---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Northern Guilford 1
  
Northern Guilford     
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 88.8057

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 4- 5 226 A Hillsborough Orange (21- 5, 88.0) 3-11 227 H Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 11- 8 306 H Davie (17- 3, 89.9) 8-12 318 H East Chapel Hill (13- 8, 88.8) 7- 9 321 H Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 13- 6 324 H Hough (18- 4, 95.7) 8- 9 404 A Ragsdale ( 2-11, 74.4) 24- 3 408 H Southeast Guilford ( 6-11, 80.1) 15- 1 422 H Northwest Guilford (20- 5, 94.7) 4-15 424 A Page (12-10, 87.5) 11- 7 425 A Southwest Guilford ( 2-17, 77.1) 14- 1 429 A Western Guilford ( 6-14, 77.2) 19- 4 501 H Grimsley ( 9-12, 82.8) 7- 4 506 H Page (12-10, 87.5) 7- 9 513 H Mooresville ( 4-15, 83.8) 16- 6 516 H Weddington (13- 5, 93.8) 8-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A RJ Reynolds             4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.00
   226 A Hillsborough Orange     3-11      -8     1    --    -5.52
   227 H Reagan                 11- 8       3     2           0.69
   306 H Davie                   8-12      -4    -1    -     -3.18
   318 H East Chapel Hill        7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.28
   321 H Greensboro Day         13- 6       7     0    ++     4.79
   324 H Hough                   8- 9      -1    -7    ++     4.00
   404 A Ragsdale               24- 3      21    14           0.00
   408 H Southeast Guilford     15- 1      14     9           0.00
   422 H Northwest Guilford      4-15     -11    -6           0.00
   424 A Page                   11- 7       4     1    +      3.00
   425 A Southwest Guilford     14- 1      13    11           0.00
   429 A Western Guilford       19- 4      15    11           0.00
   501 H Grimsley                7- 4       3     6    -     -2.00
   506 H Page                    7- 9      -2     2    -     -3.55
   513 H Mooresville            16- 6      10     5           0.00
   516 H Weddington              8-12      -4    -5           0.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Hillsborough Orange     3-11      -8     1    --    -5.52
   306 H Davie                   8-12      -4    -1    -     -3.18
   318 H East Chapel Hill        7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.28
   501 H Grimsley                7- 4       3     6    -     -2.00
   506 H Page                    7- 9      -2     2    -     -3.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Greensboro Day         13- 6       7     0    ++     4.79
   324 H Hough                   8- 9      -1    -7    ++     4.00
   225 A RJ Reynolds             4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.00
   424 A Page                   11- 7       4     1    +      3.00

Northern Guilford Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   4- 2 vs 2- 5
Arendell Parrott Aca Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Asheville HS Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Asheville School Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Athens Drive
Atkins Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Northern Guilford
Ballantyne Ridge Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Bishop McGuinness Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   3- 3 vs 1- 4
Bradford Prep Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Cannon School Cannon School tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northern Guilford
Cape Fear HS Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Northern Guilford tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Northern Guilford
Cary Academy Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Cary Christian Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Cary HS Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Cedar Ridge Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Christ The King
Clayton Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Cleveland Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Cornerstone Charter Northern Guilford tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Northern Guilford
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Northern Guilford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Northern Guilford
Davie Davie Davie  
DH Conley Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Durham Academy Durham Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
East Forsyth Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Northern Guilford
Eastern Alamance Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Eastern Guilford Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Enloe Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Fike Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
First Flight First Flight First Flight   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Garner Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Glenn Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) Northern Guilford
Grays Creek Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Green Hope Green Hope insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Northern Guilford Northern Guilford  
Grimsley Northern Guilford Northern Guilford  
Havelock Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Heritage Heritage insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Heritage
Hickory Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
High Point Central Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange  
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holly Springs
Hough Hough Hough  
Hunt Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Independence Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Jack Britt Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Jacksonville Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
JF Webb Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
JH Rose Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
John Paul II Catholi Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Jordan Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Northern Guilford tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Northern Guilford
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek Middle Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Millbrook Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northern Guilford
Mooresville Northern Guilford Northern Guilford  
Mount Tabor Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   4- 3 vs 0- 6
Mountain Island Char Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Myers Park Northern Guilford tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 3) Northern Guilford
New Bern Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
New Hanover Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
North Brunswick Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
North Davidson Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   4- 1 vs 1- 4
North Lincoln Northern Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northern Guilford
North Raleigh Christ Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Northern Durham Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Northside Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Northwood Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northern Guilford
Page Northern Guilford tied - ( 7- 4) ( 7- 4) Northern Guilford
Panther Creek Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Parkwood Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Patton Morganton Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Pine Forest Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Pine Lake Prep Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Pinecrest Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Porter Ridge Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northern Guilford
Providence Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Northern Guilford
Providence Day Providence Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence Day
Queens Grant Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Northern Guilford Northern Guilford  
Ravenscroft School Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Reagan Northern Guilford Northern Guilford  
Riverside Durham Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northern Guilford
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds  
Rolesville Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Roxboro Community Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Sanderson Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Seaforth Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Northern Guilford
South Brunswick Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
South Garner Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
South Iredell Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Northern Guilford
South Mecklenburg Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South View Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Southeast Alamance Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Southeast Guilford Northern Guilford Northern Guilford  
Southern Alamance Northern Guilford tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Northern Guilford
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Northern Guilford Northern Guilford  
St Davids School Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
St Stephens Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Sun Valley Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Swansboro Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
TC Roberson Northern Guilford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Northern Guilford
Terry Sanford Northern Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northern Guilford
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Vance Charter Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Voyager Academy Northern Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northern Guilford
Wake Forest Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Wake Prep Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Wakefield Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Walter M Williams Northern Guilford tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Northern Guilford
Watauga Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Weddington Weddington Weddington  
West Brunswick Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
West Carteret Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
West Forsyth Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Northern Guilford
West Stokes Northern Guilford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northern Guilford
Western Alamance Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northern Guilford
Western Guilford Northern Guilford Northern Guilford  
Willow Spring Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford

PowerWise = 106


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A RJ Reynolds     (19- 3, 92.5)     4- 5       -7.36      26.45       0.27         1.05            -7.48
   0 A Hillsborough O  (21- 5, 88.0)     3-11      -11.89      21.92       0.27         1.05           -12.26
   0 H Reagan          (12-12, 86.8)    11- 8      -13.13      20.68      -0.27         1.05            21.53
   0 H Davie           (17- 3, 89.9)     8-12      -10.00      23.81      -0.27         1.05           -10.84
   0 H East Chapel Hi  (13- 8, 88.8)     7- 9      -11.10      22.71      -0.27         1.05           -12.00
   0 H Greensboro Day  (10- 8, 88.9)    13- 6      -11.03      22.78      -0.27         1.05            23.74
   0 H Hough           (18- 4, 95.7)     8- 9       -4.21      29.60      -0.27         1.05            -4.72
   0 A Ragsdale        ( 2-11, 74.4)    24- 3      -25.53       8.28       0.27         1.05             9.02
   0 H Southeast Guil  ( 6-11, 80.1)    15- 1      -19.83      13.98      -0.27         1.05            14.46
   0 H Northwest Guil  (20- 5, 94.7)     4-15       -5.18      28.63      -0.27         1.05            -5.75
   0 A Page            (12-10, 87.5)    11- 7      -12.37      21.44       0.27         1.05            22.90
   0 A Southwest Guil  ( 2-17, 77.1)    14- 1      -22.76      11.05       0.27         1.05            11.94
   0 A Western Guilfo  ( 6-14, 77.2)    19- 4      -22.70      11.11       0.27         1.05            12.00
   0 H Grimsley        ( 9-12, 82.8)     7- 4      -17.12      16.69      -0.27         1.05            17.32
   0 H Page            (12-10, 87.5)     7- 9      -12.37      21.44      -0.27         1.05           -13.34
   0 H Mooresville     ( 4-15, 83.8)    16- 6      -16.12      17.69      -0.27         1.05            18.38
   0 H Weddington      (13- 5, 93.8)     8-12       -6.09      27.72      -0.27         1.05            -6.71
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        78.20

winning pts = 151.2922 losing points = -73.0879

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------