Area

PowerWise = 87


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Northwestern L  (11- 8, 85.4)     6- 7      -14.48      19.86       0.20         0.87           -12.46
   0 H Nazareth Area   (13- 7, 85.9)    10-21      -14.04      20.30      -0.20         0.87           -12.44
   0 A Liberty  Bethl  ( 6-12, 83.5)    11-10      -16.37      17.97       0.20         0.87            15.87
   0 H Allentown Cent  (19- 4, 89.7)     4-19      -10.25      24.09      -0.20         0.87            -9.13
   0 A Emmaus          ( 9-10, 84.8)     6-14      -15.12      19.22       0.20         0.87           -13.02
   0 A Nazareth Area   (13- 7, 85.9)     9-19      -14.04      20.30       0.20         0.87           -12.08
   0 H Southern Lehig  (10- 9, 85.9)     8-13      -14.00      20.34      -0.20         0.87           -12.40
   0 A Saucon Valley   ( 2-14, 79.6)    11-15      -20.25      14.08       0.20         0.87           -17.51
   0 H Schuylkill Val  ( 2-11, 76.1)    14- 6      -23.83      10.51      -0.20         0.87             9.00
   0 H Parkland        (16- 5, 90.0)     2-16       -9.88      24.46      -0.20         0.87            -8.80
   0 A Bethlehem Cath  ( 0-14, 74.4)    15- 1      -25.55       8.79       0.20         0.87             7.85
   0 H Pottsgrove      ( 2-14, 77.3)    19- 2      -22.60      11.73      -0.20         0.87            10.07
   0 H Freedom Bethle  ( 7-10, 84.8)     9-15      -15.12      19.22      -0.20         0.87           -13.38
   0 A Easton Area     (19- 1, 91.8)     4-16       -8.10      26.23       0.20         0.87            -6.90
   0 H Moravian Acade  (11- 7, 86.5)     5-15      -13.38      20.96      -0.20         0.87           -11.86
   0 A Quakertown      ( 2-16, 77.6)    12-11      -22.31      12.03       0.20         0.87            10.68
   0 A Pleasant Valle  ( 3-15, 81.1)    16- 9      -18.78      15.55       0.20         0.87            13.76
   0 H Northwestern L  (11- 8, 85.4)     6-11      -14.48      19.86      -0.20         0.87           -12.82
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -75.57

winning pts = 67.2263 losing points = -142.7987

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------